Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 8:02 AM.
Price down 6.6% in 24h: a mild downward trend.
Only 1.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~4.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (265 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price up 77% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 77: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 36pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 129% above the best standing bid of $13.19; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 77.1% weekly gain puts Santa Trousers 2024 in the 95th percentile for 30-day return, trend slope and Sortino, but the structure underneath that move is the real story: the lowest ask of $33.74 sits 300% above modelled fair value and 128% above the best standing bid of $13.25, an 87.2% spread. Liquidity scores 8 of 100 against 25 active listings, and the 24h print has already turned down 6.6%. In this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so the overbought RSI and phantom-price flags weigh more than the uptrend. Fixed supply of 1,968 units across 415 owners supports the floor, though the overall grade remains D at 31 of 100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +33.6% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +87.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +87.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -32.0% | 58 | 49 |
| Return (all) | -85.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -6.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -6.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +29.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +62.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +63.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -38.5% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -192.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $36.14 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $36.14 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $36.14 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $36.14 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $36.14 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $53.16 | — | — |
| High (all) | $231.02 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $33.74 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $25.25 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $18.00 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $13.11 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $13.11 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $13.11 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $13.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $34.94 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $30.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $24.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $18.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $21.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $29.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $65.53 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $34.94 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $29.50 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $25.25 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $17.89 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $19.39 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $28.50 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $42.97 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +43.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +100.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +175.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +175.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +305.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1662.2% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 90 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 90 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 52 | 87 | 81 |
| Position in range (all) | 9 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -6.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -36.5% | 76 | 70 |
| Distance from high (all) | -85.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +33.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +87.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +157.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +157.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +157.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +157.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -3.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +12.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +38.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +82.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +58.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +15.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -48.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 47 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 108 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 60 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.83× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.43× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.67× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 12d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.9% | 52 | 51 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +27.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +60.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +75.3% | 66 | 61 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +36.5% | 23 | 29 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +85.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 81d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 182d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.70× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.88 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.57 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.01 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 7.33 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +43.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +43.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +43.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +43.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +43.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +34.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.3% | 40 | 38 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 12 | 40 | 38 |
| Listings on book | 26 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +86.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.2% | 15 | 16 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 4.74× | 6 | 5 |
| Top-1 holder share | +7.7% | 84 | 88 |
| Top-10 holder share | +21.0% | 78 | 84 |
| HHI (top-10) | 85.52 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.2% | 33 | 33 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 628d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 13.55× | 95 | 95 |
| Store-price ratio | 13.55× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.75× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +60.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $13.19 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 55 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +36.2% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 38 | 15 | 19 |
| Scarcity pillar | 45 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 9 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 28 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 32 | 8 | 13 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 2.60× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.05× | 80 | 78 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.64× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +87.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +102.7% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -20.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.