Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 71%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 6:02 AM.
372 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 1.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~6.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 97% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 158% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 12% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Sep 7, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The clearest number here is valuation: at $22.00 the lowest ask sits 158.4% above the model's fair value, against an original store price of $6.50. Supply is genuinely fixed at 372 units following delisting, with 58 unique owners and only 6 active listings, and the scarcity score of 73/100 reflects that. The problem is everything around it. The 26.0% bid/ask spread against a best standing bid of $16.93 (cumulative floor $16.84) pairs with a liquidity score of 21/100, 30-day trend slope in the 5th percentile and return stdev in the 95th. The +14.1% week trailed the market median by 23.7%, so the recent move reads as fade risk rather than a trend, and patience near the bid may be the better-compensated stance.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -5.5% | 70 | 75 |
| Return (60d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -5.7% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +12.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $29.92 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $800.00 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $800.00 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $800.00 | — | — |
| High (all) | $800.00 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $20.73 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $13.04 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $13.04 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $13.04 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $13.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $22.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $56.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $54.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $54.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $54.44 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $22.00 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $20.90 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $20.85 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $20.81 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $20.81 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $20.81 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +44.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +6035.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +6035.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +6035.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +6035.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 1 | 26 | 25 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -26.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -97.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -97.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -97.3% | 8 | 5 |
| Distance from high (all) | -97.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +68.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -60.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -59.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -59.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -59.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 10 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 41 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -11.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -9.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -9.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -9.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.09× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.05× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | — | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +18.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +114.6% | 95 | 95 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +111.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +111.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +111.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +30.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +98.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +98.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.4% | 94 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +97.3% | 92 | 95 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +97.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 25d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 25d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 6.83× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 6.55× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.58 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.68 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 20.96 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 21.96 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +44.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +4458.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +4458.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +4458.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +26.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +96.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +96.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +96.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.6% | 51 | 53 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 15 | 51 | 54 |
| Listings on book | 6 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +25.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +13.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +23.4% | 90 | 88 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 6.41× | 13 | 13 |
| Top-1 holder share | +7.0% | 81 | 78 |
| Top-10 holder share | +29.8% | 95 | 90 |
| HHI (top-10) | 122.92 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +23.4% | 95 | 95 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 30d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -30d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 3.38× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +157.8% | 80 | 80 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.30× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +22.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $16.93 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 51 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +2.6% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 55 | 67 | 69 |
| Scarcity pillar | 73 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 21 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 40 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 46 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 54 | 77 | 77 |
| Data completeness | +70.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -1.62× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 53.49× | 95 | 95 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 36.69× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.28× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.20× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +5.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +9.4% | 71 | 76 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 5 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -40.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -36.5% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -36.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.