Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 5:02 AM.
63 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
~4.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (63 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Graded exotic: top-tier rarity that collectors seek.
Average price down 16% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 67% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 38% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 90% above the best standing bid of $72.61; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The widest signal here is the order book: the $140.11 ask sits 106% above the best standing bid of $67.04, a 70.5% spread with a cumulative bid floor of just $65.10, which marks this as a phantom price rather than a cleared one. Supply is genuinely tight at 63 units across 14 owners (5th percentile for copies per owner), and the liquidity score of 33 still ranks 95th percentile within its cohort, so the thinness is structural to fresh exotic drops. The 7d move of -16.1% reads as a possible recovery setup rather than decay, but at +38.4% above modelled fair value and a 21/100 safety score, waiting for bids and asks to converge is the defensible posture.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -0.2% | 73 | 50 |
| Return (14d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -41.3% | 22 | 19 |
| Return (60d) | -26.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -53.3% | 27 | 7 |
| Return (all) | -51.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -53.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -31.0% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -76.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -73.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $140.39 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $140.42 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $141.07 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $238.88 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $245.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $421.29 | — | — |
| High (all) | $1,800.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $140.11 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $140.11 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $137.00 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $137.00 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $105.01 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $105.01 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $105.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $140.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $140.33 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $140.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $178.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $176.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $208.16 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $335.44 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $140.25 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $140.40 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $140.42 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $188.00 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $178.72 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $199.00 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $238.88 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +74.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +133.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +301.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1614.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 76 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 11 | 47 | 27 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -41.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -42.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -66.7% | 36 | 25 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +2.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +33.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +33.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +33.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -21.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -20.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -32.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -58.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 61 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -3.2% | 16 | 18 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.07× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.87× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.44× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.31× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.9% | 25 | 24 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +24.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +8.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +42.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +45.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +75.1% | 65 | 73 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +66.7% | 64 | 75 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.2% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 73d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 122d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.21× | 23 | 10 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -3.07 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.99 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 9.35 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 22.45 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +3.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +92.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +92.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +38.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +6.3% | 93 | 95 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 47 | 93 | 95 |
| Listings on book | 4 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +51.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +58.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +8.6% | 76 | 65 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +26.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +7.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +16.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +16.7% | 82 | 94 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +27.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +75.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 251d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 4.50× | 5 | 5 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +3.2% | 51 | 73 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +20.6% | 78 | 86 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 47.87 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 0 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +8.0% | 86 | 93 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +12.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +49.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +38.4% | 59 | 31 |
| Price per scarcity point | 2.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +48.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $59.00 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 64 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +3.3% | 73 | 50 |
| Momentum pillar | 60 | 77 | 80 |
| Scarcity pillar | 69 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 54 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 21 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 46 | 47 | 63 |
| Data completeness | +75.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.48× | 59 | 64 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -25.7% | 23 | 20 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -38.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -19.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.