Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 12:02 AM.
10,878 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 14/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 0.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 27% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 44% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
24pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 117% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 116% above the best standing bid of $2.03; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable number here is valuation: at $2.99 the lowest ask sits 117.3% above the model's fair value, and the order book shows that ask floating 132% above the best standing bid of $1.89, a 45.1% spread. The +27.1% weekly move reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, consistent with a 95th-percentile spike-day count and a high-volatility flag. Supply is fixed at 10,878 units post-delisting, but with 735 unique owners, 65 active listings and a liquidity score of 4/100, exits are thin. The overall rating of 27/100 (D, 5th percentile) and a 7d return 23.6% behind the market median temper the delisting and fixed-supply case.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -27.2% | 11 | 15 |
| Return (14d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -5.4% | 68 | 75 |
| Return (60d) | -17.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -43.0% | 42 | 49 |
| Return (all) | -91.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -31.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -5.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -19.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -56.3% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -246.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.04 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $4.11 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $4.11 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $4.11 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.42 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $5.31 | — | — |
| High (all) | $44.64 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.99 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.99 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.76 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.27 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $2.27 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $2.27 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $2.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.02 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $3.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $3.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $10.36 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $3.02 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $3.76 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $3.05 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.99 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $3.17 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $3.59 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $5.72 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +37.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +48.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +80.8% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +94.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +133.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1866.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 17 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 39 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 24 | 66 | 69 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -27.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -27.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -27.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -32.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -43.7% | 69 | 73 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +31.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -17.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -9.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -20.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -71.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 56 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 124 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 24 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.0% | 82 | 84 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.69× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.65× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.4% | 49 | 50 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +28.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +48.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +57.3% | 32 | 30 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +43.7% | 31 | 27 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 85d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 181d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.10× | 70 | 75 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.59 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.12 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.17 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 7.07 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +34.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +34.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +34.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +34.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +13.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.6% | 6 | 8 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Listings on book | 65 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +38.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.1% | 20 | 20 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 14.80× | 87 | 83 |
| Top-1 holder share | +10.6% | 92 | 90 |
| Top-10 holder share | +29.9% | 95 | 90 |
| HHI (top-10) | 209.46 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.1% | 38 | 39 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 413d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.60× | 50 | 52 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.66× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +117.4% | 76 | 76 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.21× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +32.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $2.03 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 43 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -23.6% | 11 | 15 |
| Momentum pillar | 50 | 45 | 44 |
| Scarcity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 5 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 28 | 5 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.62× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.64× | 66 | 66 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +10.3% | 70 | 76 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -28.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -6.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.