Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 12:02 AM.
Price down 4.2% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
Down 13.3% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
2,620 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (2,620 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 27% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 70% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 43pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 66% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 108% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book is the headline here: a 62.9% bid/ask spread with the lowest ask at $0.23 against a best standing bid of $0.12 means the listed price floats 108% above any real demand, and a liquidity score of 4/100 (5th percentile) offers little help in closing that gap. The 7d move of +27.2% ranks in the 95th percentile for return, but the 6h change of -13.3% and 24h change of -4.2% suggest that spike is already fading rather than extending. Against that, the model reads the item 66.3% below fair value with 181 owners holding across 2620 units and only 14 active listings. A C grade (44/100) with risk/safety at 10/100 frames this as a cheap but illiquid, freshly dropping asset where the quoted price and the actual bid are not the same number.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +39.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +35.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -4.2% | 69 | 76 |
| Return (60d) | -17.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -17.9% | 76 | 79 |
| Return (all) | -97.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +33.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +30.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -19.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -19.7% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -366.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.52 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.76 | — | — |
| High (all) | $9.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.16 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +45.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +45.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +271.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +442.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +6332.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 87 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 90 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 15 | 53 | 55 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -55.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -69.7% | 32 | 28 |
| Distance from high (all) | -97.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +39.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +39.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +9.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -11.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -24.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -73.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 68 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +3.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.3% | 60 | 65 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.41× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.36× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +19.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +15.8% | 62 | 60 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +22.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +20.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +18.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +73.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +81.6% | 76 | 76 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +69.7% | 68 | 72 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +97.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 71d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 140d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.14× | 75 | 77 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.03 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.73 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.02 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 11.27 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +129.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +129.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +35.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +35.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Listings on book | 14 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +62.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +1.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +2.5% | 58 | 73 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +2.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +3.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +2.3% | 48 | 53 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +4.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +9.7% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 3.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.24 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 828d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.48× | 85 | 82 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.1% | 15 | 8 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +4.1% | 7 | 5 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 2.57 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 7 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.3% | 33 | 34 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -0.8% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | -0.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -66.3% | 14 | 16 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +47.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.12 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 54 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +43.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 34 | 8 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 49 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 4 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 84 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 10 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 44 | 37 | 35 |
| Data completeness | +74.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.95× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.48× | 17 | 12 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.32× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.21× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.12× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +39.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +8.6% | 67 | 74 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -8.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -8.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -10.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.