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The dedicated S&box cosmetics market tracker. Live prices, drops and supply for every sbox skin on the Steam Community Market.

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Back to Pirate Hook

Pirate Hookfull analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 78%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
46/ 100
C
Momentum48
Scarcity12
Liquidity35
Value88
Risk47

Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 3:02 AM.

Signal narrative

Slightly bullish
Negative momentum

Price down 3.1% in 24h: a mild downward trend.

High supply !!

14,371 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.

Low scarcity score

Scarcity score 12/100: abundant and liquid.

Holders are holding !!

Only 1.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Concentrated ownership

~15.5 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Deep drawdown

Down 59% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.

Lagging the market !!

20pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.

Below modelled fair value !!

Trading 74% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.

Fixed supply

Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.

Phantom price !!

The listed price sits 130% above the best standing bid of $0.30; you could not actually sell there right now.

Strong bid floor !!

Real buy support at $0.30: cumulative standing bids you could sell a few copies into without the price collapsing.

Market-wide fear

The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.

Signals are informational only: not financial advice.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

Pirate Hook trades at a $0.32 ask against a $0.69 median sale and a $3.50 original store price, placing it in the 5th percentile for release-price multiple and 74.4% below the model's fair value. The 20.0% drop over 24h sits against a +6.0% week, and in this single-regime market sharp declines have tended to recover, so the read is a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to extend. Supply is the drag: 14,371 units across 930 owners (91st percentile for copies per owner) and a scarcity score of 12. The $0.30 bid floor holds, though the ask floats 130% above it, and 154 live listings against a liquidity score of 32 argue for patience on fills.

AI-generated from live market data Β· updated 1d ago Β· Not financial advice β€” automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

100/113 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return (24h)-3.1%β€”β€”
Return (3d)-3.1%β€”β€”
Return (7d)-22.5%
15
16
Return (14d)-3.1%β€”β€”
Return (30d)-20.5%
49
50
Return (60d)-40.4%β€”β€”
Return (90d)-55.7%
27
33
Return (all)-95.8%β€”β€”
Log return (24h)-3.2%β€”β€”
Log return (3d)-3.2%β€”β€”
Log return (7d)-25.5%β€”β€”
Log return (14d)-3.2%β€”β€”
Log return (30d)-23.0%β€”β€”
Log return (60d)-51.7%β€”β€”
Log return (90d)-81.5%β€”β€”
Log return (all)-315.9%β€”β€”
High (24h)β€”β€”β€”
High (3d)$0.32β€”β€”
High (7d)$0.40β€”β€”
High (14d)$0.40β€”β€”
High (30d)$0.42β€”β€”
High (60d)$0.52β€”β€”
High (90d)$0.75β€”β€”
High (all)$7.30β€”β€”
Low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Low (3d)$0.31β€”β€”
Low (7d)$0.31β€”β€”
Low (14d)$0.31β€”β€”
Low (30d)$0.30β€”β€”
Low (60d)$0.25β€”β€”
Low (90d)$0.25β€”β€”
Low (all)$0.25β€”β€”
Mean price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Mean price (3d)$0.32β€”β€”
Mean price (7d)$0.36β€”β€”
Mean price (14d)$0.35β€”β€”
Mean price (30d)$0.36β€”β€”
Mean price (60d)$0.39β€”β€”
Mean price (90d)$0.45β€”β€”
Mean price (all)$1.36β€”β€”
Median price (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Median price (3d)$0.32β€”β€”
Median price (7d)$0.36β€”β€”
Median price (14d)$0.32β€”β€”
Median price (30d)$0.36β€”β€”
Median price (60d)$0.40β€”β€”
Median price (90d)$0.42β€”β€”
Median price (all)$0.70β€”β€”
Range % (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Range % (3d)+3.2%β€”β€”
Range % (7d)+29.0%β€”β€”
Range % (14d)+29.0%β€”β€”
Range % (30d)+40.0%β€”β€”
Range % (60d)+108.0%β€”β€”
Range % (90d)+200.0%β€”β€”
Range % (all)+2820.0%β€”β€”
Position in range (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (3d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (14d)β€”β€”β€”
Position in range (30d)8β€”β€”
Position in range (60d)22β€”β€”
Position in range (90d)12
50
53
Position in range (all)1β€”β€”
Distance from high (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from high (3d)-3.1%β€”β€”
Distance from high (7d)-22.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (14d)-22.5%β€”β€”
Distance from high (30d)-26.2%β€”β€”
Distance from high (60d)-40.4%β€”β€”
Distance from high (90d)-58.7%
49
49
Distance from high (all)-95.8%β€”β€”
Distance from low (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Distance from low (3d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (30d)+3.3%β€”β€”
Distance from low (60d)+24.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (90d)+24.0%β€”β€”
Distance from low (all)+24.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs mean (3d)-1.6%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (7d)-13.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (14d)-10.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (30d)-14.1%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (60d)-21.0%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (90d)-31.3%β€”β€”
Price vs mean (all)-77.3%β€”β€”
Up days (24h)0β€”β€”
Up days (3d)0β€”β€”
Up days (7d)0β€”β€”
Up days (14d)1β€”β€”
Up days (30d)3β€”β€”
Up days (60d)8β€”β€”
Up days (90d)15β€”β€”
Up days (all)41β€”β€”
Down days (24h)0β€”β€”
Down days (3d)1β€”β€”
Down days (7d)2β€”β€”
Down days (14d)2β€”β€”
Down days (30d)10β€”β€”
Down days (60d)20β€”β€”
Down days (90d)31β€”β€”
Down days (all)92β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (24h)β€”β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (3d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (7d)0β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (14d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (30d)23β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (60d)29β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (90d)33β€”β€”
Up-day ratio (all)31β€”β€”
Up-day streak0.0dβ€”β€”

Trend

11/38 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (21)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (50)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (90)β€”β€”β€”
SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs SMA (100)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (7)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (14)β€”β€”β€”
EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
Price vs EMA (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (7)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (14)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (21)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (30)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (50)β€”β€”β€”
RSI (100)β€”β€”β€”
Trend slope (14d)+1.0%β€”β€”
Trend slope (30d)-0.9%
49
50
Trend slope (60d)-0.8%β€”β€”
Trend slope (90d)-0.9%β€”β€”
Trend slope (all)-1.7%β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (14d)0.05Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (30d)0.30Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (60d)0.56Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (90d)0.78Γ—β€”β€”
Trend fit RΒ² (all)0.66Γ—β€”β€”
SMA 7/30 crossβ€”β€”β€”
Days since trend flip0.0dβ€”β€”

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Return stdev (7d)+12.1%β€”β€”
Return stdev (14d)+12.0%β€”β€”
Return stdev (30d)+8.2%
26
25
Return stdev (60d)+10.4%β€”β€”
Return stdev (90d)+10.2%β€”β€”
Return stdev (all)+9.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (30d)+5.7%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (60d)+6.8%β€”β€”
Downside deviation (90d)+7.3%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (30d)+28.6%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (60d)+51.9%β€”β€”
Max drawdown (90d)+66.7%
52
55
Max drawdown (all)+96.6%β€”β€”
Current drawdown (90d)+58.7%
51
51
Current drawdown (all)+95.8%β€”β€”
Drawdown duration (90d)85dβ€”β€”
Drawdown duration (all)182dβ€”β€”
Sortino ratio (30d)-0.13Γ—
34
29
Sortino ratio (90d)-0.07Γ—β€”β€”
Return skew (30d)0.97β€”β€”
Return skew (90d)1.82β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (30d)4.67β€”β€”
Excess kurtosis (90d)11.06β€”β€”
Largest up day (7d)β€”β€”β€”
Largest up day (14d)+25.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (30d)+25.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (60d)+56.0%β€”β€”
Largest up day (90d)+56.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (7d)+20.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (14d)+20.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (30d)+20.0%β€”β€”
Largest down day (60d)+28.6%β€”β€”
Largest down day (90d)+28.6%β€”β€”

Liquidity

7/20 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Turnover %β€”β€”β€”
On-market %+1.1%
31
32
Days to clear listingsβ€”β€”β€”
Lifetime sales / dayneeds provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime salesβ€”β€”
Liquidity score10
31
32
Listings on book158β€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Amihud illiquidity (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Zero-sale-day share (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam sales historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (7d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (14d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listings trend (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Bid-ask spread %+3.3%β€”β€”
Near-mid bid imbalance0.85Γ—β€”β€”
Bid-depth trend (7d)-21.1%β€”β€”
Bid-floor migration (7d)-3.2%β€”β€”

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Supply growth (7d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (14d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (30d)+0.0%
5
5
Supply growth (60d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Supply growth (90d)+0.7%β€”β€”
Owner growth (7d)+0.4%β€”β€”
Owner growth (14d)+0.3%β€”β€”
Owner growth (30d)+0.1%
24
25
Owner growth (60d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Owner growth (90d)-0.6%β€”β€”
Mint rate (7d)0β€”β€”
Mint rate (30d)0β€”β€”
Supply doubling timeβ€”β€”β€”
Copies per owner15.45Γ—
91
86
Top-1 holder share+3.9%
58
52
Top-10 holder share+10.1%
40
32
HHI (top-10)20.3β€”β€”
Whale count (β‰₯5)10β€”β€”
Absorption (30d)+0.1%
45
45
Absorption (60d)-0.3%β€”β€”
Absorption (90d)-1.3%β€”β€”

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Age191dβ€”β€”
Days since fixationβ€”β€”β€”
Days until leaving storen/sβ€”β€”β€”
Release-price multiple0.09Γ—
5
5
Store-price ratio0.09Γ—β€”β€”
Fair-value residual-74.4%
10
12
Price per scarcity point0.03Γ—β€”β€”
Instant-sell discount+3.2%β€”β€”
Bid-floor backing$0.30β€”β€”
Accumulation score40β€”β€”
Market-relative 7d return-19.9%
15
16
Momentum pillar48
43
39
Scarcity pillar12β€”β€”
Liquidity pillar35β€”β€”
Value pillar88β€”β€”
Risk pillar47β€”β€”
Overall rating47
55
55
Data completeness+77.7%β€”β€”

Relative to market

9/9 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Beta vs market (14d)-0.64Γ—β€”β€”
Beta vs market (30d)-0.30Γ—
21
18
Beta vs market (90d)0.02Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (14d)-0.22Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (30d)-0.15Γ—β€”β€”
Market correlation (90d)0.01Γ—β€”β€”
Return vs market (14d)-2.8%β€”β€”
Return vs market (30d)-5.6%
49
50
Return vs market (90d)-44.1%β€”β€”

Events

12/15 populated
IndicatorValuevs marketvs cohort
Spike days (30d)1
25
25
Spike days (60d)2β€”β€”
Spike days (90d)3β€”β€”
Dump days (30d)1
25
25
Dump days (60d)2β€”β€”
Dump days (90d)4β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (30d)+0.0%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (60d)+3.8%β€”β€”
Post-spike reversion (90d)+2.6%β€”β€”
Listing shocks (30d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (60d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Listing shocks (90d)needs provenance-safe Steam listings historyβ€”β€”
Net spike bias (30d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (60d)0β€”β€”
Net spike bias (90d)-1β€”β€”

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. β€œn/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.