Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 86%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 13, 11:02 PM.
208 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 3.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 99% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 77% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline tension here is a 76.0% bid/ask spread: the lowest ask sits at $1.78 while the best standing bid is $0.80 and the median sale price is $0.81, so the posted ask and the price buyers have actually paid are two different markets. The model reads the item 77.3% below fair value, supported by a value score of 93/100 and low supply across 207 units, but liquidity scores 17/100 with a single Steam sale in the last 24h. Price is down 7.3% on the day and 5.8% on the week, and 90d return and position in range both sit at the 5th percentile. With a 95th-percentile 30d return against that, any entry probably deserves anchoring to the $0.80 bid rather than the $1.78 ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 7h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -5.9% | 39 | 40 |
| Return (14d) | -10.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +633.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +450.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -99.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -26.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -6.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -10.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +199.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +170.5% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -504.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -30.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.92 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.92 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $271.99 | — | — |
| High (all) | $271.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.75 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.75 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.75 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.81 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.87 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.88 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $6.59 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $6.49 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.78 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.90 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.75 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.78 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +13.1% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +725.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +1064.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +159894.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +159894.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 13 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 89 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 89 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -11.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -11.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -11.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -99.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +633.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +935.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +935.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +935.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -3.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -2.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -5.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +100.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -73.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -72.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $1.81 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -2.9% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $1.87 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -5.8% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $1.56 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +12.8% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | +27.1% | 92 | 95 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $1.81 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -2.9% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $1.87 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -5.8% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | +27.1% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.3% | 93 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -6.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -5.7% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.57× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.07× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | +30.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +31.3% | 90 | 88 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +24.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +46.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +70.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +11.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +21.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +70.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +70.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +99.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +99.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 89d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.14× | 90 | 92 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.26 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.47 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.41 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.85 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +194.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +37.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +37.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +94.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.5% | 90 | 95 |
| On-market % | +3.8% | 92 | 92 |
| Days to clear listings | 8.0d | 29 | 26 |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 26 | 88 | 85 |
| Listings on book | 8 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +76.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +35.3% | 92 | 91 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +122.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +613.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.67 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.86 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 69d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 13.00× | 70 | 69 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +2.9% | 47 | 40 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +10.1% | 41 | 35 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 17.34 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 102d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -77.4% | 6 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +54.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.50 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -3.1% | 39 | 40 |
| Momentum pillar | 49 | 25 | 32 |
| Scarcity pillar | 65 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 18 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 93 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 43 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 60 | 95 | 95 |
| Data completeness | +86.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.13× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 3.10× | 95 | 94 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.18× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +587.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -233.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +19.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.