Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 15, 10:02 AM.
486 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 2.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 16% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 49% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 77% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number is the fair-value residual: Spiky Hair Frosted Tips is trading 77.3% below the model's fair value, the 5th percentile within its cohort, after a 15.3% weekly decline that also lagged the market median by 12.0%. In this single-regime market, drops that sharp have tended to recover, so the pack reads this as a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extrapolate. Supply is genuinely fixed at 486 units post-delisting. The caveat is execution: liquidity scores 16/100, the bid/ask spread is 74.2%, and the $0.85 lowest ask sits well above both the $0.39 best bid and the $0.40 median sale. With concentrated ownership flagged and risk/safety at 42/100, the discount comes attached to real friction.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 18h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -3.4% | 47 | 45 |
| Return (14d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -41.4% | 12 | 16 |
| Return (60d) | +97.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +123.7% | 79 | 87 |
| Return (all) | -82.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -23.9% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -53.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +68.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +80.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -174.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.85 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.88 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.08 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.24 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.95 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.79 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.94 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +97.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +479.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +500.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2128.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 40 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 41 | 43 | 49 |
| Position in range (all) | 10 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -49.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -49.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -49.4% | 31 | 37 |
| Distance from high (all) | -86.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +193.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +203.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +203.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -10.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -22.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +20.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 46 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -1.5% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.95 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -10.2% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.96 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -11.9% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $1.10 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | -22.6% | 17 | 18 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -1.5% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.95 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -10.2% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $1.10 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | -22.6% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.0% | 13 | 20 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.91× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.64× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.41× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.01× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -21.5% | 11 | 14 |
| Days since trend flip | 10d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +3.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.3% | 53 | 57 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +18.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +22.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +23.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +49.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +72.6% | 78 | 76 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +95.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +49.4% | 69 | 63 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +86.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 25d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 131d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.11× | 31 | 34 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.30× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.29 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.67 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.94 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 27.01 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +42.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +149.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +210.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +36.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +58.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.7% | 83 | 82 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 23 | 84 | 83 |
| Listings on book | 13 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +74.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +7.5% | 80 | 84 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +36.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +65.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.17 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 287d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.15× | 60 | 60 |
| Top-1 holder share | +2.1% | 33 | 29 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.2% | 27 | 20 |
| HHI (top-10) | 7.92 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -76.5% | 7 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +54.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.28 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 51 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -0.9% | 47 | 45 |
| Momentum pillar | 62 | 88 | 90 |
| Scarcity pillar | 66 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 77 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 60 | 95 | 95 |
| Data completeness | +81.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.67× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.35× | 61 | 59 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.86× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.66× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -18.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -64.6% | 12 | 16 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -8.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +19.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.