Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 71%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 9:02 AM.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.2 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 87% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 90% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Unique owners up 7% this week; new holders are arriving.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 31, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 150% above the best standing bid of $4.20; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 84.4% bid/ask spread is the defining feature here: the $10.48 ask sits 151% above the best standing bid of $4.18, with a cumulative bid floor of just $3.65. That phantom pricing undercuts an otherwise eye-catching week, +86.9% over 7d and 95th-percentile readings on 30d return, trend slope and Sortino. In a single-regime market, spikes of this shape have tended to fade, and the price is already 90.7% above modelled fair value. Supply is fixed at 846 units post-delisting, but 64 owners and 8 live listings leave liquidity at 6/100. With the overall grade at D (38/100), waiting for the ask to converge toward real bids is worth weighing.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -0.8% | 68 | 70 |
| Return (14d) | +170.8% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +95.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (60d) | -39.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Return (all) | -39.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -0.6% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +99.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +66.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -51.0% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -51.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $10.48 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $10.56 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $10.56 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $10.56 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $17.45 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $17.45 | — | — |
| High (all) | $17.45 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $10.48 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $10.48 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $3.87 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $3.38 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $3.38 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $3.38 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $3.38 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $10.48 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $10.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $6.99 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $5.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $6.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $6.30 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $6.30 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $10.48 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $10.54 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $5.31 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $5.30 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $5.39 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $5.39 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $5.39 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +172.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +212.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +416.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +416.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +416.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 99 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 50 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 50 | 86 | 89 |
| Position in range (all) | 50 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -39.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -39.9% | 72 | 75 |
| Distance from high (all) | -39.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +170.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +210.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +210.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +210.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +210.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +50.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +86.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +66.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +66.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +66.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 11 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 16 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 35 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 30 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +14.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +3.9% | 95 | 95 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.74× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.02× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 9.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | — | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +34.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +22.9% | 81 | 80 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +25.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +25.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +25.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +14.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +38.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +80.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +80.6% | 75 | 76 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +80.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +39.9% | 27 | 25 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +39.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 36d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 36d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 1.14× | 95 | 95 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.49 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.06 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 13.19 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 13.35 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +133.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +133.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +133.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +133.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +51.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +51.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 25 | 25 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 25 | 25 |
| Listings on book | 8 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +84.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -12.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +12.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +12.3% | 77 | 76 |
| Owner growth (60d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 13.22× | 77 | 75 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.3% | 21 | 14 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.2% | 27 | 19 |
| HHI (top-10) | 5.8 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 9 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +12.3% | 92 | 90 |
| Absorption (60d) | — | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 50d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 37d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -37d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 2.99× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +90.3% | 72 | 74 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.16× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +59.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $3.64 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 34 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +1.8% | 68 | 70 |
| Momentum pillar | 26 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 64 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 6 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 23 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 29 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 36 | 13 | 9 |
| Data completeness | +70.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.92× | 93 | 93 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.90× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.27× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.14× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +166.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +105.6% | 95 | 95 |
| Return vs market (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 2 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.