Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 2:02 PM.
Only 1.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 80% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 11% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Sep 7, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
Pirate Hat is trading 76.5% above the model's fair value at $12.65, well clear of its $7.50 store price, and that gap is the dominant fact here. The supply side supports some of it: the item is delisted with 514 units fixed, supply growth sits in the 5th percentile, dump days in the 5th, and absorption in the 95th, consistent with holders holding. The counterweight is execution. Liquidity scores 16 of 100 with only 7 active listings, the bid/ask spread is 30.8%, and the best standing bid of $9.27 sits far below the ask. After +11.3% over seven days and -4.3% in the last day, the overall grade is C at 49/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 23h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -4.3% | 48 | 54 |
| Return (14d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +19.0% | 88 | 91 |
| Return (60d) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +19.3% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -50.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -50.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $13.22 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $13.26 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $14.05 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $14.05 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $20.87 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $20.87 | — | — |
| High (all) | $20.87 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $10.43 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $9.09 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $9.09 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $9.09 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $9.09 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $12.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $13.04 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $13.01 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $11.74 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $12.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $12.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $12.08 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $12.65 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $13.22 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $13.26 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $11.27 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $11.29 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $11.29 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $11.29 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +4.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +129.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +129.6% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +129.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 61 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 72 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 30 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 30 | 75 | 78 |
| Position in range (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -4.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -9.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -39.4% | 76 | 78 |
| Distance from high (all) | -39.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +39.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +39.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +39.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +39.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +7.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 13 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.2% | 86 | 88 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.56× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.03× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 4.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +2.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +8.5% | 28 | 26 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +15.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +56.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +56.4% | 30 | 28 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +56.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +39.4% | 24 | 22 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +39.4% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 31d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 31d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.24× | 82 | 84 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.5 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | -0.98 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 8.06 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.2 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +34.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +49.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +49.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.4% | 41 | 43 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 13 | 41 | 43 |
| Listings on book | 7 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +30.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +3.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +17.0% | 83 | 81 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.29× | 24 | 24 |
| Top-1 holder share | +5.8% | 76 | 72 |
| Top-10 holder share | +27.0% | 91 | 86 |
| HHI (top-10) | 104.88 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +17.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 31d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -31d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 1.69× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +80.2% | 69 | 70 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.18× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +26.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $7.90 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 49 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -0.7% | 48 | 54 |
| Momentum pillar | 57 | 73 | 68 |
| Scarcity pillar | 69 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 34 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 44 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 49 | 63 | 62 |
| Data completeness | +77.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.29× | 48 | 48 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.76× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.23× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +33.9% | 88 | 92 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.