Propane Helmetfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

46/ 100

Momentum65

Scarcity27

Liquidity37

Value40

Risk53

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Neutral

Elevated supply

4,611 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~11.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 82% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Propane Helmet's most striking figure is its 300% premium over the modelled fair value, a gap made more precarious by thin trading: zero units changed hands in the last 24 hours, only 2 executed sales are on record, and just 42 units sit listed against 4611 in existence. The 12.1% bid/ask spread and a best standing bid of $14.37, well below the $16.22 ask, underline that illiquidity. Ownership is also concentrated, with 405 holders across those 4611 units placing top-holder share at the 95th percentile. The item has lagged the broader market by 17.6% over seven days despite fixed, delisted supply, and with turnover at the 5th percentile, price moves here may not reflect much real demand.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.1%	—	—
Return (3d)	-25.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	-25.2%	22	24
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$20.12	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-19.4%	—	—
SMA (14)	$20.12	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-19.4%	—	—
SMA (21)	$19.31	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-16.0%	—	—
SMA (30)	$19.11	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-15.1%	70	68
SMA (50)	$20.28	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-20.0%	—	—
SMA (90)	$34.01	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-52.3%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$20.12	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-19.4%	—	—
EMA (14)	$20.12	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-19.4%	—	—
EMA (30)	$19.11	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-15.1%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-0.0%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	+0.4%	94	90
Trend slope (60d)	-0.8%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.0%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.9%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.00×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.11×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.45×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.71×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.72×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	+5.3%	95	94
Days since trend flip	1.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

33/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+11.8%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+11.1%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+8.0%	21	31
Return stdev (60d)	+7.7%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+9.5%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+10.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+7.4%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+5.8%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+6.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+25.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+49.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+82.0%	33	34
Max drawdown (all)	+82.0%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+81.8%	41	45
Current drawdown (all)	+81.8%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.04×	79	74
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.23×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	0.53	—	—
Return skew (90d)	0.78	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	8.6	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	4.61	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	+0.1%	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+28.0%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+28.0%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+28.0%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+35.9%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+25.2%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+25.2%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+25.2%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+25.2%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+32.8%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+0.9%	23	27
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	15.96	—	—
Liquidity score	22	30	30
Listings on book	43	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+2.4%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-8.7%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	-8.7%	23	32
Listings trend (60d)	-20.8%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+12.1%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.92×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	-3.3%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	50
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	-0.2%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	-0.7%	8	10
Owner growth (60d)	+17.7%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+86.6%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	11.39×	51	51
Top-1 holder share	+16.5%	95	95
Top-10 holder share	+32.4%	95	95
HHI (top-10)	332.72	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	-0.7%	25	31
Absorption (60d)	+17.7%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+86.6%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	289d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	1.62×	75	72
Store-price ratio	1.62×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+300.0%	95	95
Price per scarcity point	0.60×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+11.4%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$14.35	—	—
Accumulation score	38	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-17.6%	22	25
Momentum pillar	65	94	93
Scarcity pillar	27	—	—
Liquidity pillar	37	—	—
Value pillar	40	—	—
Risk pillar	53	—	—
Overall rating	46	44	46
Data completeness	+91.0%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	1	25	38
Spike days (60d)	3	—	—
Spike days (90d)	5	—	—
Dump days (30d)	1	25	25
Dump days (60d)	2	—	—
Dump days (90d)	5	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+0.0%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+1.1%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-1.9%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	2	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	3	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	0	—	—