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Back to Puffer Gilet Black

Puffer Gilet Blackfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 74%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
59/ 100
B
Momentum61
Scarcity66
Liquidity26
Value99
Risk36

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 4, 2:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish
Sharp decline !!!

Price down 15.0% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Low supply !!

410 total supply: a relatively rare item.

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~12.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly uptrend !!

Average price up 18% over the past week versus the prior week.

Oversold (RSI) !!

RSI 27: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 99% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Lagging the market !!

41pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 98% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Holder base widening

Unique owners up 7% this week; new holders are arriving.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 42% above the best standing bid of $0.12; you could not actually sell there right now.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The headline number is a 97.4% discount to modelled fair value, which drives the 99/100 value score, but the order book argues for caution: the $0.20 ask sits 67% above the best standing bid of $0.12, with a 34.5% spread and a cumulative bid floor of $0.11, so the quoted price is substantially phantom. Supply is fixed at 405 units after store delisting, held by just 32 owners, and only 15 listings are active, which explains a liquidity score of 26/100. The 7d move of +8.1% still trails the market median by 30.6%, with 30d and 90d returns both in the 5th percentile. Oversold readings and a widening holder base are constructive, but concentration and 36/100 safety temper the setup.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

96/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-15.0%β€”β€”
Return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Return (7d)-41.4%
5
5
Return (14d)+3.0%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-85.3%
5
5
Return (60d)-32.0%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-98.9%
5
5
Return (all)-98.9%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-16.3%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-53.4%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)+3.0%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-192.0%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-38.6%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-454.7%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-454.7%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.17β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.29β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.29β€”β€”
High (30d)$1.16β€”β€”
High (60d)$1.22β€”β€”
High (90d)$16.04β€”β€”
High (all)$16.04β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.17β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.17β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.16β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.14β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.14β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.14β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.17β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.24β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.22β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.37β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.35β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.75β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$0.75β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.17β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.24β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.20β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.29β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.21β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.29β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.29β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+70.6%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+81.2%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+625.0%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+771.4%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+11357.1%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+11357.1%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)1β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)3β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)0
11
14
Position in range (all)0β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-41.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-41.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-85.3%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-86.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-98.9%
5
5
Distance from high (all)-98.9%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+6.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+6.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+21.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+21.4%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+21.4%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-27.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-23.7%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-54.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-51.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-77.2%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-77.2%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)1β€”β€”
Up days (30d)1β€”β€”
Up days (60d)6β€”β€”
Up days (90d)10β€”β€”
Up days (all)10β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)0β€”β€”
Down days (7d)3β€”β€”
Down days (14d)4β€”β€”
Down days (30d)17β€”β€”
Down days (60d)25β€”β€”
Down days (90d)41β€”β€”
Down days (all)41β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)20β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)6β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)19β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)20β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)20β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+2.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-8.3%
5
8
Trend slope (60d)+0.5%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-4.4%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-4.4%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.08Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.51Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip0.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+15.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+26.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+19.7%
76
77
Return stdev (60d)+28.3%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+39.6%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+39.6%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+10.5%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+10.4%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+17.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+86.2%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+86.9%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+99.1%
95
95
Max drawdown (all)+99.1%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+98.9%
95
95
Current drawdown (all)+98.9%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)80dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)80dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.61Γ—
5
5
Sortino ratio (90d)0.10Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)2.97β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)3.89β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)12.16β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)17.57β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+81.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+81.2%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+238.9%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+298.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+28.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+28.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+33.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+33.7%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+81.4%β€”β€”

Liquidity

5/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+3.7%
81
79
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score31
82
80
Listings on book15β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+34.5%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalanceβ€”β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

19/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+4.1%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+10.8%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+32.3%
90
89
Supply growth (60d)+74.5%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+5757.1%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+6.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+10.3%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+6.7%
77
78
Owner growth (60d)+60.0%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)β€”β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)2.67β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)3.45β€”β€”
Supply doubling time74dβ€”β€”
Copies per owner12.81Γ—
66
67
Top-1 holder share+1.2%
21
26
Top-10 holder share+4.9%
14
15
HHI (top-10)3.21β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)1β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)-25.6%
5
5
Absorption (60d)-14.5%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)β€”β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

13/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Ageneeds a release dateβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multipleβ€”β€”β€”
Store-price ratioβ€”β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-98.1%
5
5
Price per scarcity point0.00Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+29.4%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.11β€”β€”
Accumulation score50β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-41.4%
5
5
Momentum pillar61
84
85
Scarcity pillar66β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar26β€”β€”
Value pillar99β€”β€”
Risk pillar36β€”β€”
Overall rating64
94
90
Data completeness+74.0%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-5.26Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-1.74Γ—
5
5
Beta vs market (90d)0.30Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.56Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.34Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.03Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)+10.1%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-79.4%
5
5
Return vs market (90d)-79.3%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)1
25
25
Spike days (60d)4β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)7β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)5
95
95
Dump days (60d)7β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)18β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)-0.8%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)-4.5%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)-4β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)-3β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-11β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.