Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 76%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 6:02 AM.
Up 41.7% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
2,399 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 1.7% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~14.1 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (2,399 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
RSI 17: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 69% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
27pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 77% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
The listed price sits 60% above the best standing bid of $0.15; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 41.7% six-hour move reads more like a thin-book artifact than a genuine bid, because the $0.17 ask sits 77.4% above the fair-value model and 60% above the best standing bid of $0.15, with a 12.5% spread. Supply context supports caution: 2,399 units against 170 owners, 43 live listings, and liquidity scored at 32/100. The longer frame is softer still, down 9.5% over 7d and trailing the market median by 26.4%, which puts the item in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range. With the median sale at $0.24 and the grade at C (51/100), the oversold and near-all-time-low signals may matter more once the surge unwinds.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -29.2% | 9 | 10 |
| Return (14d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -38.2% | 24 | 22 |
| Return (60d) | -32.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -41.4% | 46 | 50 |
| Return (all) | -99.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -34.5% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -34.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -48.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -38.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -53.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -546.1% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.30 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.54 | — | — |
| High (all) | $39.99 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.28 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.17 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.23 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.25 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.26 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.31 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +61.8% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +76.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +217.6% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +23423.5% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -29.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -38.2% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -43.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -68.5% | 34 | 31 |
| Distance from high (all) | -99.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -18.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -24.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -32.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -38.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -86.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 27 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 61 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 31 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.2% | 44 | 41 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.55× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.15× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 27d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +6.5% | 16 | 16 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +6.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +23.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +68.5% | 55 | 58 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +99.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +68.5% | 66 | 69 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +99.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 68d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 139d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.21× | 23 | 21 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -4.11 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.85 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 17.95 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 35.75 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +16.0% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +107.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +26.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.7% | 54 | 56 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 16 | 54 | 56 |
| Listings on book | 41 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +12.5% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.96× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +1.5% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +2.7% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +5.0% | 66 | 77 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +2.4% | 49 | 52 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +14.1% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 6 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.97 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 423d | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 14.11× | 83 | 80 |
| Top-1 holder share | +0.8% | 7 | 5 |
| Top-10 holder share | +3.8% | 5 | 5 |
| HHI (top-10) | 1.78 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -2.6% | 15 | 11 |
| Absorption (60d) | -3.7% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -3.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 147d | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +77.3% | 69 | 70 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +11.8% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.15 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -26.6% | 9 | 10 |
| Momentum pillar | 66 | 92 | 92 |
| Scarcity pillar | 34 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 32 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 47 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 44 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 51 | 69 | 69 |
| Data completeness | +76.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.99× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.35× | 19 | 16 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.28× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.45× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.24× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -23.2% | 24 | 23 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -38.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -10.7% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.