Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 3:02 AM.
5,187 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 1.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 42% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 15pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 59% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 97% above the best standing bid of $1.76; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is a phantom price: the $3.31 lowest ask floats 98% above the best standing bid of $1.75, a 61.7% spread, and the liquidity score of 7/100 says that gap is not being arbitraged away. Against that, the model reads the item 58.3% above fair value even after a 7d decline of 10.1%, which still outperformed the market median by 13.5%. The constructive side is structural: supply is fixed at 5,187 units post-delisting, 30d supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, and bids are accumulating. But with 453 owners, top-1 holder share in the 95th percentile, and an overall grade of D (34/100), the quoted ask looks closer to aspiration than clearing price.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 12h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +12.6% | 90 | 81 |
| Return (14d) | +10.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -36.6% | 25 | 26 |
| Return (60d) | -41.6% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -33.1% | 57 | 43 |
| Return (all) | -88.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +11.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -45.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -53.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -40.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -212.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $5.23 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $5.67 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $5.70 | — | — |
| High (all) | $56.53 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.93 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $2.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $3.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $3.02 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $3.59 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $4.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $4.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $11.15 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.94 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.98 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $3.31 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $5.23 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $5.22 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $5.67 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +85.3% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +101.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +102.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1904.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 20 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 17 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 17 | 57 | 52 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -36.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -41.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -41.9% | 70 | 68 |
| Distance from high (all) | -94.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +9.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -7.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -26.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -30.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -70.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 41 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 43 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 109 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.3% | 23 | 36 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.81× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.64× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +11.0% | 42 | 50 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +46.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +50.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +50.5% | 20 | 25 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +95.0% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +41.9% | 30 | 32 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +94.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 76d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 178d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.16× | 28 | 17 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.06 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.44 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 5.42 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.28 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +35.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +35.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +35.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.1% | 30 | 15 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 10 | 30 | 15 |
| Listings on book | 56 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +57.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.7% | 31 | 13 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.45× | 55 | 49 |
| Top-1 holder share | +15.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Top-10 holder share | +24.7% | 86 | 95 |
| HHI (top-10) | 251.73 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.7% | 54 | 46 |
| Absorption (60d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 301d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.66× | 51 | 51 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.66× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +58.5% | 64 | 35 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.16× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +46.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.75 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 45 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +15.2% | 90 | 81 |
| Momentum pillar | 44 | 28 | 42 |
| Scarcity pillar | 21 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 7 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 46 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 25 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 34 | 11 | 10 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.69× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.30× | 86 | 95 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.43× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -21.6% | 26 | 27 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -19.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 10 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.