Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 73%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 26, 2:02 AM.
Down 30.1% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
401 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~26.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 53% over the past week versus the prior week.
RSI 85: stretched to the upside and prone to a pullback.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 42% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 710% above the best standing bid of $15.90; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is the gap between the listed ask and the real demand: $252.48 against a best standing bid of $15.87, a 712% phantom premium and a 176.1% bid/ask spread. Median sale price sits at $128.84, and the model reads the current ask as 300% above fair value. The 7d move of +53.4% ranks in the 95th percentile for 30d trend slope, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, and the 6h change of -30.1% is consistent with that. Supply is genuinely fixed at 401 units, delisted, with 15 owners and only 4 live listings, which lifts scarcity to 73/100 while liquidity sits at 7/100. Overall grade D, 32/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 11h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -0.3% | 54 | 54 |
| Return (14d) | +89.3% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +61.8% | 92 | 93 |
| Return (60d) | +49.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +112.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (all) | +112.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +63.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +48.1% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +40.1% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +75.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +75.2% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | — | — | — |
| High (7d) | $253.31 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $253.31 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $253.31 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $253.31 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $437.31 | — | — |
| High (all) | $437.31 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | — | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $252.48 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $131.46 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $131.46 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $131.46 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $119.02 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $119.02 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $253.03 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $184.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $163.08 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $163.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $184.32 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $184.32 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | — | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $253.31 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $151.93 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $144.34 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $157.44 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $158.93 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $158.93 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +92.7% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +92.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +92.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +267.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +267.4% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 99 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 99 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 99 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 42 | 92 | 95 |
| Position in range (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -42.3% | 80 | 85 |
| Distance from high (all) | -42.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +92.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +92.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +92.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +112.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +112.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +36.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +54.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +54.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 30 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 48 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 48 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +2.8% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.80× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.08× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | — | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +17.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +12.1% | 49 | 50 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +23.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +1.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +15.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +70.4% | 53 | 55 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +70.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +42.3% | 20 | 15 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +42.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 79d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 79d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 2.80× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 4.07 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.92 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 17.16 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 28.97 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +67.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +67.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +67.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +216.9% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +4.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +69.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.0% | 25 | 25 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 25 | 25 |
| Listings on book | 4 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +176.1% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +75.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +7.1% | 77 | 78 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 26.73× | 95 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder share | +62.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Top-10 holder share | +91.3% | 95 | 95 |
| HHI (top-10) | 4,172.61 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 4 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +7.1% | 95 | 95 |
| Absorption (60d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -92.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 95d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 126.87× | 95 | 95 |
| Store-price ratio | 126.87× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 3.46× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +93.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $14.74 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 58 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +1.1% | 54 | 54 |
| Momentum pillar | 46 | 35 | 39 |
| Scarcity pillar | 73 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 7 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 23 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 38 | 16 | 15 |
| Data completeness | +72.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.77× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.19× | 52 | 52 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +100.1% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +48.0% | 90 | 92 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +137.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 2 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.