Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 6:02 AM.
3,700 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 50% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is a 49.7% discount to modelled fair value, and the supply side supports it: the item is delisted with a fixed 3,700 units, placing 30d supply growth in the 5th percentile alongside dump days at the 5th percentile, while a 30d Sortino ratio in the 95th percentile points to well-contained downside. The counterweight is execution. Liquidity scores 3/100, the current observation shows one Steam Market sale in 24h against 28 active listings, and the bid/ask spread is 65.3%, with the best standing bid at $1.01 versus a $1.97 lowest ask and a $1.12 median sale. Given that gap, patient limit work near the $1.01 bid floor may matter more here than the discount itself. Overall grade: C, 44/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 15h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.3% | 47 | 55 |
| Return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +80.0% | 52 | 57 |
| Return (60d) | +53.5% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -9.6% | 31 | 36 |
| Return (all) | -23.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +58.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +42.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -26.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.98 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.10 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $2.11 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $2.19 | — | — |
| High (all) | $3.54 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.04 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.04 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.05 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.16 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.07 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.29 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.35 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $2.16 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +102.9% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +102.9% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +112.6% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +243.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 88 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 88 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 82 | 75 | 83 |
| Position in range (all) | 38 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -5.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -6.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -6.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -6.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -9.6% | 74 | 82 |
| Distance from high (all) | -44.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +90.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +90.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +92.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +92.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +34.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +30.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 40 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 84 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $2.03 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -2.3% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $2.05 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -3.4% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $2.03 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -2.3% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $2.05 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -3.4% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.2% | 58 | 63 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.70× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.59× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +11.4% | 24 | 25 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +34.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +53.0% | 34 | 32 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +70.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +9.6% | 26 | 19 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 163d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 2.78× | 94 | 94 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.63 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.83 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 22.08 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 19.52 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +72.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +72.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +72.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.0% | 27 | 32 |
| On-market % | +0.7% | 27 | 26 |
| Days to clear listings | 25d | 65 | 57 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 4 | 11 | 14 |
| Listings on book | 25 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +76.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -13.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 10.14× | 40 | 40 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.1% | 50 | 43 |
| Top-10 holder share | +12.5% | 52 | 45 |
| HHI (top-10) | 23.82 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 182d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.99× | 50 | 53 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.99× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -50.3% | 25 | 27 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +55.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.87 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 41 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.7% | 47 | 55 |
| Momentum pillar | 54 | 52 | 48 |
| Scarcity pillar | 40 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 3 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 52 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 38 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 64 | 59 |
| Data completeness | +81.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.07× | 66 | 61 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.69× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -48.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -104.1% | 51 | 56 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -129.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 10 | 10 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 0 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -9.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -6.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.