Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 6:02 PM.
Price up 25.5% in 24h: significant bullish movement.
2,145 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 3.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 87% discount to the store price.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 47% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 16pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 147% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $4.50 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 25.5% move over the past 24 hours is the headline, but it reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, and the order book supports that caution: the $0.59 ask sits 42% above the best standing bid of $0.43, with a 31.4% spread and a cumulative bid floor down at $0.35. The model puts the current price 146.6% above fair value, and 76 active listings against 2,145 units in existence and only 331 owners leaves little scarcity support (scarcity 12/100, liquidity 27/100). The 7d print is still negative at -10.7% despite outperforming the market median by 15.9%, and owner growth sits in the 5th percentile. At a 35/100 overall rating, waiting for the ask to converge toward real bids may be the more defensible read.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 3h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +12.4% | 90 | 91 |
| Return (14d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -10.6% | 63 | 67 |
| Return (60d) | -28.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -21.3% | 73 | 76 |
| Return (all) | -89.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +22.7% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -11.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -32.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -24.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -226.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.12 | — | — |
| High (all) | $7.89 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.59 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.59 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.56 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.02 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.59 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.19 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +29.8% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +40.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +74.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +160.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1734.9% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 86 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 63 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 23 | 65 | 70 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -10.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -28.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -47.3% | 64 | 66 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +37.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +37.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -11.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -20.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -70.8% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 33 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 86 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.0% | 47 | 46 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.62× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.75× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 18d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +10.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +7.9% | 24 | 23 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +14.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +28.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +42.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +61.6% | 40 | 41 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +47.3% | 36 | 34 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 79d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 176d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.04× | 47 | 47 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.32 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.74 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.12 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 35.81 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +25.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +151.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +61.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +3.5% | 81 | 83 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 30 | 81 | 83 |
| Listings on book | 76 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +26.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -23.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.2% | 51 | 52 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | -0.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | -0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +1.5% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.17 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.14 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 11141d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 6.48× | 13 | 13 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.9% | 10 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.7% | 18 | 11 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 3.54 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -1.1% | 23 | 22 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -1.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +0.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 629d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.13× | 8 | 10 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.13× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +146.6% | 79 | 79 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.05× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +22.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.35 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 24 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +15.9% | 90 | 91 |
| Momentum pillar | 45 | 29 | 28 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 45 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 39 | 20 | 16 |
| Data completeness | +79.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -1.16× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.72× | 10 | 7 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +5.8% | 65 | 68 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.