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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Sailor Shirt

Sailor Shirtfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
32/ 100
D
Momentum29
Scarcity62
Liquidity3
Value22
Risk37

Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 10, 10:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Sharp decline !!!

Price down 41.4% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~9.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly uptrend !!

Average price up 141% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 47% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline is the gap between the $31.70 lowest ask and the $5.84 median sale price, a 139.3% bid/ask spread against a best standing bid of just $5.67. That ask sits 300% above the model's fair value, and it rests on only two active listings, which is consistent with the 1/100 liquidity score. The +103.5% weekly move lands in the 95th percentile for 7d return, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, and the overbought RSI signal points the same way. Fixed supply (1,190 units, 123 owners, delisted) is a genuine structural support, though the overall grade is D at 32/100. Waiting for prints closer to the bid may be worth considering.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

99/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-41.4%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-45.8%β€”β€”
Return (7d)+142.2%
95
95
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Outperforming the market !!

Up 147pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.

Above modelled fair value !!

Trading 270% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

+144.9%
β€”
β€”
Return (30d)+147.4%
95
95
Return (60d)+163.7%β€”β€”
Return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (all)+163.7%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-53.5%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-61.3%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)+88.4%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+89.6%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)+90.6%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)+97.0%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (all)+97.0%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$31.70β€”β€”
High (7d)$32.02β€”β€”
High (14d)$32.02β€”β€”
High (30d)$32.02β€”β€”
High (60d)$32.13β€”β€”
High (90d)$32.13β€”β€”
High (all)$32.13β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$17.17β€”β€”
Low (7d)$7.09β€”β€”
Low (14d)$6.16β€”β€”
Low (30d)$5.70β€”β€”
Low (60d)$5.26β€”β€”
Low (90d)$5.26β€”β€”
Low (all)$5.26β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$24.44β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$17.57β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$11.61β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$9.00β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$9.31β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$9.31β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$9.31β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$24.44β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$13.27β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$7.01β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$6.87β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$6.95β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$6.95β€”β€”
Median price (all)$6.95β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+84.6%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+351.6%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+419.8%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+461.8%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+510.8%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+510.8%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+510.8%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)43β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)44β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)44β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)44
95
95
Position in range (all)44β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-45.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-46.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-46.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-46.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-46.6%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-46.6%
88
87
Distance from high (all)-46.6%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+142.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+178.7%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+201.2%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+226.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+226.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+226.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-29.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-2.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)+47.9%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)+90.8%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)+84.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)+84.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)+84.4%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)3β€”β€”
Up days (14d)4β€”β€”
Up days (30d)9β€”β€”
Up days (60d)11β€”β€”
Up days (90d)11β€”β€”
Up days (all)11β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)5β€”β€”
Down days (30d)11β€”β€”
Down days (60d)20β€”β€”
Down days (90d)20β€”β€”
Down days (all)20β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)60β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)44β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)45β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)35β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)35β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)35β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+14.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)+4.6%
95
95
Trend slope (60d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)+1.2%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)+1.2%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.46Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.27Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.04Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip4.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+66.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+41.5%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+27.7%
79
73
Return stdev (60d)+40.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+40.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+40.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+13.9%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+15.8%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+15.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+46.4%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+82.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+82.3%
59
57
Max drawdown (all)+82.3%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+46.6%
12
13
Current drawdown (all)+46.6%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)36dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)36dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)0.60Γ—
91
86
Sortino ratio (90d)0.96Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)4.67β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)4.82β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)23.88β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)24.82β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)+241.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+241.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+241.7%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+510.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+510.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+45.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+45.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+45.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+47.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+47.7%β€”β€”

Liquidity

6/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+0.4%
5
5
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score4
5
5
Listings on book5β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+100.2%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)-100.0%β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+2.5%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+300.7%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+300.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)-0.8%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+1.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+6.0%
55
55
Owner growth (60d)+925.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)+925.0%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner9.67Γ—
32
34
Top-1 holder share+8.5%
88
92
Top-10 holder share+20.4%
82
84
HHI (top-10)97.05β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+6.0%
76
79
Absorption (60d)+624.3%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)+624.3%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age48dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple3.82Γ—
91
90
Store-price ratio3.82Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual+269.5%
91
92
Price per scarcity point0.28Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+66.7%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$5.67β€”β€”
Accumulation score25β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return+146.9%
95
95
Momentum pillar29
5
6
Scarcity pillar62β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar3β€”β€”
Value pillar22β€”β€”
Risk pillar37β€”β€”
Overall rating36
7
5
Data completeness+77.0%β€”β€”

Relative to market

8/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)0.19Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)0.22Γ—
81
77
Beta vs market (90d)0.09Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+144.9%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)+165.9%
95
95
Return vs market (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)4
90
90
Spike days (60d)5β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)5β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)2
58
50
Dump days (60d)4β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)4β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+63.6%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+41.6%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+41.6%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)2β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)1β€”β€”