Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 4, 3:02 PM.
Down 12.4% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading 46% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 59% above the best standing bid of $1.70; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is not the 44.4% discount to modelled fair value but the order book underneath it: the $2.71 ask sits 59% above the best standing bid of $1.70, a 45.8% spread, and liquidity scores just 6 of 100 across 10 active listings. That phantom-price structure means the quoted discount is partly an artifact of where sellers are asking rather than where trades clear. Supply is genuinely fixed at 1176 units from a delisted store line, with 104 unique owners and 30-day supply growth in the 5th percentile, which supports the scarcity read. But with a 12.4% six-hour dip, a 35 safety score and a C grade overall, the cheap-looking print warrants confirmation from the bid side first.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 23h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.4% | 50 | 51 |
| Return (14d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -5.6% | 61 | 54 |
| Return (60d) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -31.6% | 56 | 48 |
| Return (all) | -31.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -5.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -7.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -37.9% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -37.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.71 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.71 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.72 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.87 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $3.01 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| High (all) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.71 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.33 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $2.33 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $2.33 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $2.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.93 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.93 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $2.71 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.71 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.72 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.83 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.89 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.89 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +23.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +29.2% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +70.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +70.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 70 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 56 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 23 | 64 | 60 |
| Position in range (all) | 23 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -10.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -31.6% | 79 | 76 |
| Distance from high (all) | -31.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +16.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +16.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +16.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +16.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -7.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -7.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 40 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.1% | 74 | 68 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.46× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.42× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +4.7% | 7 | 8 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +18.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +22.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +41.2% | 8 | 10 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +31.6% | 20 | 22 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 82d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.04× | 45 | 46 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.07× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.07 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.91 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.41 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 29.55 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +46.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +21.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 20 | 20 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 8 | 20 | 20 |
| Listings on book | 10 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +45.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +73.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +503.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +285.2% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.31× | 49 | 49 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.3% | 62 | 71 |
| Top-10 holder share | +16.9% | 67 | 72 |
| HHI (top-10) | 43.16 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -217.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 512d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.36× | 74 | 75 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.35× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -45.7% | 29 | 25 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +37.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.70 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 51 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.4% | 50 | 51 |
| Momentum pillar | 52 | 59 | 61 |
| Scarcity pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 74 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 52 | 75 | 69 |
| Data completeness | +74.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.17× | 23 | 28 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.13× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.16× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +0.3% | 62 | 56 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -17.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.