Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 24, 11:02 AM.
Only 2.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~12.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (904 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 20% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 93% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 235% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable number here is valuation: the $0.77 ask sits 228.6% above the model's fair value and well clear of the $0.42 median sale, with the best standing bid at $0.49 and a 43.2% bid/ask spread separating the two. The 7d move of -24.6% and a 95th percentile dump-day count place this in the 5th percentile for 30d return, though in this single-regime market sharp drawdowns have tended to recover, so the 6h bounce of +6.9% reads as a possible recovery setup rather than confirmed momentum. Liquidity is thin at 16/100 with 24 live listings and 74 owners across 893 units. Overall grade is D at 36/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 1d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -1.3% | 43 | 45 |
| Return (14d) | -24.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -57.6% | 5 | 5 |
| Return (60d) | -3.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -92.9% | 10 | 13 |
| Return (all) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -1.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -27.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -85.9% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -3.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -264.6% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -264.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.77 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $3.34 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $10.58 | — | — |
| High (all) | $10.58 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.74 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.76 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.83 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.11 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.24 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.76 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.99 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.96 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.85 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +32.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +136.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +351.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1662.5% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1662.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 2 | 23 | 22 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -2.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -24.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -57.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -77.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -92.9% | 13 | 14 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +25.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -32.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -31.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 12 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 19 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -3.0% | 11 | 13 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.75× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.68× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.05× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 17d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +5.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +14.4% | 58 | 56 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +24.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +26.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +26.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +13.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +57.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +77.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +94.3% | 87 | 85 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +92.9% | 87 | 86 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 82d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.23× | 16 | 19 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.08 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 2.24 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 10.35 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 9.42 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +57.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +144.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +144.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +35.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +47.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +64.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.8% | 69 | 67 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 24 | 69 | 67 |
| Listings on book | 25 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +42.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -100.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -80.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +20.2% | 84 | 82 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +54.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +963.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +2.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +4.2% | 75 | 75 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +39.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +2366.7% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 4 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 5.24 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 113d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 12.22× | 61 | 61 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.1% | 15 | 18 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.2% | 16 | 21 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.22 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 3 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | -16.0% | 8 | 9 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -14.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +1403.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +234.8% | 91 | 93 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.02× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +42.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.14 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 16 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -1.3% | 43 | 45 |
| Momentum pillar | 52 | 60 | 63 |
| Scarcity pillar | 49 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 39 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 37 | 17 | 18 |
| Data completeness | +74.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.20× | 30 | 30 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.65× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -19.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -66.2% | 5 | 5 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -85.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 15 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -4.9% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -5.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -5 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.