Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 12:02 AM.
Only 3.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (960 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Graded legendary: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 52% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 14pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 176% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 57% above the best standing bid of $3.49; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The standout number here is valuation: Scientist Hazmat is trading 175.4% above the model's fair value, and the order book backs up that stretch, with the lowest ask of $5.02 sitting 57% above the best standing bid of $3.49 and a 36.0% bid/ask spread. The relative strength is real but narrow, a 7d return 13.9% better than the market median (88th percentile) while the item itself fell 5.5% on the week and 2.3% in the last 24h. Scores stay cautious: 38/100 overall (grade D), risk/safety 19/100, liquidity 24/100 despite ranking 85th percentile within its cohort. With 960 units held by 80 owners, 35 live listings and a fresh-drop flag, the bid floor at $3.19 is the level that matters more than the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 9h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +10.3% | 88 | 79 |
| Return (14d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -20.2% | 50 | 42 |
| Return (60d) | -41.6% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -26.6% | 66 | 52 |
| Return (all) | -97.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -5.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -22.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -53.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -30.9% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -376.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $5.02 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $5.14 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $5.32 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $6.29 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $8.60 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $10.53 | — | — |
| High (all) | $216.96 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $5.02 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $3.96 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $5.02 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $4.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $4.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $5.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $5.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $6.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $14.24 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $5.02 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $4.79 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.08 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $5.32 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $5.73 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $6.00 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $7.28 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +34.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +58.8% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +117.2% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +165.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +5378.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 45 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 16 | 55 | 55 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -20.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -41.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -52.3% | 55 | 46 |
| Distance from high (all) | -97.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -5.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -11.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -20.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -64.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 41 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 40 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 73 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.2% | 40 | 43 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.46× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.28× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.26× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +19.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +13.4% | 53 | 63 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +22.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +54.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +62.4% | 42 | 49 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +52.3% | 45 | 54 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +97.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 68d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 139d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.02× | 50 | 47 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.29 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.65 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.1 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.26 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +44.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +21.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +28.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +3.6% | 81 | 84 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 31 | 82 | 85 |
| Listings on book | 35 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +9.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.50× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +2.8% | 59 | 53 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +5.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +11.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +1.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +6.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +8.1% | 67 | 60 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +11.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +15.9% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.9 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 757d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.00× | 62 | 61 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.8% | 30 | 43 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.8% | 19 | 34 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 6.05 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +5.3% | 80 | 80 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +5.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +5.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +175.6% | 81 | 75 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.12× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +30.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $3.19 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 44 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +13.9% | 88 | 79 |
| Momentum pillar | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| Scarcity pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 44 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 34 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 44 | 50 |
| Data completeness | +73.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.20× | 24 | 25 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.16× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -7.6% | 47 | 39 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.