Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 12:02 PM.
3,624 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~9.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 27% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 86/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is structural, not directional: the order book shows a 40.9% bid/ask spread, with the best standing bid at $3.38 against a $5.12 lowest ask, and the $5.22 median sale sitting 54% above that bid. That phantom-price gap pairs with a liquidity score of 4/100 and a value score of 27/100, while the model reads the item 28.9% above fair value. The +15.7% weekly gain is real but, in this single-regime market, sharp spikes have tended to fade, so it reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, reinforced by a 90-day range position in the 87th percentile. Fixed supply post-delisting (3,624 units, 1,861 lifetime buyers) and accumulating bids are the counterweight, but the overall grade is D at 38/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 20h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -3.9% | 49 | 57 |
| Return (14d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +110.7% | 62 | 71 |
| Return (60d) | +100.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +19.6% | 53 | 55 |
| Return (all) | +1.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +74.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +69.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +1.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $5.12 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $5.20 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $5.33 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $5.65 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $5.65 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $5.65 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $5.65 | — | — |
| High (all) | $12.04 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $5.12 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $5.12 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $5.12 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $4.04 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.20 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $5.12 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $5.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $5.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $5.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $4.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $3.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $4.13 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $5.12 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $5.12 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $5.29 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.25 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $4.44 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.54 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.55 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +39.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +156.8% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +237.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +237.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +618.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 67 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 85 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 87 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 87 | 80 | 87 |
| Position in range (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -9.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -9.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -9.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -9.4% | 78 | 83 |
| Distance from high (all) | -57.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +26.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +132.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +205.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +205.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +205.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +27.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +60.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +58.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 87 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $5.23 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -2.2% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $5.11 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +0.2% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $5.23 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -2.2% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $5.11 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +0.2% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.3% | 59 | 65 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.62× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.32× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +11.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +19.8% | 58 | 60 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +36.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +36.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +60.9% | 51 | 51 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +86.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +9.4% | 25 | 18 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +57.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 9.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 148d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.70× | 60 | 61 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.34 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.4 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 12.89 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 28.18 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +39.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +116.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +116.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +116.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.1% | 36 | 51 |
| On-market % | +0.5% | 17 | 16 |
| Days to clear listings | 9.5d | 42 | 32 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 4 | 12 | 15 |
| Listings on book | 19 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +41.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +15.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 9.87× | 38 | 38 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.4% | 20 | 17 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.2% | 27 | 20 |
| HHI (top-10) | 6.41 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 183d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.14× | 54 | 57 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.14× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +26.8% | 57 | 64 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.12× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +34.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $3.36 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 86 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -0.6% | 49 | 57 |
| Momentum pillar | 56 | 63 | 59 |
| Scarcity pillar | 43 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 3 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 38 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 38 | 37 | 32 |
| Data completeness | +80.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.66× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.52× | 43 | 37 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.39× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.26× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -43.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -73.4% | 61 | 70 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -100.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 63 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.