Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 6:02 PM.
Price up 59.5% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
6,158 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 20/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 60% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 71% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 24h print is up 59.5%, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so the move reads as fade-risk rather than continuation. Supporting that caution: the $3.19 ask sits 71.1% above the model's fair value and well above the $2.43 median sale price, while the best standing bid is only $1.84, a 41.0% spread. Liquidity scores 8/100 against 72 active sell listings, and ownership is concentrated (6,158 units across 476 owners, with top-1 and top-10 holder share both in the 95th percentile). Fixed supply post-delisting and 5th-percentile supply growth are structural positives, but at a D grade (36/100) the current ask leaves little margin.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 3h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -3.2% | 53 | 49 |
| Return (14d) | +60.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +10.4% | 83 | 76 |
| Return (60d) | -24.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -23.9% | 70 | 65 |
| Return (all) | -75.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +46.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +47.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -27.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -27.3% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -142.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.19 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $3.30 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $3.39 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $3.39 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.84 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $7.88 | — | — |
| High (all) | $45.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $3.19 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.59 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $3.14 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $4.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $8.07 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $3.19 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.59 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.38 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $2.50 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $3.04 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $3.48 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $5.65 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +64.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +70.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +70.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +143.2% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +296.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +2210.9% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 86 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 42 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 20 | 61 | 58 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -3.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -5.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -5.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -34.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -59.5% | 46 | 49 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +60.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +60.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +60.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +60.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +60.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +21.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +23.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +23.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -24.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -60.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 15 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 44 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 108 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.3% | 64 | 58 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.54× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.46× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.57× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +48.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +31.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +19.0% | 74 | 74 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +19.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +17.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +11.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +41.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +58.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +74.7% | 64 | 61 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +95.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +59.5% | 54 | 51 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 75d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 178d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.21× | 81 | 78 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.28 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.4 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.87 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 10.91 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +59.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +90.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +90.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +39.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +39.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +39.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +48.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +48.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.2% | 33 | 32 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 11 | 34 | 33 |
| Listings on book | 72 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +41.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.0% | 25 | 23 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 12.94× | 75 | 74 |
| Top-1 holder share | +19.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Top-10 holder share | +30.7% | 95 | 95 |
| HHI (top-10) | 396.56 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.0% | 42 | 42 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 302d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 1.07× | 66 | 64 |
| Store-price ratio | 1.06× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +71.1% | 67 | 75 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.16× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +42.3% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.84 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 43 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.4% | 53 | 49 |
| Momentum pillar | 46 | 31 | 32 |
| Scarcity pillar | 20 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 8 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 41 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 36 | 10 | 16 |
| Data completeness | +75.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.54× | 61 | 59 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +55.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +21.0% | 80 | 76 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -16.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.