Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 18, 6:02 AM.
Price down 6.5% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
Down 12.2% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
Only 1.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (920 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 50% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 80pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 81% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 283% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in greedy territory right now: buyers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 69% single-day gain is the headline, but it reads as fade-risk rather than continuation: in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to unwind, and Snapback Orange already sits in the 95th percentile for spike days over 30 days. The structure underneath is thin. The $0.49 ask stands 191% above the best standing bid of $0.11, a 126.7% spread, and above the $0.32 median sale, with liquidity scored 11 of 100 on three sales in the last 24h. Ownership is concentrated (915 units across 67 holders, top-1 share in the 90th percentile) and safety scores 13 of 100. The -78.1% fair-value residual is real, but with a fresh drop still landing, waiting for bids to firm toward the ask may be the more defensible read.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +115.0% | 68 | 65 |
| Return (14d) | +79.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +65.4% | 53 | 49 |
| Return (60d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -29.5% | 27 | 21 |
| Return (all) | -99.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -13.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +76.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +58.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +50.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -20.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -35.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -708.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| High (all) | $512.50 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $5.03 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +145.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +145.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +250.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +278.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +335.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +365971.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 90 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 74 | 66 | 64 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -29.5% | 50 | 47 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +115.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +115.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +207.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +207.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +207.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +207.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | -12.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -10.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +25.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +38.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +52.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -91.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 63 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 80 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 57 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +25.4% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +25.4% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.3% | 58 | 56 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.69× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.03× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +22.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +20.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +24.0% | 70 | 70 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +20.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +19.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +38.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +54.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +73.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +77.0% | 73 | 76 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +19.7% | 38 | 41 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 88d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 138d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.47× | 51 | 47 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.46 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.06 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.01 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 5.87 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +78.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +89.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.1% | 45 | 52 |
| On-market % | +1.7% | 76 | 76 |
| Days to clear listings | 16d | 60 | 53 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 10 | 47 | 52 |
| Listings on book | 16 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +121.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +10.1% | 75 | 80 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +21.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +3.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +8.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +9.8% | 64 | 69 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +13.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +31.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.9 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 216d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 13.53× | 80 | 78 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +9.5% | 90 | 87 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +12.1% | 48 | 41 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 90.39 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.3% | 24 | 21 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -7.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -80.6% | 6 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +72.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.11 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +79.5% | 77 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 23 | 10 | 13 |
| Scarcity pillar | 55 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 7 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 64 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 11 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 36 | 44 | 48 |
| Data completeness | +80.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.47× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.74× | 51 | 45 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.26× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.9% | 63 | 58 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -127.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 87 | 83 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.