Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 2:02 PM.
3,372 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 22% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 64% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 153% above the best standing bid of $19.85; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most important number here is the fair-value residual: Skull Helmet is trading 300% above the model's estimate, placing it in the 95th percentile of the market on that measure. The order book explains much of the gap. The lowest ask of $27.46 sits 156% above the best standing bid of $19.60, a 33.4% spread, with a cumulative bid floor of $19.55 and liquidity scored at just 11/100 across 32 active listings. The 7d gain of +19.0% is paired with a 24h drop of -14.3% and 95th-percentile spike days, so the weekly move reads as fade-risk rather than continuation. Supply is fixed at 3372 units post-delisting, but with an overall grade of D (34/100), the structural case rests on scarcity rather than current pricing.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 23h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -15.8% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -8.7% | 38 | 44 |
| Return (14d) | +27.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -20.6% | 49 | 51 |
| Return (60d) | -36.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -55.1% | 28 | 34 |
| Return (all) | -87.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -17.2% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -9.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +24.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -23.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -45.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -80.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -206.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $26.98 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $32.05 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $32.05 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $32.05 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $34.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $42.60 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $74.00 | — | — |
| High (all) | $283.91 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $26.98 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $26.98 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $26.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $21.17 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $17.74 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $17.74 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $17.74 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $17.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $26.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $28.83 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $28.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $25.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $26.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $32.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $41.13 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $87.68 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $26.98 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $27.46 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $27.22 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $26.00 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $26.00 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $32.13 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $39.35 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $63.62 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +18.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +51.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +91.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +140.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +317.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1500.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 53 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 57 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 16 | 56 | 59 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -15.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -15.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -15.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -20.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -36.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -63.5% | 41 | 38 |
| Distance from high (all) | -90.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +3.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +27.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +52.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +52.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +52.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +52.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -16.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -34.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -69.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 52 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 45 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 98 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 63 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +2.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.5% | 60 | 63 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.71× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.89× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.68× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 7.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +14.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.2% | 50 | 50 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +8.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +8.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +47.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +58.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +76.0% | 66 | 68 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +63.5% | 59 | 62 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +90.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 86d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 179d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.02× | 50 | 51 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.44 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.65 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 6.08 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +23.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +32.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +32.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +32.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +31.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 25 | 25 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 25 | 25 |
| Listings on book | 32 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +30.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +1.3% | 38 | 50 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.58× | 26 | 25 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.1% | 50 | 42 |
| Top-10 holder share | +11.2% | 45 | 35 |
| HHI (top-10) | 19.16 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +1.3% | 58 | 60 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 345d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.80× | 86 | 85 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.80× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.75× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +26.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $19.62 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 58 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -5.1% | 38 | 44 |
| Momentum pillar | 53 | 54 | 53 |
| Scarcity pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 40 | 23 | 19 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.78× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.54× | 60 | 62 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -5.7% | 49 | 51 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -42.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.