Skull Helmetfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

45/ 100

Momentum60

Scarcity40

Liquidity28

Value39

Risk50

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bearish

Positive momentum

Price up 4.2% in 24h: a mild upward trend.

Elevated supply

3,372 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~8.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 17% over the past week versus the prior week.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The most striking figure here is the valuation gap: Skull Helmet trades at +300.0% above the model's fair-value estimate, placing it in the 95th percentile for fair-value residual across the market, while the ask sits well above the median sale price of $52.00 at $59.92. That premium comes despite a 7d price decline of -17.1% (14.7% behind the market median over the same window), which the contrarian read frames as a possible recovery setup rather than a breakdown, given this market's tendency for sharp drops to reverse. Liquidity is thin, with only 2 executed sales in 24h and 25 units listed against 393 owners, so the standing bid of $51.15 and 15.8% spread matter more than usual in reading where real demand sits.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+4.2%	—	—
Return (3d)	+15.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	-15.7%	34	40
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$60.09	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-0.3%	—	—
SMA (14)	$66.28	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-9.6%	—	—
SMA (21)	$68.06	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-12.0%	—	—
SMA (30)	$69.44	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-13.7%	74	75
SMA (50)	$69.94	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-14.3%	—	—
SMA (90)	$123.41	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-51.4%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$60.09	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-0.3%	—	—
EMA (14)	$66.28	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-9.6%	—	—
EMA (30)	$69.44	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-13.7%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-0.6%	86	79
Trend slope (60d)	-0.7%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.9%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.33×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.13×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.37×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.71×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.73×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-13.5%	71	65
Days since trend flip	4.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+11.4%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+9.3%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+8.8%	27	39
Return stdev (60d)	+9.1%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+10.6%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+10.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+5.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+7.2%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+40.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+53.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+82.4%	35	36
Max drawdown (all)	+82.4%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+78.9%	32	35
Current drawdown (all)	+78.9%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.02×	82	77
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.16×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	0.53	—	—
Return skew (90d)	0.65	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	1.33	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	2.76	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+10.4%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+12.0%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+24.8%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+28.3%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+35.3%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+16.5%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+16.5%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+16.5%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+18.7%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+29.7%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+0.7%	12	18
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	13.23	—	—
Liquidity score	21	23	23
Listings on book	25	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+13.6%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+8.7%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-3.8%	30	43
Listings trend (60d)	-32.4%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+15.8%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.33×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+0.6%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	50
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.3%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	35
Owner growth (60d)	+14.2%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+83.6%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	8.58×	26	25
Top-1 holder share	+3.1%	48	44
Top-10 holder share	+10.9%	47	36
HHI (top-10)	18.84	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+0.0%	37	47
Absorption (60d)	+14.2%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+83.6%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	255d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	4.00×	90	90
Store-price ratio	4.00×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+300.0%	95	95
Price per scarcity point	1.50×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+14.6%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$48.11	—	—
Accumulation score	62	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-14.7%	24	29
Momentum pillar	60	87	83
Scarcity pillar	40	—	—
Liquidity pillar	28	—	—
Value pillar	39	—	—
Risk pillar	50	—	—
Overall rating	48	55	55
Data completeness	+91.0%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	1	25	38
Spike days (60d)	3	—	—
Spike days (90d)	5	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	25
Dump days (60d)	2	—	—
Dump days (90d)	5	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+0.0%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-5.5%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-4.8%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	0	—	—