Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 11, 6:02 PM.
279 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 4.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price down 19% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 82% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
17pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 98% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 10% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 58% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number is the fair-value residual: at $0.19 this accessory trades 97.9% below the model's mark, a 5th-percentile reading across the market. Supply is fixed at 278 units following the store delisting, spread across 23 owners, and the holder base is widening rather than shrinking. The offset is execution quality. Thirteen live listings, a liquidity score of 26, a 45.2% bid/ask spread and a listed price sitting 58% above the $0.12 best bid mean the quoted number is phantom rather than transactable. The 18.7% weekly decline (16.7% behind the market median) and a 95th-percentile dump-day count read as a possible recovery setup here, though the $0.11 cumulative bid floor marks where real demand actually begins.
AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 3h ago Β· Not financial advice β automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Return (7d) | -20.8% | 23 | 22 |
| Return (14d) | -20.8% | β | β |
| Return (30d) | -34.5% | 29 | 26 |
| Return (60d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Return (90d) | -82.1% | 13 | 9 |
| Return (all) | -82.1% | β | β |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Log return (7d) | -23.4% | β | β |
| Log return (14d) | -23.4% | β | β |
| Log return (30d) | -42.3% | β | β |
| Log return (60d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Log return (90d) | -171.9% | β | β |
| Log return (all) | -171.9% | β | β |
| High (24h) | β | β | β |
| High (3d) | $0.19 | β | β |
| High (7d) | $0.24 | β | β |
| High (14d) | $0.28 | β | β |
| High (30d) | $0.65 | β | β |
| High (60d) | $0.65 | β | β |
| High (90d) | $1.06 | β | β |
| High (all) | $1.06 | β | β |
| Low (24h) | β | β | β |
| Low (3d) | $0.19 | β | β |
| Low (7d) | $0.19 | β | β |
| Low (14d) | $0.19 | β | β |
| Low (30d) | $0.19 | β | β |
| Low (60d) | $0.16 | β | β |
| Low (90d) | $0.16 | β | β |
| Low (all) | $0.16 | β | β |
| Mean price (24h) | β | β | β |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.19 | β | β |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.21 | β | β |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.23 | β | β |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.29 | β | β |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.25 | β | β |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.31 | β | β |
| Mean price (all) | $0.31 | β | β |
| Median price (24h) | β | β | β |
| Median price (3d) | $0.19 | β | β |
| Median price (7d) | $0.21 | β | β |
| Median price (14d) | $0.24 | β | β |
| Median price (30d) | $0.24 | β | β |
| Median price (60d) | $0.24 | β | β |
| Median price (90d) | $0.24 | β | β |
| Median price (all) | $0.24 | β | β |
| Range % (24h) | β | β | β |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Range % (7d) | +26.3% | β | β |
| Range % (14d) | +47.4% | β | β |
| Range % (30d) | +242.1% | β | β |
| Range % (60d) | +306.3% | β | β |
| Range % (90d) | +562.5% | β | β |
| Range % (all) | +562.5% | β | β |
| Position in range (24h) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (3d) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (7d) | β | β | β |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | β | β |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | β | β |
| Position in range (60d) | 6 | β | β |
| Position in range (90d) | 3 | 31 | 31 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | β | β |
| Distance from high (24h) | β | β | β |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from high (7d) | -20.8% | β | β |
| Distance from high (14d) | -32.1% | β | β |
| Distance from high (30d) | -70.8% | β | β |
| Distance from high (60d) | -70.8% | β | β |
| Distance from high (90d) | -82.1% | 20 | 17 |
| Distance from high (all) | -82.1% | β | β |
| Distance from low (24h) | β | β | β |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Distance from low (60d) | +18.8% | β | β |
| Distance from low (90d) | +18.8% | β | β |
| Distance from low (all) | +18.8% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (24h) | β | β | β |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -10.9% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -18.6% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -33.8% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -24.8% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -39.3% | β | β |
| Price vs mean (all) | -39.3% | β | β |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | β | β |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | β | β |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | β | β |
| Up days (90d) | 9 | β | β |
| Up days (all) | 9 | β | β |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | β | β |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | β | β |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | β | β |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | β | β |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | β | β |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | β | β |
| Down days (90d) | 30 | β | β |
| Down days (all) | 30 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | β | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | β | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 21 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 25 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 23 | β | β |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 23 | β | β |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (7) | β | β | β |
| SMA (14) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (14) | β | β | β |
| SMA (21) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (21) | β | β | β |
| SMA (30) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (30) | β | β | β |
| SMA (50) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (50) | β | β | β |
| SMA (90) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (90) | β | β | β |
| SMA (100) | β | β | β |
| Price vs SMA (100) | β | β | β |
| EMA (7) | β | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (7) | β | β | β |
| EMA (14) | β | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (14) | β | β | β |
| EMA (30) | β | β | β |
| Price vs EMA (30) | β | β | β |
| RSI (7) | β | β | β |
| RSI (14) | β | β | β |
| RSI (21) | β | β | β |
| RSI (30) | β | β | β |
| RSI (50) | β | β | β |
| RSI (100) | β | β | β |
| Trend slope (14d) | -3.1% | β | β |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.7% | 27 | 24 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.9% | β | β |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.2% | β | β |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.2% | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (14d) | 0.71Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (30d) | 0.10Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (60d) | 0.11Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (90d) | 0.15Γ | β | β |
| Trend fit RΒ² (all) | 0.15Γ | β | β |
| SMA 7/30 cross | β | β | β |
| Days since trend flip | 12d | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +8.3% | β | β |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.0% | β | β |
| Return stdev (30d) | +25.3% | 85 | 85 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +20.5% | β | β |
| Return stdev (90d) | +21.1% | β | β |
| Return stdev (all) | +21.1% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.1% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.5% | β | β |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +11.4% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +70.8% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +70.8% | β | β |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +84.9% | 79 | 80 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +84.9% | β | β |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +82.1% | 80 | 83 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +82.1% | β | β |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 81d | β | β |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 81d | β | β |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.20Γ | 77 | 80 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.01Γ | β | β |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.26 | β | β |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.37 | β | β |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 19.96 | β | β |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 23.95 | β | β |
| Largest up day (7d) | β | β | β |
| Largest up day (14d) | +16.7% | β | β |
| Largest up day (30d) | +176.6% | β | β |
| Largest up day (60d) | +176.6% | β | β |
| Largest up day (90d) | +176.6% | β | β |
| Largest down day (7d) | +17.4% | β | β |
| Largest down day (14d) | +17.4% | β | β |
| Largest down day (30d) | +35.4% | β | β |
| Largest down day (60d) | +35.4% | β | β |
| Largest down day (90d) | +48.6% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | β | β | β |
| On-market % | +4.7% | 88 | 90 |
| Days to clear listings | β | β | β |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | β | β |
| Liquidity score | 37 | 88 | 90 |
| Listings on book | 13 | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | β | β |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Bid-ask spread % | +45.2% | β | β |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | β | β | β |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | β | β | β |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +6.1% | β | β |
| Supply growth (14d) | +15.4% | β | β |
| Supply growth (30d) | +36.5% | 91 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +105.2% | β | β |
| Supply growth (90d) | -97.5% | β | β |
| Owner growth (7d) | +9.5% | β | β |
| Owner growth (14d) | +15.0% | β | β |
| Owner growth (30d) | +35.3% | 92 | 92 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +130.0% | β | β |
| Owner growth (90d) | β | β | β |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2.67 | β | β |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.55 | β | β |
| Supply doubling time | 67d | β | β |
| Copies per owner | 12.13Γ | 64 | 66 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.1% | 14 | 9 |
| Top-10 holder share | +5.0% | 13 | 8 |
| HHI (top-10) | 3.08 | β | β |
| Whale count (β₯5) | 0 | β | β |
| Absorption (30d) | -1.2% | 24 | 19 |
| Absorption (60d) | +24.8% | β | β |
| Absorption (90d) | β | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 90d | β | β |
| Days since fixation | β | β | β |
| Days until leaving storen/s | β | β | β |
| Release-price multiple | β | β | β |
| Store-price ratio | β | β | β |
| Fair-value residual | -97.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00Γ | β | β |
| Instant-sell discount | +36.8% | β | β |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.11 | β | β |
| Accumulation score | 50 | β | β |
| Market-relative 7d return | -16.7% | 23 | 22 |
| Momentum pillar | 60 | 66 | 64 |
| Scarcity pillar | 71 | β | β |
| Liquidity pillar | 26 | β | β |
| Value pillar | 98 | β | β |
| Risk pillar | 34 | β | β |
| Overall rating | 65 | 92 | 91 |
| Data completeness | +75.8% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.15Γ | β | β |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.70Γ | 92 | 94 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.47Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.07Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.18Γ | β | β |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.09Γ | β | β |
| Return vs market (14d) | -13.1% | β | β |
| Return vs market (30d) | -13.7% | 27 | 25 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -75.6% | β | β |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | β | β |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | β | β |
| Dump days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | β | β |
| Dump days (90d) | 10 | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | β | β |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.8% | β | β |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | β | β |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | β | β |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | β | β |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -6 | β | β |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. βn/sβ marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.