Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 18, 2:02 AM.
Price down 6.1% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
Only 2.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (993 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 101% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 124pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 283% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in greedy territory right now: buyers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the headline here: a 121.3% bid/ask spread, with the lowest ask at $0.49 against a best standing bid of $0.12, puts the listed price 42% above any real buyer, and the $0.17 median sale sits far closer to the bid than the ask. That gap frames the 7d move of +68.4% (and +143.7% against the market median) less as a trend to follow than as fade-risk, consistent with 95th percentile spike days over 30d and a 20.9% premium to the fair-value model. Liquidity scores 14/100 and risk/safety 14/100, for an overall D at 29/100. Ownership is unusually dispersed for the cohort (84 owners across 990 units, top-1 share in the 9th percentile), which supports the holding read but does little for exit depth at these asks.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 11h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -6.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +187.5% | 83 | 81 |
| Return (14d) | +142.1% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +100.0% | 67 | 62 |
| Return (60d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +9.5% | 58 | 57 |
| Return (all) | -97.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -6.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -12.3% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +105.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +88.4% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +69.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -368.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.52 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| High (all) | $512.78 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $6.26 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +231.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +231.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +231.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +231.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +231.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +320387.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 81 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 81 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 81 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 81 | 72 | 68 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -13.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -13.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -13.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -13.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -13.2% | 69 | 65 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +187.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -6.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +19.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +56.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +35.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +30.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -92.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 31 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 68 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +19.5% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.39 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +19.5% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.7% | 50 | 47 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.67× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.04× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +36.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +27.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +25.7% | 75 | 75 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +18.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +46.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +57.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +67.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +67.3% | 53 | 55 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +13.2% | 30 | 35 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 3.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 136d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.52× | 54 | 50 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.72 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.91 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 10.41 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 25.12 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +134.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +134.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +134.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +134.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +134.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +36.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +36.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +36.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.1% | 49 | 59 |
| On-market % | +2.3% | 81 | 82 |
| Days to clear listings | 23d | 68 | 57 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 12 | 59 | 64 |
| Listings on book | 23 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +117.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +3.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +7.4% | 68 | 78 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +16.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +5.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +7.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +15.1% | 76 | 78 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +21.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +42.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.34 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 292d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 11.55× | 59 | 60 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.1% | 11 | 9 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.6% | 13 | 9 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.32 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 5 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +7.7% | 79 | 79 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +5.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +14.2% | 52 | 52 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +73.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.12 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +124.5% | 83 | 81 |
| Momentum pillar | 20 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 49 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 28 | 19 | 19 |
| Data completeness | +80.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 2.25× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 2.00× | 85 | 81 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.78× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.58× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +33.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +3.6% | 68 | 62 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -108.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 7 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 5 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.