Reindeer Head 2025full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

44/ 100

Momentum53

Scarcity37

Liquidity34

Value40

Risk53

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Neutral

Elevated supply

5,004 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~10.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 15% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The most notable signal here is the tension between a sharp weekly pullback and a rich valuation: Reindeer Head 2025 is down 15.3% over seven days, a drop the model's contrarian read flags as a possible recovery setup in this single-regime market, yet the lowest ask of $11.89 still sits 249.4% above modelled fair value. Liquidity is thin, with zero units traded in the last 24 hours, just one executed Steam sale, and turnover in the market's 5th percentile. Supply is fixed at 5,004 units across only 466 owners, and the item is delisted from the store, reinforcing scarcity even as the 14.3% bid/ask spread and concentrated ownership keep this a market with limited depth.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (3d)	-3.0%	—	—
Return (7d)	-8.5%	48	51
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$12.39	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-4.0%	—	—
SMA (14)	$13.50	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-11.9%	—	—
SMA (21)	$13.88	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-14.3%	—	—
SMA (30)	$14.23	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-16.5%	66	61
SMA (50)	$14.96	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-20.5%	—	—
SMA (90)	$27.25	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-56.4%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$12.39	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-4.0%	—	—
EMA (14)	$13.50	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-11.9%	—	—
EMA (30)	$14.23	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-16.5%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-2.3%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-0.8%	82	77
Trend slope (60d)	-1.0%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.2%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.1%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.78×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.52×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.50×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.72×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.74×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-13.0%	73	66
Days since trend flip	8.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+2.2%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+6.3%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+6.7%	10	20
Return stdev (60d)	+11.0%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+12.1%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+12.6%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+4.0%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+5.9%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+6.9%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+25.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+62.8%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+85.9%	46	51
Max drawdown (all)	+85.9%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+85.9%	55	61
Current drawdown (all)	+85.9%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.18×	59	53
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.21×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	1.39	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.8	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	3.29	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	6.96	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+13.1%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+20.6%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+57.8%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+57.8%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+5.2%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+13.2%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+13.2%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+19.7%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+30.2%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+0.5%	5	5
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	23.61	—	—
Liquidity score	21	24	24
Listings on book	24	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+26.3%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+33.3%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-46.7%	5	5
Listings trend (60d)	-50.0%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+14.6%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.97×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+1.9%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	50
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	-0.2%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	-0.2%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+1.5%	50	58
Owner growth (60d)	+18.0%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+98.3%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	10.74×	45	46
Top-1 holder share	+8.0%	82	81
Top-10 holder share	+20.0%	79	79
HHI (top-10)	94.6	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+1.5%	54	75
Absorption (60d)	+18.0%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+98.3%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	212d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	1.19×	61	60
Store-price ratio	1.19×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+249.4%	86	80
Price per scarcity point	0.32×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+13.6%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$10.27	—	—
Accumulation score	52	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-0.8%	48	51
Momentum pillar	53	75	71
Scarcity pillar	37	—	—
Liquidity pillar	34	—	—
Value pillar	40	—	—
Risk pillar	53	—	—
Overall rating	44	39	41
Data completeness	+90.6%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	1	25	38
Spike days (60d)	4	—	—
Spike days (90d)	5	—	—
Dump days (30d)	0	5	5
Dump days (60d)	4	—	—
Dump days (90d)	8	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-6.6%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-4.3%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-1.8%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	2	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	2	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-3	—	—