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Reindeer Top 2025: Full Analytics | S&box Skins
Back to Reindeer Top 2025Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 72% .
Overall rating ? Fixed supply Insight Engine v2 Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 25, 1:02 AM.
Signal narrative Slightly bullish Elevated supply
5,187 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Holders are holding !!
Only 1.3% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~11.6 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Delisted from store !!
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Deep drawdown
Down 53% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Above modelled fair value !!
Trading 132% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Signal Analysis Insight Engine The most striking number here is the gap between the $5.45 ask and the $3.47 median sale, a 47.5% bid/ask spread that leaves the current price 127.8% above modelled fair value. Liquidity is thin at 7/100 and 69 active listings sit against just 449 owners of 5,187 units, with top-1 holder share in the 95th percentile, so a small number of sellers can set the tone. The supply side is genuinely fixed (delisted, 30d supply growth in the 5th percentile), which supports the bullish holding signals, but with the overall grade at D and 7d movement of just +0.8%, patience near the $3.34 standing bid may be better rewarded than paying the ask.
AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 10h ago Β· Not financial advice β automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action 89/113 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Return (24h) +0.0% β β Return (3d) β β β Return (7d) +0.1%
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. βn/sβ marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Return (14d)
Log return (24h) +0.0% β β
Log return (7d) +0.1% β β
Log return (14d) -4.0% β β
Log return (30d) -2.5% β β
Log return (60d) -4.3% β β
Log return (90d) -57.7% β β
Log return (all) -163.0% β β
Mean price (24h) β β β
Mean price (7d) $5.45 β β
Mean price (14d) $5.59 β β
Mean price (30d) $5.46 β β
Mean price (60d) $5.17 β β
Mean price (90d) $6.00 β β
Mean price (all) $13.15 β β
Median price (24h) β β β
Median price (3d) β β β
Median price (7d) $5.45 β β
Median price (14d) $5.64 β β
Median price (30d) $5.45 β β
Median price (60d) $5.23 β β
Median price (90d) $5.64 β β
Median price (all) $7.55 β β
Range % (30d) +10.9% β β
Range % (60d) +42.5% β β
Range % (90d) +187.5% β β
Range % (all) +1313.3% β β
Position in range (24h) β β β
Position in range (3d) β β β
Position in range (7d) β β β
Position in range (14d) β β β
Position in range (30d) 59 β β
Position in range (60d) 85 β β
Position in range (90d) 19
Position in range (all) 3 β β
Distance from high (24h) β β β
Distance from high (3d) β β β
Distance from high (7d) -0.1% β β
Distance from high (14d) -3.9% β β
Distance from high (30d) -4.0% β β
Distance from high (60d) -4.4% β β
Distance from high (90d) -52.6%
Distance from high (all) -90.4% β β
Distance from low (24h) β β β
Distance from low (3d) β β β
Distance from low (7d) +0.1% β β
Distance from low (14d) +0.1% β β
Distance from low (30d) +6.4% β β
Distance from low (60d) +36.3% β β
Distance from low (90d) +36.3% β β
Distance from low (all) +36.3% β β
Price vs mean (24h) β β β
Price vs mean (3d) β β β
Price vs mean (7d) +0.0% β β
Price vs mean (14d) -2.5% β β
Price vs mean (30d) -0.2% β β
Price vs mean (60d) +5.3% β β
Price vs mean (90d) -9.1% β β
Price vs mean (all) -58.6% β β
Up-day ratio (24h) β β β
Up-day ratio (3d) β β β
Up-day ratio (7d) 50 β β
Up-day ratio (14d) 43 β β
Up-day ratio (30d) 28 β β
Up-day ratio (60d) 24 β β
Up-day ratio (90d) 23 β β
Up-day ratio (all) 27 β β
Trend 11/38 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort SMA (7) β β β Price vs SMA (7) β β β SMA (14) β β β Price vs SMA (14) β β β SMA (21) β β β Price vs SMA (21) β β β SMA (30) β β β Price vs SMA (30) β β β SMA (50) β β β Price vs SMA (50) β β β SMA (90) β β β Price vs SMA (90) β β β SMA (100) β β β Price vs SMA (100) β β β EMA (7) β β β Price vs EMA (7) β β β EMA (14) β β β Price vs EMA (14) β β β EMA (30) β β β Price vs EMA (30) β β β RSI (7) β β β RSI (14) β β β RSI (21) β β β RSI (30) β β β RSI (50) β β β RSI (100) β β β Trend slope (14d) -0.6% β β Trend slope (30d) +0.3% Trend slope (60d) +0.3% β β Trend slope (90d) -0.7% β β Trend slope (all) -1.8% β β Trend fit RΒ² (14d) 0.75Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (30d) 0.25Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (60d) 0.33Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (90d) 0.47Γ β β Trend fit RΒ² (all) 0.71Γ β β SMA 7/30 cross β β β Days since trend flip 6.0d β β
Volatility & risk 32/33 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Return stdev (7d) β β β Return stdev (14d) +1.3% β β Return stdev (30d) +2.7% Return stdev (60d) +6.2% β β Return stdev (90d) +6.9% β β Return stdev (all) +13.6% β β Downside deviation (30d) +1.3% β β Downside deviation (60d) +3.3% β β Downside deviation (90d) +4.5% β β Max drawdown (30d) +8.4% β β Max drawdown (60d) +29.7% β β Max drawdown (90d) +65.2% Max drawdown (all) +92.9% β β Current drawdown (90d) +52.6% Current drawdown (all) +90.4% β β Drawdown duration (90d) 84d β β Drawdown duration (all) 131d β β Sortino ratio (30d) -0.07Γ Sortino ratio (90d) -0.10Γ β β Return skew (30d) 3.19 β β Return skew (90d) 1.7 β β Excess kurtosis (30d) 13.81 β β Excess kurtosis (90d) 8.34 β β Largest up day (7d) +0.2% β β Largest up day (14d) +0.2% β β Largest up day (30d) +10.9% β β Largest up day (60d) +34.1% β β Largest up day (90d) +34.1% β β Largest down day (7d) +0.1% β β Largest down day (14d) +3.5% β β Largest down day (30d) +4.1% β β Largest down day (60d) +13.8% β β Largest down day (90d) +20.5% β β
Liquidity 5/20 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Turnover % β β β On-market % +1.3% Days to clear listings β β β Lifetime sales / day needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales β β Liquidity score 12 Listings on book 68 β β Amihud illiquidity (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Amihud illiquidity (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Amihud illiquidity (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Zero-sale-day share (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam sales history β β Listings trend (7d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (14d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listings trend (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Bid-ask spread % +47.5% β β Near-mid bid imbalance β β β Bid-depth trend (7d) β β β Bid-floor migration (7d) +0.6% β β
Supply & ownership 20/21 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Supply growth (7d) +0.0% β β Supply growth (14d) +0.0% β β Supply growth (30d) +0.0% Supply growth (60d) +0.0% β β Supply growth (90d) +0.0% β β Owner growth (7d) +0.0% β β Owner growth (14d) +0.2% β β Owner growth (30d) +0.0% Owner growth (60d) +0.2% β β Owner growth (90d) +11.4% β β Mint rate (7d) 0 β β Mint rate (30d) 0 β β Supply doubling time β β β Copies per owner 11.55Γ Top-1 holder share +15.4% Top-10 holder share +24.3% HHI (top-10) 250.43 β β Whale count (β₯5) 10 β β Absorption (30d) +0.0% Absorption (60d) +0.2% β β Absorption (90d) +11.4% β β
Lifecycle & value 16/18 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Age 257d β β Days since fixation β β β Days until leaving store n/s β β β Release-price multiple 1.09Γ Store-price ratio 1.09Γ β β Fair-value residual +131.9% Price per scarcity point 0.26Γ β β Instant-sell discount +38.7% β β Bid-floor backing $3.28 β β Accumulation score 51 β β Market-relative 7d return +0.5% Momentum pillar 51 Scarcity pillar 21 β β Liquidity pillar 9 β β Value pillar 32 β β Risk pillar 44 β β Overall rating 36 Data completeness +72.5% β β
Relative to market 9/9 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Beta vs market (14d) -0.01Γ β β Beta vs market (30d) -0.08Γ Beta vs market (90d) -0.10Γ β β Market correlation (14d) -0.03Γ β β Market correlation (30d) -0.23Γ β β Market correlation (90d) -0.11Γ β β Return vs market (14d) +2.2% β β Return vs market (30d) -12.5% Return vs market (90d) +7.3% β β
Events 11/15 populated Indicator Value vs market vs cohort Spike days (30d) 0 Spike days (60d) 2 β β Spike days (90d) 4 β β Dump days (30d) 0 Dump days (60d) 0 β β Dump days (90d) 2 β β Post-spike reversion (30d) β β β Post-spike reversion (60d) -2.6% β β Post-spike reversion (90d) -6.4% β β Listing shocks (30d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listing shocks (60d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Listing shocks (90d) needs provenance-safe Steam listings history β β Net spike bias (30d) 0 β β Net spike bias (60d) 2 β β Net spike bias (90d) 2 β β