Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 3:02 PM.
3,744 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Trading at a 80% discount to the store price.
Average price up 22% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Up 110pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Permanently in the store at $5.00 — anyone can mint another at that price forever, so there's no scarcity premium and limited upside above the store price.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is the gap between the $0.99 ask and the $0.06 median sale price, a 95.5% bid/ask spread with the best standing bid at $0.35. That puts the listing 300% above modelled fair value, a 95th percentile residual, and the 7d gain of +21.6% (also 95th percentile, +109.8% versus the market median) reads as fade-risk rather than continuation in this single-regime market. Fundamentals are thin: 3,744 units against 424 owners, 79 active listings, and liquidity and scarcity scores of 13 and 12 behind an overall 22/100, grade D. Owner growth sits in the 5th percentile of its cohort, so the uptrend lacks a widening holder base.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 36m ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +110.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +106.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (14d) | +73.7% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -3.9% | 73 | 77 |
| Return (60d) | +41.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +37.5% | 92 | 92 |
| Return (all) | -83.2% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +74.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +72.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +55.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -4.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +31.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -178.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.99 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.00 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.05 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.37 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.47 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.67 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.82 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.16 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.66 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.35 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +112.8% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +112.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +150.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +157.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +191.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +283.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1669.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 98 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 94 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 91 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 62 | 91 | 94 |
| Position in range (all) | 10 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -5.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -28.3% | 87 | 93 |
| Distance from high (all) | -84.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +110.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +110.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +147.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +147.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +175.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +175.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +175.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +20.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +52.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +71.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +36.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +46.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +20.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -54.1% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 11 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 47 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 18 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 83 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -2.9% | 19 | 25 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.79× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +34.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +29.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +22.7% | 81 | 94 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +18.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +15.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +11.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +61.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +61.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +73.9% | 63 | 71 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +28.3% | 13 | 7 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +84.5% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 79d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 177d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.17× | 79 | 80 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.19× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.92 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.82 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 12.16 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 12.47 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +112.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +112.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +112.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +112.8% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +112.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +27.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +43.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +43.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +43.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.1% | 63 | 75 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 19 | 64 | 75 |
| Listings on book | 79 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +89.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +16.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.1% | 50 | 26 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +0.0% | 25 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +1.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0.07 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 38917d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 8.83× | 28 | 33 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +0.8% | 7 | 14 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +3.9% | 5 | 17 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 1.85 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -0.1% | 40 | 31 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +0.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 677d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.20× | 22 | 5 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.20× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.08× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +61.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.35 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 57 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +109.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 28 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 15 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 22 | 5 | 5 |
| Data completeness | +80.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -4.56× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -2.32× | 5 | 5 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.71× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.42× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.21× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +74.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +11.1% | 73 | 77 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -6.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.