Piratefull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Store · permanent

Insight Engine v2

38/ 100

Momentum69

Scarcity33

Liquidity12

Value41

Risk24

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bearish

Sharp decline !!!

Price down 30.3% in 24h: significant selling pressure.

Elevated supply

2,352 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.8% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~6.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Item drop !!

A random in-game drop (20 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 24% over the past week versus the prior week.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Pirate is down 30.3% over 24 hours and 23.7% over the past week, a sharp enough drop that the model reads it as a possible recovery setup rather than a breakdown, consistent with the Oversold and Deep drawdown signals firing bullish. Liquidity is the bigger concern: only 1 executed sale in the last 24 hours against 43 active listings, a 12/100 liquidity score, and a 50.5% bid/ask spread with the best standing bid at just $0.37 versus a $0.62 ask, 119% below the listed price. The fair-value model still puts the item 97.0% above modeled value despite the decline, and with 360 owners holding 2352 units, the setup pairs genuine cheapness against thin, phantom-priced demand.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-30.3%	—	—
Return (3d)	-22.5%	—	—
Return (7d)	-33.3%	15	11
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$0.81	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-23.5%	—	—
SMA (14)	$0.94	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-33.7%	—	—
SMA (21)	$1.19	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-48.1%	—	—
SMA (30)	$1.13	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-44.9%	16	17
SMA (50)	$1.47	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-57.7%	—	—
SMA (90)	$2.93	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-78.9%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$0.81	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-23.5%	—	—
EMA (14)	$0.94	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-33.7%	—	—
EMA (30)	$1.13	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-44.9%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-4.3%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-0.9%	79	83
Trend slope (60d)	-2.2%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-2.3%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-2.3%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.85×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.06×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.71×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.85×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.86×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-28.0%	25	26
Days since trend flip	13d	—	—

Volatility & risk

31/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+10.7%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+9.6%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+16.2%	65	61
Return stdev (60d)	+17.0%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+15.2%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+15.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+8.9%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+11.2%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+9.9%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+68.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+82.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+90.9%	71	67
Max drawdown (all)	+91.2%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+90.9%	76	76
Current drawdown (all)	+91.2%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	70d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	92d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.02×	81	83
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.14×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	3.95	—	—
Return skew (90d)	2.55	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	19.53	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	16.06	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+97.0%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+97.0%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+97.0%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+22.5%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+22.5%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+26.2%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+43.6%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+43.6%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+1.8%	51	41
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	3.98	—	—
Liquidity score	17	10	6
Listings on book	43	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-2.3%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+4.9%	45	37
Listings trend (60d)	+30.3%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+58.3%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+0.0%	—	—

Supply & ownership

21/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.2%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.6%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+2.0%	51	50
Supply growth (60d)	+6.5%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+66.9%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)n/s	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)n/s	+1.1%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)n/s	+0.8%	40	28
Owner growth (60d)n/s	+20.8%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)n/s	+109.3%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0.67	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	1.62	—	—
Supply doubling time	1030d	—	—
Copies per ownern/s	6.53×	12	14
Top-1 holder sharen/s	+1.1%	22	26
Top-10 holder sharen/s	+5.3%	23	27
HHI (top-10)n/s	3.49	—	—
Whale count (≥5)n/s	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)n/s	-1.2%	19	21
Absorption (60d)n/s	+14.3%	—	—
Absorption (90d)n/s	+42.4%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	587d	—	—
Days since fixationn/s	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.12×	5	5
Store-price ratio	0.12×	—	—
Fair-value residual	+97.0%	72	78
Price per scarcity point	0.02×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+45.2%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$0.32	—	—
Accumulation score	50	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-24.7%	16	12
Momentum pillar	69	95	95
Scarcity pillar	33	—	—
Liquidity pillar	12	—	—
Value pillar	41	—	—
Risk pillar	24	—	—
Overall rating	33	9	9
Data completeness	+90.1%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	1	25	25
Spike days (60d)	4	—	—
Spike days (90d)	6	—	—
Dump days (30d)	3	63	63
Dump days (60d)	6	—	—
Dump days (90d)	10	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-2.5%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	+3.6%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	+2.0%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-2	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-2	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-4	—	—