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Back to Puffer Gilet Orange

Puffer Gilet Orangefull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
61/ 100
B
Momentum69
Scarcity67
Liquidity28
Value97
Risk35

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 5, 5:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
6-hour surge !!

Up 671.2% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.

Low supply !!

326 total supply: a relatively rare item.

Concentrated ownership

~15.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Near all-time low !!

Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 54% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 95% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 88% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 54% above the best standing bid of $0.13; you could not actually sell there right now.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The 671.2% six-hour move is the loudest number here, but the order book argues it is not real: the $0.20 ask sits 54% above the best standing bid of $0.13, with a 42.4% bid/ask spread and a liquidity score of just 29/100. Set against a 7d return of -47.5% (5th percentile, and 28.6% behind the market median), the more durable read is a deep drawdown near all-time lows, trading 89.1% below modelled fair value. Supply is fixed at 317 units post-delisting, though 22 owners holding against 17 active listings is concentrated enough to explain the volatility. Patience until bids rise to meet the ask looks better supported than chasing the six-hour print.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

106/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-4.8%
27
37
Return (14d)-60.8%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-35.5%
22
26
Return (60d)-37.5%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-90.6%
10
13
Return (all)-90.6%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-4.9%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-93.6%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-43.8%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-47.0%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-236.6%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-236.6%β€”β€”
High (24h)$0.20β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.20β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.21β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.51β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.54β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.93β€”β€”
High (90d)$3.65β€”β€”
High (all)$3.65β€”β€”
Low (24h)$0.20β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.20β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.20β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.20β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.20β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.20β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.20β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.20β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)$0.20β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.20β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.20β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.26β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.39β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.41β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.62β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$0.62β€”β€”
Median price (24h)$0.20β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.20β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.20β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.21β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.35β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.36β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.43β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.43β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+5.0%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+155.0%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+170.0%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+365.0%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+1725.0%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+1725.0%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)0β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)0
5
5
Position in range (all)0β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-4.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-60.8%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-63.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-78.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-94.5%
11
13
Distance from high (all)-94.5%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-1.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-23.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-48.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-51.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-68.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-68.0%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)0β€”β€”
Up days (30d)5β€”β€”
Up days (60d)10β€”β€”
Up days (90d)14β€”β€”
Up days (all)14β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)1β€”β€”
Down days (14d)3β€”β€”
Down days (30d)8β€”β€”
Down days (60d)19β€”β€”
Down days (90d)34β€”β€”
Down days (all)34β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)38β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)34β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)29β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)29β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)-10.9%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-2.3%
24
25
Trend slope (60d)-0.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-2.7%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-2.7%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.61Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.20Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.31Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.31Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip14dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

31/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+2.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+21.9%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+18.3%
71
75
Return stdev (60d)+33.8%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+35.7%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+35.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+15.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+17.0%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+16.8%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+63.0%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+78.5%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+94.5%
88
85
Max drawdown (all)+94.5%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+94.5%
89
87
Current drawdown (all)+94.5%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)81dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)81dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.02Γ—
46
51
Sortino ratio (90d)0.21Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)1.72β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)3.95β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)9.76β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)21.74β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+68.8%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+304.3%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+304.3%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+4.8%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+45.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+45.1%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+66.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+67.9%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+5.2%
90
89
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score41
90
90
Listings on book17β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+42.4%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

19/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+7.9%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+15.6%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+32.0%
91
89
Supply growth (60d)+83.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+4557.1%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)-4.5%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+10.5%
81
82
Owner growth (60d)+50.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)4β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)2.72β€”β€”
Supply doubling time75dβ€”β€”
Copies per owner15.52Γ—
88
90
Top-1 holder share+1.2%
21
26
Top-10 holder share+4.9%
14
15
HHI (top-10)3.39β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)0β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)-21.5%
5
5
Absorption (60d)-33.1%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-88.2%
5
5
Price per scarcity point0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+35.0%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.13β€”β€”
Accumulation score50β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-4.8%
27
37
Momentum pillar69
95
95
Scarcity pillar67β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar28β€”β€”
Value pillar97β€”β€”
Risk pillar35β€”β€”
Overall rating66
95
95
Data completeness+77.4%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)2.80Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)1.43Γ—
90
94
Beta vs market (90d)-0.04Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)0.57Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)0.34Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)-0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-48.7%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-27.3%
22
26
Return vs market (90d)-67.5%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)1
25
25
Spike days (60d)6β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)9β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)2
50
70
Dump days (60d)9β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)17β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-0.2%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-8.0%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-1β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-8β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.