Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 85%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 10, 2:02 PM.
Only 1.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (1,116 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Average price down 17% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 79% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 114% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The median sale price sits 100% above the best standing bid of $0.35; you could not actually sell there right now.
Order-book support has been building (accumulation score 70/100), with bid depth, value and floor all rising over the past week.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The most notable number here is the gap between displayed price and real demand: the $0.70 median sale sits 100% above the best standing bid of $0.35, a 67.9% bid/ask spread, and the $0.71 ask prices roughly 98.6% above the model's fair value. Liquidity is thin at 8/100 with 3 sales in the past 24h against 13 active listings and 1,116 units in existence. The 7d move of -19.1% reads, in this single-regime market, as a possible recovery setup rather than a breakdown, and bids are accumulating beneath a $0.34 cumulative floor. But with an overall 25/100 (D, 5th percentile), 12/100 safety and a 95th-percentile 90d drawdown, the spread argues for patience over paying the ask.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 22h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +1.4% | 76 | 76 |
| Return (14d) | -46.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +22.4% | 26 | 24 |
| Return (60d) | -27.6% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -15.5% | 28 | 25 |
| Return (all) | -93.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -62.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +20.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -32.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -16.8% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -270.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.71 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.33 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.33 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.33 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $3.34 | — | — |
| High (all) | $10.58 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.53 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.76 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.94 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.06 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.76 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.80 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +146.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +150.9% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +411.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1184.6% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +3967.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 22 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 42 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 15 | 12 | 10 |
| Position in range (all) | 4 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -46.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -46.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -46.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -78.7% | 6 | 7 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +31.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +34.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +173.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +173.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +173.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +3.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +4.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -5.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -7.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -24.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -33.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 26 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 63 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.68 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +4.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | -5.5% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.72 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -1.5% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | -0.4% | 53 | 47 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.68 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +4.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.75 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | -5.5% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $0.71 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | -0.4% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -4.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.1% | 39 | 26 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.26× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.09× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -4.2% | 38 | 28 |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +19.6% | 63 | 64 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +26.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +26.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +59.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +73.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +92.2% | 95 | 93 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +97.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +78.7% | 94 | 93 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 80d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 131d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.21× | 22 | 20 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.26× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.24 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.19 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.66 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 14.2 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +31.5% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +65.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +192.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +192.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +46.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +46.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +60.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +60.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.2% | 49 | 51 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 11 | 51 | 54 |
| Listings on book | 13 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +67.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +10.8% | 80 | 77 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +32.4% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +60.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0.33 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.76 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 202d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 13.13× | 72 | 74 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.2% | 14 | 16 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.3% | 14 | 18 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.26 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 4 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +113.9% | 78 | 81 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +50.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.35 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 70 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +3.5% | 76 | 76 |
| Momentum pillar | 51 | 36 | 34 |
| Scarcity pillar | 55 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 8 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 34 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 32 | 10 | 12 |
| Data completeness | +84.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.37× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.31× | 28 | 36 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.00× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -45.5% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -114.2% | 21 | 19 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -168.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 83 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +8.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.