Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 18, 6:02 AM.
425 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
Only 4.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~10.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (425 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Graded legendary: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
58pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 29% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 92% above the best standing bid of $1.18; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in greedy territory right now: buyers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most telling number here is the order book: the $2.62 ask sits 97% above the best standing bid of $1.15, a 78% bid/ask spread that makes the quoted price largely notional. Gains of 16.4% over 24h and 27.1% over 7d look strong in isolation, but this item ranks in the 95th percentile for spike days over 30d, and in a single-regime market those sharp moves have tended to fade rather than extend. The 7d return still trails the market median by 54.7%. With one recorded sale in the last 24h, liquidity at 34/100 and risk/safety at 21/100, the 22.9% discount to fair value is hard to act on at posted prices. Ownership is concentrated: 39 holders across 425 units. Grade C, 46/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 15h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +16.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +7.8% | 15 | 11 |
| Return (14d) | +123.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -1.1% | 18 | 12 |
| Return (60d) | -29.6% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -34.7% | 23 | 16 |
| Return (all) | -92.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +80.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -35.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -42.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -262.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $2.62 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $2.62 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $2.62 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $2.65 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $2.66 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $3.73 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $4.16 | — | — |
| High (all) | $44.65 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $2.62 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.25 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.18 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.12 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $2.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.55 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.97 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $6.89 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $2.62 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $2.62 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.25 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.25 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.25 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $2.66 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.96 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.73 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +16.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +20.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +136.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +137.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +233.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +271.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3886.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 98 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 98 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 57 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 49 | 44 | 42 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -29.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -37.0% | 41 | 33 |
| Distance from high (all) | -94.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +16.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +20.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +133.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +133.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +133.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +133.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +133.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +25.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -11.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -62.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 69 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $2.36 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +10.9% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $2.36 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +10.9% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.0% | 40 | 38 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.46× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.65× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.46× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +18.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +31.3% | 82 | 82 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +18.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +18.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +18.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +57.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +70.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +73.1% | 65 | 68 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +37.0% | 59 | 67 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +94.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 67d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 135d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.25× | 34 | 30 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.06 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.98 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.09 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +16.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +56.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +96.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +96.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +96.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +53.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +53.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +53.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +4.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 38 | 95 | 95 |
| Listings on book | 20 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +75.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +19.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +6.5% | 66 | 78 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +2.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +2.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +11.4% | 68 | 73 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +5.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +39.3% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.67 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.9 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 329d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 10.90× | 51 | 52 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +2.1% | 33 | 27 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +10.1% | 38 | 30 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 13.34 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 4 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +4.9% | 69 | 70 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -10.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -28.8% | 35 | 36 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +55.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.12 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 53 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -57.6% | 15 | 11 |
| Momentum pillar | 47 | 84 | 84 |
| Scarcity pillar | 55 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 18 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 46 | 78 | 85 |
| Data completeness | +80.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.97× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.50× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.48× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.14× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +25.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -97.5% | 18 | 13 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -152.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.