Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 1:02 PM.
Price down 21.4% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
17,227 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 10/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~21.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 51% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
18pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 35% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 92% above the best standing bid of $0.50; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is the order book, not the price: the $0.89 ask floats 104% above the best standing bid of $0.47, a 61.8% spread that marks this as a phantom price rather than a cleared one. Supply explains much of it. 17,227 units against 792 unique owners puts copies per owner in the 95th percentile, scarcity at 10 and liquidity at 7 out of 100, with 183 live listings competing. The fixed-supply story is real (delisted, 30d supply growth in the 5th percentile), and the model reads it 19.3% cheap against a $0.96 median, but a 12.7% seven-day slide, spike days in the 95th percentile and a D grade argue that any fill is likely to happen closer to the bid.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 21h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -21.4% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -21.3% | 18 | 24 |
| Return (14d) | +11.1% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -31.4% | 34 | 34 |
| Return (60d) | -41.7% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -39.4% | 49 | 54 |
| Return (all) | -91.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -24.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -24.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -24.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -37.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -53.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -50.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -243.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.70 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.96 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.20 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1.44 | — | — |
| High (all) | $9.57 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.79 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.78 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.90 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.87 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $2.70 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.70 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.79 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.89 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.98 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.91 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.02 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1.44 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +92.0% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +106.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +140.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +188.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1814.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 38 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 29 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 21 | 62 | 67 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -27.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -32.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -41.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -51.4% | 58 | 59 |
| Distance from high (all) | -92.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -11.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -9.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -10.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -19.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -31.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -74.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 103 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.3% | 41 | 38 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.47× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.71× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +48.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +35.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +26.5% | 88 | 88 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +19.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +10.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +51.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +58.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +65.3% | 47 | 50 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +94.8% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +51.4% | 42 | 41 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +92.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 182d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.10× | 74 | 76 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.22 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.91 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.2 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.01 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +78.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +43.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.0% | 28 | 28 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 10 | 28 | 28 |
| Listings on book | 176 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +33.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.5% | 30 | 35 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 21.78× | 95 | 94 |
| Top-1 holder share | +4.9% | 68 | 63 |
| Top-10 holder share | +19.5% | 75 | 71 |
| HHI (top-10) | 57.71 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.5% | 52 | 53 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 279d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.20× | 22 | 25 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.20× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -35.0% | 31 | 34 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.07× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +28.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.50 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 54 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -17.8% | 18 | 24 |
| Momentum pillar | 58 | 75 | 70 |
| Scarcity pillar | 10 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 12 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 72 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 31 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 38 | 16 | 12 |
| Data completeness | +80.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.15× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.67× | 10 | 8 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.16× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.09× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.05× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -16.4% | 34 | 34 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 95 | 95 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.