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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Not affiliated with Facepunch Studios or Valve Corporation. S&box is a trademark of Facepunch Studios. Market data may be delayed.

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Back to Scientist Hazmat

Scientist Hazmatfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 88%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop
Insight Engine v2
38/ 100
D†
Momentum50
Scarcity49
Liquidity17
Value40
Risk31

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Holders are holding !!

Only 3.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~12.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (865 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Legendary rarity !!

Graded legendary: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 26: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Scientist Hazmat currently trades 129.3% above the fair-value model's mark, and that gap sits alongside near-zero market activity, with just 1 executed sale in the last 24 hours and 0 units traded, against 30 active listings. Liquidity and turnover both rank in the 5th percentile of the market, and the liquidity score of 17/100 confirms how thin this order book is: the 29.2% bid/ask spread (best bid $5.00 versus lowest ask $6.71) means small trades can move the tape sharply. Ownership is concentrated across just 69 holders for 865 units, and despite the "oversold" and "deep drawdown" reads, the 7d price is down only 0.6%, with sale price still 6.3% behind the broader market median. With so few data points, the premium over fair value looks more like an illiquid quote than a confirmed valuation.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-2.0%——
Return (3d)-8.2%——
Return (7d)-34.8%
14
10
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Deep drawdown

Down 97% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 129% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Fresh drop

Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.

Bids accumulating !!

Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 67/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

-46.6%
—
—
Return (30d)-70.0%
19
21
Return (60d)-96.9%——
Return (90d)-96.9%
5
5
Return (all)-96.9%——
Log return (24h)-2.1%——
Log return (3d)-8.6%——
Log return (7d)-42.8%——
Log return (14d)-62.7%——
Log return (30d)-120.5%——
Log return (60d)-347.6%——
Log return (90d)-347.6%——
Log return (all)-347.6%——
High (24h)$6.85——
High (3d)$7.31——
High (7d)$10.29——
High (14d)$12.56——
High (30d)$23.36——
High (60d)$216.96——
High (90d)$216.96——
High (all)$216.96——
Low (24h)$6.85——
Low (3d)$6.85——
Low (7d)$6.85——
Low (14d)$6.69——
Low (30d)$6.69——
Low (60d)$6.69——
Low (90d)$6.69——
Low (all)$6.69——
Mean price (24h)$6.85——
Mean price (3d)$7.03——
Mean price (7d)$8.48——
Mean price (14d)$8.51——
Mean price (30d)$13.25——
Mean price (60d)$25.67——
Mean price (90d)$25.67——
Mean price (all)$25.67——
Median price (24h)$6.85——
Median price (3d)$6.94——
Median price (7d)$8.74——
Median price (14d)$7.83——
Median price (30d)$13.16——
Median price (60d)$17.26——
Median price (90d)$17.26——
Median price (all)$17.26——
Range % (24h)———
Range % (3d)+6.7%——
Range % (7d)+50.2%——
Range % (14d)+87.7%——
Range % (30d)+249.2%——
Range % (60d)+3143.0%——
Range % (90d)+3143.0%——
Range % (all)+3143.0%——
Position in range (24h)———
Position in range (3d)———
Position in range (7d)———
Position in range (14d)3——
Position in range (30d)1——
Position in range (60d)0——
Position in range (90d)0
27
28
Position in range (all)0——
Distance from high (24h)-2.0%——
Distance from high (3d)-8.2%——
Distance from high (7d)-34.8%——
Distance from high (14d)-46.6%——
Distance from high (30d)-71.3%——
Distance from high (60d)-96.9%——
Distance from high (90d)-96.9%
10
11
Distance from high (all)-96.9%——
Distance from low (24h)-2.0%——
Distance from low (3d)-2.0%——
Distance from low (7d)-2.0%——
Distance from low (14d)+0.3%——
Distance from low (30d)+0.3%——
Distance from low (60d)+0.3%——
Distance from low (90d)+0.3%——
Distance from low (all)+0.3%——
Price vs mean (24h)-2.0%——
Price vs mean (3d)-4.6%——
Price vs mean (7d)-20.9%——
Price vs mean (14d)-21.1%——
Price vs mean (30d)-49.3%——
Price vs mean (60d)-73.9%——
Price vs mean (90d)-73.9%——
Price vs mean (all)-73.9%——
Up days (24h)0——
Up days (3d)0——
Up days (7d)1——
Up days (14d)4——
Up days (30d)9——
Up days (60d)17——
Up days (90d)17——
Up days (all)17——
Down days (24h)0——
Down days (3d)2——
Down days (7d)5——
Down days (14d)8——
Down days (30d)18——
Down days (60d)30——
Down days (90d)30——
Down days (all)30——
Up-day ratio (24h)———
Up-day ratio (3d)0——
Up-day ratio (7d)17——
Up-day ratio (14d)33——
Up-day ratio (30d)33——
Up-day ratio (60d)36——
Up-day ratio (90d)36——
Up-day ratio (all)36——
Up-day streak0.0d——

Trend

28/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)$8.48——
Price vs SMA (7)-20.9%——
SMA (14)$8.51——
Price vs SMA (14)-21.1%——
SMA (21)$10.55——
Price vs SMA (21)-36.4%——
SMA (30)$13.25——
Price vs SMA (30)-49.3%
12
15
SMA (50)$21.85——
Price vs SMA (50)-69.3%——
SMA (90)———
Price vs SMA (90)———
SMA (100)———
Price vs SMA (100)———
EMA (7)$8.48——
Price vs EMA (7)-20.9%——
EMA (14)$8.51——
Price vs EMA (14)-21.1%——
EMA (30)$13.25——
Price vs EMA (30)-49.3%——
RSI (7)———
RSI (14)———
RSI (21)———
RSI (30)———
RSI (50)———
RSI (100)———
Trend slope (14d)-2.0%——
Trend slope (30d)-4.2%
32
34
Trend slope (60d)-5.0%——
Trend slope (90d)-5.0%——
Trend slope (all)-5.0%——
Trend fit R² (14d)0.17×——
Trend fit R² (30d)0.87×——
Trend fit R² (60d)0.34×——
Trend fit R² (90d)0.34×——
Trend fit R² (all)0.34×——
SMA 7/30 cross-36.0%
18
20
Days since trend flip1.0d——

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+8.8%——
Return stdev (14d)+14.8%——
Return stdev (30d)+15.9%
64
60
Return stdev (60d)+32.0%——
Return stdev (90d)+32.0%——
Return stdev (all)+32.0%——
Downside deviation (30d)+9.9%——
Downside deviation (60d)+17.3%——
Downside deviation (90d)+17.3%——
Max drawdown (30d)+71.4%——
Max drawdown (60d)+96.9%——
Max drawdown (90d)+96.9%
88
88
Max drawdown (all)+96.9%——
Current drawdown (90d)+96.8%
89
88
Current drawdown (all)+96.8%——
Drawdown duration (90d)50d——
Drawdown duration (all)50d——
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.29×
43
44
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.15×——
Return skew (30d)0.39——
Return skew (90d)1.28——
Excess kurtosis (30d)1.16——
Excess kurtosis (90d)6.42——
Largest up day (7d)+6.9%——
Largest up day (14d)+27.7%——
Largest up day (30d)+37.5%——
Largest up day (60d)+114.2%——
Largest up day (90d)+114.2%——
Largest down day (7d)+16.4%——
Largest down day (14d)+25.8%——
Largest down day (30d)+36.3%——
Largest down day (60d)+79.3%——
Largest down day (90d)+79.3%——

Liquidity

11/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %+0.0%
5
5
On-market %+3.7%
80
71
Days to clear listings———
Lifetime sales / day0——
Liquidity score14
5
5
Listings on book32——
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)——
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)——
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)——
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)——
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)——
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)——
Listings trend (7d)+30.4%——
Listings trend (14d)+7.1%——
Listings trend (30d)+130.8%
74
66
Listings trend (60d)+1400.0%——
Bid-ask spread %+51.4%——
Near-mid bid imbalance———
Bid-depth trend (7d)———
Bid-floor migration (7d)-27.6%——

Supply & ownership

15/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+2.9%——
Supply growth (14d)+7.1%——
Supply growth (30d)+19.6%
58
53
Supply growth (60d)———
Supply growth (90d)———
Owner growth (7d)n/s+3.0%——
Owner growth (14d)n/s+9.5%——
Owner growth (30d)n/s+35.3%
69
63
Owner growth (60d)n/s———
Owner growth (90d)n/s———
Mint rate (7d)4——
Mint rate (30d)5.26——
Supply doubling time116d——
Copies per ownern/s12.54×
63
65
Top-1 holder sharen/s+1.7%
31
33
Top-10 holder sharen/s+4.7%
19
24
HHI (top-10)n/s4.1——
Whale count (≥5)n/s2——
Absorption (30d)n/s+15.7%
78
77
Absorption (60d)n/s———
Absorption (90d)n/s———

Lifecycle & value

14/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age57d——
Days since fixationn/s———
Days until leaving storen/s———
Release-price multiple———
Store-price ratio———
Fair-value residual+129.3%
77
86
Price per scarcity point0.14×——
Instant-sell discount+39.6%——
Bid-floor backing$3.39——
Accumulation score67——
Market-relative 7d return-6.3%
38
36
Momentum pillar50
60
58
Scarcity pillar49——
Liquidity pillar17——
Value pillar40——
Risk pillar31——
Overall rating43
32
29
Data completeness+88.4%——

Events

15/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)2
75
75
Spike days (60d)6——
Spike days (90d)6——
Dump days (30d)5
82
83
Dump days (60d)12——
Dump days (90d)12——
Post-spike reversion (30d)-9.2%——
Post-spike reversion (60d)-4.4%——
Post-spike reversion (90d)-4.4%——
Listing shocks (30d)0——
Listing shocks (60d)2——
Listing shocks (90d)2——
Net spike bias (30d)-3——
Net spike bias (60d)-6——
Net spike bias (90d)-6——