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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Spiky Hair

Spiky Hairfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 73%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
53/ 100
C†
Momentum46
Scarcity36
Liquidity42
Value94
Risk24

Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 28, 12:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
6-hour surge !!

Up 50.0% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.

Concentrated ownership

~13.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (570 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 16: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 99% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 81% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 138% above the best standing bid of $0.13; you could not actually sell there right now.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The most important number here is the gap between the $0.27 ask and the $0.13 best standing bid, a 70% spread that leaves the listed price floating 138% above any real demand, which is why the phantom price signal fires bearish. The +50% six-hour move sits against a flat 24h change and a 7d gain of just 3.5%, so it reads as fade risk rather than a trend, even with the 30d slope in the 95th percentile. Against that, value scores 94/100 at 80.3% below modelled fair value, but with 43 owners holding 569 units, 52 live listings and a safety score of 24/100, the discount carries concentration and volatility risk.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 9h ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

96/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)+0.0%
75
75
Return (14d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Return (30d)+50.0%
91
93
Return (60d)+12.5%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-99.2%
5
5
Return (all)-99.2%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-1.8%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+40.5%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+11.8%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-478.5%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-478.5%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.27β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.27β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.28β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.31β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.31β€”β€”
High (90d)$32.31β€”β€”
High (all)$32.31β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.27β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.27β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.27β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.18β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.15β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.15β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.15β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.27β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.27β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.28β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.25β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.22β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$1.12β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$1.12β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.27β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.27β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.28β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.27β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.21β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.27β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.27β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+3.7%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+72.2%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+106.7%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+21440.0%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+21440.0%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)69β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)75β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)0
14
15
Position in range (all)0β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-3.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-12.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-12.9%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-99.2%
5
5
Distance from high (all)-99.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+50.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+80.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+80.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+80.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-2.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+6.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+20.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-75.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-75.9%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)1β€”β€”
Up days (30d)5β€”β€”
Up days (60d)8β€”β€”
Up days (90d)16β€”β€”
Up days (all)16β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)0β€”β€”
Down days (14d)1β€”β€”
Down days (30d)3β€”β€”
Down days (60d)9β€”β€”
Down days (90d)25β€”β€”
Down days (all)25β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)50β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)63β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)47β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)39β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)39β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+1.9%
95
95
Trend slope (60d)+0.6%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-6.1%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-6.1%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.50Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.52Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.16Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip5.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

31/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+1.3%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+11.6%
44
43
Return stdev (60d)+10.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+41.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+41.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+7.2%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+7.1%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+22.9%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+25.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+50.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+99.5%
95
95
Max drawdown (all)+99.5%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+99.2%
95
95
Current drawdown (all)+99.2%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)84dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)84dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.40Γ—
82
84
Sortino ratio (90d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.29β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)2.44β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)7.56β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)12.04β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+1.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+47.6%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+47.6%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+173.5%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+3.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+17.9%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+23.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+88.6%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+9.1%
95
95
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score60
95
95
Listings on book52β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+70.0%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+8.3%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+3.5%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+6.6%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+15.7%
79
85
Supply growth (60d)+44.5%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+510.8%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)n/s+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)n/s+2.4%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)n/s+4.9%
76
77
Owner growth (60d)n/s+26.5%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)n/s+4200.0%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)3.17β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)2.66β€”β€”
Supply doubling time143dβ€”β€”
Copies per ownern/s13.26Γ—
72
69
Top-1 holder sharen/s+1.4%
24
20
Top-10 holder sharen/s+5.4%
17
13
HHI (top-10)n/s5.2β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)n/s2β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)n/s-10.8%
9
6
Absorption (60d)n/s-18.1%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)n/s+3689.2%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationn/sβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-81.4%
8
7
Price per scarcity point0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+51.9%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.13β€”β€”
Accumulation score53β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+2.3%
75
75
Momentum pillar46
32
31
Scarcity pillar36β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar42β€”β€”
Value pillar94β€”β€”
Risk pillar24β€”β€”
Overall rating58
87
89
Data completeness+73.3%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.13Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.97Γ—
78
76
Beta vs market (90d)0.32Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.36Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.32Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+3.0%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+41.7%
91
92
Return vs market (90d)-89.9%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
50
Spike days (60d)4β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)9β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)1
25
50
Dump days (60d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)15β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)-3.9%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-2.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+2.7%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-6β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.