Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 29, 5:02 AM.
Price up 2094.6% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
222 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 1.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading within 5% of its highest recorded price: historically stretched, with limited room to run.
Average price up 1275% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 97: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 4446pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The median sale price sits 247% above the best standing bid of $0.43; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
A 24h print of +4868.2% is the headline here, but almost everything behind it argues against reading that as a trend. The lowest ask sits at $32.79 against a median sale price of $1.49 and a best standing bid of $0.42, a bid/ask spread of 194.9% and a phantom price pattern in which the median sale itself sits 255% above the best bid. The model puts the item 300% above fair value, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade rather than extend. With a single active listing observed against 220 units in existence, a D grade (37/100) and a 23/100 momentum score, the 95th percentile 7d return rests on very little real depth.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +2094.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +4863.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +4443.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +4863.1% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +3225.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +930.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +930.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +308.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +390.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +381.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +390.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +350.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +233.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +233.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $32.26 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $32.27 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $32.27 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $32.27 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $32.27 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $32.27 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $32.27 | — | — |
| High (all) | $32.27 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $32.26 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $32.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $21.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $9.72 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $5.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.05 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.85 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.85 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $32.26 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $32.26 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +5190.2% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +5190.2% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +5190.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +5190.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 100 | 95 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 100 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -0.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Distance from high (all) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +4863.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +4863.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +4863.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +5188.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +5188.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +5188.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +5188.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +48.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +231.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +518.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +956.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +1030.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +1030.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +1030.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 14 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $9.72 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +231.8% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $5.21 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +518.7% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $9.72 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +231.8% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $5.21 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +518.7% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +31.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +15.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.16× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +160.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +108.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +77.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +75.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +75.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +75.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +17.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +17.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +37.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +80.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +80.5% | 83 | 77 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +80.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 1.0d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 1.0d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 26.51× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 8.93× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 5.1 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 5.47 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 26 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 29.98 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +4864.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +20.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.5% | 87 | 78 |
| On-market % | +1.4% | 59 | 66 |
| Days to clear listings | 3.0d | 15 | 23 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 17 | 76 | 77 |
| Listings on book | 3 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +194.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +25.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +40.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +178.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 4.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 4.86 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 20d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.33× | 66 | 66 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +4.5% | 7 | 10 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 2.03 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 51d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.47× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +98.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.39 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 60 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +4446.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 20 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 68 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 9 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 0 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 29 | 12 | 15 |
| Data completeness | +81.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -49.10× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -12.91× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -8.39× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.18× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.07× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +4814.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +3041.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 25 | 38 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.