Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 5:02 AM.
Up 8.4% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
196 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
Only 4.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~5.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (196 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Graded mythic: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.
Average price up 25% over the past week versus the prior week.
Down 51% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 22pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 195% above the best standing bid of $15.27; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The widest thing in this pack is the order book: the $25.61 ask sits 266% above the best standing bid of $12.30, a 69.6% spread, and the phantom-price signal fires accordingly. That matters because the headline gains (+8.4% over 6h, +25.2% over 7d, and +22.3% against the market median) rest on thin ground, with only 9 active listings and a liquidity score of 26/100. In this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, and an overbought RSI reading alongside a 5th-percentile momentum pillar argues the same. Ownership is concentrated, 37 holders across 196 units. With price at exactly fair value (+0.0%) and a C grade (44/100), the bid at $12.30 is the more honest reference point.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +18.8% | 92 | 93 |
| Return (14d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +34.1% | 92 | 93 |
| Return (60d) | +65.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -51.0% | 31 | 37 |
| Return (all) | -94.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +17.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +36.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +29.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +50.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -71.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -293.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $25.61 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $25.61 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $25.61 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $25.61 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $26.79 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $52.22 | — | — |
| High (all) | $709.71 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $25.61 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $21.56 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $17.78 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $17.78 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $15.49 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $15.49 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $15.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $25.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $24.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $21.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $20.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $20.96 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $24.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $89.03 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $25.61 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $25.60 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $18.99 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $19.01 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $19.25 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $21.54 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $29.81 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +18.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +73.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +237.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +4481.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 90 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 28 | 71 | 75 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -51.0% | 57 | 59 |
| Distance from high (all) | -96.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +18.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +44.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +65.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +65.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +65.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +3.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +26.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +22.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -71.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 50 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 81 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 75 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 53 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.7% | 90 | 90 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.83× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.51× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.32× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +5.3% | 9 | 9 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +40.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +6.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +35.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +70.3% | 57 | 58 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +51.0% | 43 | 41 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +96.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 87d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 122d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.78× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.04× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.15 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.34 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.98 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 18.58 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +18.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +18.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +18.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +73.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +73.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +8.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +32.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +4.6% | 87 | 90 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 37 | 87 | 90 |
| Listings on book | 9 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +50.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +3.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +4.8% | 65 | 76 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +14.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +12.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +8.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +23.3% | 90 | 88 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +23.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +60.9% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.33 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.31 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 442d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 5.30× | 7 | 8 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.5% | 27 | 20 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +10.2% | 40 | 32 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 11.97 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +18.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +8.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +27.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -0.0% | 49 | 50 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.39× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +40.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $11.92 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 62 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +22.3% | 92 | 93 |
| Momentum pillar | 28 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 65 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 43 | 34 | 31 |
| Data completeness | +74.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.49× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.21× | 46 | 45 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.49× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.23× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +44.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +43.6% | 91 | 92 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -33.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.