Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.
3,231 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.
~6.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 82% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading at $65.51 against a fair-value model reading +300.0%, the Santa 2024 Hat sits at the 95th percentile for both fair-value residual and release-price multiple, making it one of the more expensive items relative to its own model on the site. The order book is thin: only 28 active listings, a 17.2% bid/ask spread, and just 2 executed sales in the last 24h, with 0 units traded in that window, placing turnover at the 5th percentile. Ownership is concentrated (485 owners across 3231 units), and the item is delisted with fixed supply, which supports scarcity even as liquidity (score 26/100) stays weak. Seven-day price is up 4.0% and outperforming the market median by 47.0%, but with the ask 17.2% above the best standing bid of $52.81, that premium looks fragile absent deeper buying support.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +9.5% | 75 | 72 |
| Return (14d) |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Up 47pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 81/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
| -4.2% |
| — |
| — |
| Return (30d) | -12.7% | 88 | 81 |
| Return (60d) | -22.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -82.0% | 56 | 48 |
| Return (all) | -72.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -13.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -24.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -171.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -130.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $65.51 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $66.08 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $66.08 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $68.40 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $84.81 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $103.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $363.58 | — | — |
| High (all) | $363.58 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $65.51 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $65.51 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $57.09 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $47.10 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $47.10 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $47.10 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $47.10 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $47.10 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $65.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $65.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $61.80 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $60.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $64.63 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $75.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $124.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $129.36 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $65.51 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $65.61 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $59.84 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $60.86 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $65.23 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $72.66 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $86.47 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $89.45 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +45.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +80.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +118.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +671.9% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +671.9% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 86 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 49 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 6 | 81 | 77 |
| Position in range (all) | 6 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -4.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -22.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -36.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -82.0% | 58 | 53 |
| Distance from high (all) | -82.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +39.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +39.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +39.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +39.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +39.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -13.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -47.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -49.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 41 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 62 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 63 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 15 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $61.80 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +6.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $60.61 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +8.1% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $61.71 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | +6.1% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $64.63 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | +1.4% | 91 | 91 |
| SMA (50) | $71.24 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | -8.0% | — | — |
| SMA (90) | $124.42 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | -47.3% | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $61.80 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +6.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $60.61 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +8.1% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $64.63 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | +1.4% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.8% | 82 | 77 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.71× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.72× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.74× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -4.4% | 91 | 86 |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +9.6% | 35 | 47 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +44.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +54.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +87.0% | 50 | 57 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +87.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +82.0% | 41 | 45 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +82.0% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 89d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 89d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.00× | 83 | 78 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.22× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.94 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.9 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 1.45 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 1.47 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +27.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +27.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +27.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +33.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +18.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +24.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 21 | 26 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | 5.96 | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 17 | 10 | 10 |
| Listings on book | 29 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots) | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | +0.0% | 37 | 51 |
| Listings trend (60d) | +3.7% | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +16.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.92× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | +37.5% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | -0.1% | 10 | 16 |
| Supply growth (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 25 | 35 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +26.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +138.9% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | -0.14 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 6.66× | 13 | 11 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.7% | 62 | 62 |
| Top-10 holder share | +17.2% | 71 | 67 |
| HHI (top-10) | 55.45 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.1% | 40 | 50 |
| Absorption (60d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +138.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 543d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 18.77× | 95 | 91 |
| Store-price ratio | 18.77× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 1.72× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +18.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $52.81 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 81 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +47.0% | 93 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 36 | 22 | 24 |
| Scarcity pillar | 38 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 26 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 38 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 50 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 42 | 30 | 34 |
| Data completeness | +91.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -2.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 4 | — | — |