Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 28, 12:02 PM.
Price down 3.3% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
126 total supply: a relatively rare item.
~12.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 100% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
17pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 94% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
The listed price sits 142% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the problem here: with the best standing bid at $0.12 against a $0.30 ask, the listed price floats 150% above real demand and the spread runs 85.7%. That phantom pricing undercuts the headline value case, even though the model puts the item 94.6% below fair value (value score 98/100). Declines of 11.8% over 24h and 9.3% over 7d leave it 16.4% behind the market median and in the 5th percentile for 30d return, with a 90d drawdown in the 95th percentile. Supply is thin at 124 units, but 10 owners holding them concentrates risk, reflected in the 43/100 safety score. Any recovery read depends on bids rising toward the ask, not the ask holding.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 20h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -19.4% | 19 | 17 |
| Return (14d) | -9.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -64.6% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (60d) | -87.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -87.9% | 13 | 11 |
| Return (all) | -87.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -21.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -9.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -103.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -210.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -210.9% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -210.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $271.99 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $271.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $271.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $12.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $12.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $12.82 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.32 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.37 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +24.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +331.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +143052.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +143052.6% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +143052.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 16 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 10 | 10 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -19.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -21.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -64.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -99.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -99.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +52.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +52.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +52.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +52.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -10.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -7.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -97.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -97.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -97.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -4.1% | 10 | 9 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -12.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -12.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -12.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.52× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.13× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.13× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +36.0% | 92 | 92 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +100.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +100.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +100.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +18.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +27.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +27.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +76.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +99.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +99.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +99.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 42d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 42d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.11× | 61 | 62 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 10.95× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.51 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 6.08 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 15.77 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 36.96 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +194.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +11280.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +11280.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +68.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +94.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +94.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +15.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 78 | 95 | 95 |
| Listings on book | 19 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +82.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -29.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +35.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +106.6% | 95 | 95 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +6200.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +6200.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +42.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +66.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 2.67 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.24 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 29d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.60× | 63 | 63 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.6% | 28 | 25 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +8.7% | 36 | 29 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 8.19 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -39.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 56d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -94.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +58.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.12 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 38 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -17.3% | 19 | 17 |
| Momentum pillar | 58 | 75 | 76 |
| Scarcity pillar | 55 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 55 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 98 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 63 | 94 | 95 |
| Data completeness | +76.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.07× | 43 | 42 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 41.92× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -72.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -80.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -13.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -13.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -5 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -5 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.