Prison Jumpsuitfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

39/ 100

Momentum58

Scarcity25

Liquidity17

Value40

Risk37

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bearish

Elevated supply

3,718 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 3.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~8.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (16 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Prison Jumpsuit's most striking figure is its 229.7% premium over the modelled fair value, placing it in the 95th percentile for fair-value residual even as the 7-day price has fallen 20.3% (an 8.0% underperformance versus the market median). The pack's own read treats that drop as a possible recovery setup rather than a breakdown, but liquidity undercuts conviction either way: zero units traded in the last 24h, just one executed Steam Market sale, and a 40.7% bid-ask spread between the $0.71 ask and $0.47 best bid. With 127 of 3,718 units listed and only 418 owners, thin turnover (5th percentile) makes any price move, up or down, easy to overstate.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-1.4%	—	—
Return (3d)	-4.1%	—	—
Return (7d)	-52.3%	6	6
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$0.97	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-26.7%	—	—
SMA (14)	$1.09	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-35.0%	—	—
SMA (21)	$1.42	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-49.9%	—	—
SMA (30)	$1.58	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-55.0%	9	11
SMA (50)	$1.93	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-63.1%	—	—
SMA (90)	$3.18	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-77.7%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$0.97	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-26.7%	—	—
EMA (14)	$1.09	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-35.0%	—	—
EMA (30)	$1.58	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-55.0%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-5.3%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-3.1%	41	42
Trend slope (60d)	-1.8%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-1.9%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.8%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.58×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.66×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.85×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.90×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.91×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-38.7%	16	18
Days since trend flip	2.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+14.0%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+24.1%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+19.6%	75	70
Return stdev (60d)	+14.7%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+13.2%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+12.9%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+12.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+10.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+9.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+68.0%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+82.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+88.9%	60	56
Max drawdown (all)	+88.9%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+88.9%	68	67
Current drawdown (all)	+88.9%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	87d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	87d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.16×	63	67
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.17×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	1.89	—	—
Return skew (90d)	1.99	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	7.46	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	12.96	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+77.4%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+77.4%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+77.4%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+77.4%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+26.2%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+36.7%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+37.4%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+37.4%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+37.4%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+3.3%	75	65
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	6.32	—	—
Liquidity score	24	46	43
Listings on book	122	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+15.5%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+12.4%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+15.5%	52	50
Listings trend (60d)	+28.3%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+164.1%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+16.7%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.2%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.5%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+1.4%	51	50
Supply growth (60d)	+4.4%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+50.9%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	+0.7%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	+1.0%	43	30
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+20.8%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+101.9%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	1.17	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	1.83	—	—
Supply doubling time	1448d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	8.89×	29	29
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+0.8%	15	18
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+3.9%	14	17
HHI (top-10)n/s	1.77	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-0.5%	29	27
Absorption (60d)n/s	+16.5%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+51.0%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	587d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.14×	5	5
Store-price ratio	0.14×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+229.7%	84	95
Price per scarcity point	0.03×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+90.1%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.07	—	—
Accumulation score	57	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-8.0%	35	33
Momentum pillar	58	83	87
Scarcity pillar	25	—	—
Liquidity pillar	17	—	—
Value pillar	40	—	—
Risk pillar	37	—	—
Overall rating	37	17	16
Data completeness	+90.5%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	3	90	90
Spike days (60d)	4	—	—
Spike days (90d)	6	—	—
Dump days (30d)	5	82	83
Dump days (60d)	7	—	—
Dump days (90d)	9	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-9.3%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-9.1%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-7.0%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	1	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	6	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-2	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-3	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-3	—	—