Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 83%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Nov 11, 6:02 AM.
8,411 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 17/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 2.1% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~68.4 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 69% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
A 21.6% move in 24 hours sits on top of a 7d decline of 12.4%, and in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, so the jump reads as fade-risk rather than a trend. The liquidity picture is the constraint: one Steam Market sale in the last 24h against 178 active listings, a liquidity score of 9/100, and days-to-clear in the 95th percentile. The 36.2% bid/ask spread (best bid $0.43 against a $0.62 ask) prices that friction in. Offsetting it, supply is fixed at 8,411 units post-delisting, ownership is concentrated (270 lifetime buyers, copies per owner in the 95th percentile), and the ask sits 68.7% below modelled fair value. Overall grade C, 41/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 14h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -1.6% | 58 | 57 |
| Return (14d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +77.1% | 49 | 55 |
| Return (60d) | -4.6% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -11.4% | 30 | 33 |
| Return (all) | -36.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +19.5% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +12.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +57.2% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -4.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -12.1% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -44.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.62 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.63 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.72 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.73 | — | — |
| High (all) | $1.11 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.65 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.64 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +23.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +41.2% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +108.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +108.6% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +108.6% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +217.1% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 52 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 71 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 71 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 71 | 77 | 82 |
| Position in range (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -13.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -15.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -15.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -15.1% | 79 | 80 |
| Distance from high (all) | -44.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +77.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +77.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +77.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +77.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +8.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 19 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 12 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 26 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 28 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | +8.0% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | +0.2% | — | — |
| SMA (21) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | -0.8% | — | — |
| SMA (30) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | +2.8% | 64 | 72 |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | +8.0% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | $0.62 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | +0.2% | — | — |
| EMA (30) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | +2.8% | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.3% | 53 | 61 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.12× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.22× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | -4.8% | 42 | 48 |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +12.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +11.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +13.9% | 39 | 40 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +11.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +9.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +8.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +5.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +4.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +30.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +46.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +50.0% | 31 | 30 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +68.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +15.1% | 21 | 20 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 20d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 140d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.55× | 50 | 54 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.06× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 2.65 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.09 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 8.68 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 23.01 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +21.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +30.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +68.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +68.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +68.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +17.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.1% | 76 | 75 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 19 | 77 | 75 |
| Listings on book | 178 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +36.2% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +13.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 68.38× | 95 | 95 |
| Top-1 holder share | +5.9% | 76 | 73 |
| Top-10 holder share | +15.8% | 63 | 58 |
| HHI (top-10) | 50.64 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 148d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.83× | 50 | 50 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.83× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -68.7% | 12 | 13 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +30.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.43 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 62 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +0.8% | 58 | 57 |
| Momentum pillar | 41 | 13 | 14 |
| Scarcity pillar | 17 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 62 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 41 | 43 | 39 |
| Data completeness | +83.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.10× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.24× | 67 | 60 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.75× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.53× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.42× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +17.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -51.3% | 45 | 48 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -145.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 4 | 83 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 1 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.