Santa 2024 Jacketfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

38/ 100

Momentum42

Scarcity37

Liquidity22

Value39

Risk46

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Elevated supply

2,071 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~4.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 86% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Trading 300% above the model's fair-value estimate, the Santa 2024 Jacket sits at the 95th percentile for fair-value residual in the market, a gap that the "Above modelled fair value" signal flags directly. Supply is fixed at 2071 units after delisting, but liquidity is thin: only 39 units are listed, 24h volume is zero units traded (2 executed sales in the order book), and the bid/ask spread runs 21%, with the best bid at $43.42 against a $53.64 ask. The 7d price move of -6.9% follows a stretch of outperformance (+23.4% vs market median over the same window), and ownership remains concentrated across just 442 holders. With turnover in the 5th percentile, price discovery here is sparse, and the current ask leans on thin trade evidence rather than sustained demand.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.5%	—	—
Return (3d)	-6.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	+5.2%	69	76
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$52.80	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	+1.6%	—	—
SMA (14)	$54.76	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-2.0%	—	—
SMA (21)	$58.86	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-8.9%	—	—
SMA (30)	$62.75	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-14.5%	71	72
SMA (50)	$70.51	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-23.9%	—	—
SMA (90)	$126.84	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-57.7%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$52.80	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	+1.6%	—	—
EMA (14)	$54.76	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-2.0%	—	—
EMA (30)	$62.75	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-14.5%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-1.0%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-1.3%	68	73
Trend slope (60d)	-1.1%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.2%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.2%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.26×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.61×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.73×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.74×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.76×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-15.9%	63	68
Days since trend flip	2.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+7.4%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+7.5%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+8.5%	24	21
Return stdev (60d)	+10.4%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+11.1%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+11.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+5.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+6.3%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+6.6%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+44.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+55.6%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+87.1%	50	48
Max drawdown (all)	+87.1%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+85.9%	55	52
Current drawdown (all)	+85.9%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.11×	72	75
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.24×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	0.89	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.22	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	2.36	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	3.3	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+16.5%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+16.5%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+23.3%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+35.7%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+42.7%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+5.7%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+17.5%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+17.5%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+22.0%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+26.6%	—	—

Liquidity

13/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+1.9%	52	43
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	3.85	—	—
Liquidity score	17	9	5
Listings on book	39	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+18.8%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+5.6%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-2.6%	32	27
Listings trend (60d)	+15.2%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+19.6%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.50×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	-85.7%	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+39.7%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	-0.2%	9	5
Supply growth (60d)	-0.2%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.7%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+0.5%	33	21
Owner growth (60d)	+24.9%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+124.4%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	-0.14	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	4.69×	5	5
Top-1 holder share	+7.3%	79	79
Top-10 holder share	+23.0%	87	87
HHI (top-10)	119.36	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+0.6%	49	41
Absorption (60d)	+25.1%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+124.4%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	539d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	17.94×	95	95
Store-price ratio	17.94×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+300.0%	95	95
Price per scarcity point	1.45×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+18.8%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$43.42	—	—
Accumulation score	49	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	+23.4%	81	81
Momentum pillar	42	36	33
Scarcity pillar	37	—	—
Liquidity pillar	22	—	—
Value pillar	39	—	—
Risk pillar	46	—	—
Overall rating	44	36	33
Data completeness	+91.4%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	3	90	90
Spike days (60d)	6	—	—
Spike days (90d)	8	—	—
Dump days (30d)	2	50	50
Dump days (60d)	6	—	—
Dump days (90d)	11	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+2.9%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+2.0%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+0.5%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-3	—	—