Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 72%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 6, 7:02 AM.
Down 37.5% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
423 units so far, but the drop is still active — today's count understates final supply.
Only 4.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (423 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
RSI 25: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 98% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 35% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 100% above the best standing bid of $0.09; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline is a 37.5% slide over six hours against a flat 24h print, and the order book explains why that number is fragile: the $0.18 ask floats 80% above the best standing bid of $0.10, with a 57.1% spread and a cumulative bid floor at $0.09. Liquidity scores 25/100 across 16 active listings, and 417 units held by just 30 owners flags concentrated ownership. The constructive side is valuation, with price 33.8% below the fair-value model (value 80/100), oversold RSI, and a 95th-percentile drawdown. But a 5th-percentile 90d return, a 7d reading 14.3% behind the market median, and 18/100 on safety argue for treating any bounce here as unproven rather than established.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 16h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -25.0% | 34 | 38 |
| Return (60d) | -5.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -98.3% | 5 | 6 |
| Return (all) | -98.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -5.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -407.9% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -407.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $10.64 | — | — |
| High (all) | $10.64 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.12 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.12 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.12 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.12 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.19 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.20 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.18 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +100.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +183.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +8766.7% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +8766.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 1 | 17 | 26 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -47.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -98.3% | 5 | 9 |
| Distance from high (all) | -98.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -6.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -9.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -26.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -64.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -64.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 44 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.0% | 47 | 47 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.28× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.12× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 5.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | — | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +18.4% | 70 | 74 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +19.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +64.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.9% | 95 | 93 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.9% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +98.3% | 95 | 91 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +98.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 82d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.01× | 50 | 53 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.14× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.26 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.13 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.81 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 3.5 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +45.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +60.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +70.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +42.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +42.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +76.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +4.0% | 84 | 82 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 33 | 84 | 83 |
| Listings on book | 17 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +10.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.75× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +11.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +23.9% | 86 | 83 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +66.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +5828.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +3.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +7.1% | 77 | 78 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +76.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 2.76 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 97d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 14.10× | 78 | 79 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.7% | 30 | 36 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.0% | 15 | 17 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.08 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -16.7% | 5 | 9 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +10.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -35.1% | 32 | 30 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.00× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +50.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.09 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.0% | 50 | 50 |
| Momentum pillar | 51 | 51 | 48 |
| Scarcity pillar | 57 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 45 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 80 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 60 | 89 | 88 |
| Data completeness | +72.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -1.34× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.50× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.34× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.13× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -17.4% | 33 | 39 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -81.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 12 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +5.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -4 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.