Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 4, 1:02 PM.
Up 29.9% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
278 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
~12.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (278 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 22% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 14: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 99% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
15pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 93% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 42% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
At $0.17 the ask sits 92% below the model's fair value, the single most extreme reading in this pack, and it comes alongside a 95th percentile current drawdown and a 5th percentile 90-day return. The 7d move of -22% and 24h move of -15% have been partially offset by a +29.9% six-hour bounce, which in this single-regime market reads as a possible recovery setup rather than a trend. Two cautions temper that: the listed price floats 42% above the best standing bid of $0.12 on a 34.5% spread, and 23 owners holding 277 units with 19 live listings explains the 39/100 liquidity and 25/100 safety scores.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 22h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -15.0% | 10 | 10 |
| Return (14d) | -34.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -43.3% | 17 | 22 |
| Return (60d) | -5.6% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -98.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -98.5% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -16.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -42.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -56.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -5.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -421.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -421.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $11.50 | — | — |
| High (all) | $11.50 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.22 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +52.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +105.9% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +133.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +7566.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +7566.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 11 | 14 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -15.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -34.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -51.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -51.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -98.5% | 5 | 7 |
| Distance from high (all) | -98.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -12.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -22.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -34.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -23.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -75.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -75.9% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 43 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.2% | 24 | 25 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -5.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -5.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.84× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.17× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 8.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +8.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +9.0% | 31 | 36 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +15.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +51.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +51.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.7% | 95 | 92 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.7% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +98.5% | 95 | 93 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +98.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 80d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 80d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.21× | 22 | 25 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.26× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -1.26 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | -1.02 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.82 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 5.6 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +20.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +25.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +25.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +68.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +6.8% | 95 | 92 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 50 | 95 | 93 |
| Listings on book | 19 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +34.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +19.8% | 83 | 80 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +55.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +6850.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +4.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +130.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 1.5 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 1.59 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 115d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.09× | 58 | 58 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.8% | 31 | 39 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +6.5% | 25 | 27 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 6.73 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -19.8% | 5 | 5 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +74.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -92.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +29.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.11 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -15.0% | 10 | 10 |
| Momentum pillar | 61 | 84 | 85 |
| Scarcity pillar | 58 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 98 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 25 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 64 | 94 | 90 |
| Data completeness | +73.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.98× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.23× | 20 | 24 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.92× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.12× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -27.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -37.4% | 17 | 21 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -78.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -5.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.