Scientist Hazmat Yellowfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 88%.

Overall rating

?Fresh drop

Insight Engine v2

32/ 100

D^†

Momentum38

Scarcity86

Liquidity10

Value35

Risk26

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Sharp decline !!!

Price down 12.7% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Early supply reading

50 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.

High scarcity score !!!

Scarcity score 86/100: distribution, liquidity, and supply all point scarce.

Concentrated ownership

~6.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (50 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Exotic rarity !!

Graded exotic: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.

Asking above recent sales !!

Buyers actually paid a median of $138.00 across 3 recent sales — the current ask is 128% above what trades are really printing at.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Scientist Hazmat Yellow is down 12.7% over 24 hours and 13.3% over 7 days, a sharp decline that, per this market's single-regime pattern, tends to precede recovery rather than confirm a further slide. The pick-up matters more than the drop: at $138.00 median sale against a $314.14 lowest ask, the asking price still sits 126.5% above modelled fair value, and the 100.4% bid-ask spread (best bid $102.29) shows little buyer conviction near current asks. Scarcity is extreme, 50 units exist across just 9 owners with only 4 listed, but liquidity is thin (score 10/100) with zero units traded in the last 24h and just 3 executed sales. The 7d return still ranks in the 95th percentile versus the market, an outperformance built on very little volume.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-12.7%	—	—
Return (3d)	-14.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	+93.2%	95	95
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

26/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$237.65	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	+32.2%	—	—
SMA (14)	$255.89	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	+22.8%	—	—
SMA (21)	$282.19	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	+11.3%	—	—
SMA (30)	$435.35	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-27.8%	37	39
SMA (50)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	—	—	—
SMA (90)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	—	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$237.65	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	+32.2%	—	—
EMA (14)	$255.89	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	+22.8%	—	—
EMA (30)	$435.35	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-27.8%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-0.4%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-5.4%	25	26
Trend slope (60d)	-2.5%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.5%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.5%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.00×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.39×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.16×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.16×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.16×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-45.4%	11	14
Days since trend flip	2.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+42.3%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+31.2%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+33.7%	84	83
Return stdev (60d)	+37.5%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+37.5%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+37.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+15.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+18.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+18.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+92.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+92.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+92.3%	77	75
Max drawdown (all)	+92.3%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+81.3%	39	37
Current drawdown (all)	+81.3%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	32d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	32d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	0.24×	93	95
Sortino ratio (90d)	0.43×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	2.57	—	—
Return skew (90d)	2.03	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	7.72	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	4.45	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+165.1%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+165.1%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+165.1%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+165.1%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+165.1%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+15.2%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+29.3%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+52.9%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+65.7%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+65.7%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+6.0%	95	95
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	0	—	—
Liquidity score	20	19	17
Listings on book	3	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	-50.0%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+50.0%	58	55
Listings trend (60d)	+200.0%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+99.3%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+61.5%	—	—

Supply & ownership

15/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+2.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+16.3%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+61.3%	75	61
Supply growth (60d)	—	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	—	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	-10.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	+80.0%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	+200.0%	80	79
Owner growth (60d)n/s	—	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	—	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.17	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0.7	—	—
Supply doubling time	43d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	6.25×	10	12
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+4.0%	56	57
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+20.0%	79	80
HHI (top-10)n/s	56	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	0	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	+138.7%	92	91
Absorption (60d)n/s	—	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	—	—	—

Lifecycle & value

14/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	57d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	—	—	—
Store-price ratio	—	—	—
Fair-value residual	+126.5%	76	85
Price per scarcity point	3.65×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+67.4%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$102.23	—	—
Accumulation score	84	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+64.0%	95	95
Momentum pillar	38	25	23
Scarcity pillar	86	—	—
Liquidity pillar	10	—	—
Value pillar	35	—	—
Risk pillar	26	—	—
Overall rating	37	17	17
Data completeness	+87.6%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	4	95	95
Spike days (60d)	8	—	—
Spike days (90d)	8	—	—
Dump days (30d)	7	92	93
Dump days (60d)	9	—	—
Dump days (90d)	9	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+18.1%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+10.4%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+10.4%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	3	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	5	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	5	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-3	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-1	—	—