Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 7:02 AM.
Price down 21.3% in 24h: significant selling pressure.
136 total supply: a relatively rare item.
Scarcity score 83/100: distribution, liquidity, and supply all point scarce.
Only 2.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 62% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
19pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 300% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 269% above the best standing bid of $203.09; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline number is the gap between quotes and reality: the lowest ask of $438.68 sits 269% above the best standing bid of $203.24, with a 73.4% bid/ask spread and only three active listings backing it. That phantom structure matters more than the 21.3% single-day drop, which the contrarian momentum read treats as a possible recovery setup given a 7d print of +5.8%. Supply is genuinely fixed at 136 units across 61 owners, all 136 sold through the store before delisting, and scarcity scores 83/100. But the model puts the listing 300% above fair value, liquidity scores 14/100 and safety 33/100, and 30d return sits in the 5th percentile of its cohort. With the cumulative bid floor at $108.25, patience around entry has an arithmetic case.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 16h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -21.3% | 16 | 17 |
| Return (14d) | -22.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -62.3% | 7 | 5 |
| Return (60d) | -56.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -34.6% | 55 | 59 |
| Return (all) | -72.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | -23.9% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -23.9% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -25.7% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -97.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -83.9% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -42.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -127.5% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $438.68 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $557.12 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $568.70 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1,163.08 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1,163.08 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $1,163.08 | — | — |
| High (all) | $1,707.41 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $438.68 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $438.68 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $438.68 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $368.00 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $368.00 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $368.00 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $368.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $438.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $517.64 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $549.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $701.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $841.76 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $884.84 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $987.41 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $438.68 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $557.12 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $560.16 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $568.70 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $857.88 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $905.05 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $1,013.73 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | — | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +27.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +29.6% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +216.1% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +216.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +216.1% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +364.0% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 9 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 9 | 44 | 49 |
| Position in range (all) | 5 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -21.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -22.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -62.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -62.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -62.3% | 44 | 42 |
| Distance from high (all) | -74.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +19.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -15.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -20.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -37.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -47.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -50.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -55.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 50 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 4 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 90 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 39 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -4.0% | 11 | 9 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.37× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.57× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.31× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.16× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 6.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | — | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +21.4% | 79 | 77 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +15.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +17.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +19.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +12.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +68.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +68.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +68.4% | 55 | 57 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +78.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +62.3% | 56 | 58 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +74.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 28d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 112d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.14× | 32 | 27 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.75 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 4.01 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.72 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 25.83 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +54.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +54.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +144.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +21.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +42.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +42.8% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +42.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.2% | 66 | 69 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 20 | 66 | 69 |
| Listings on book | 3 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +72.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +1.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -1.6% | 5 | 5 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | +7.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 2.23× | 5 | 5 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.7% | 56 | 50 |
| Top-10 holder share | +19.1% | 73 | 68 |
| HHI (top-10) | 44.33 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 2 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -1.6% | 19 | 18 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 628d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 97.70× | 95 | 95 |
| Store-price ratio | 97.70× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +300.0% | 95 | 95 |
| Price per scarcity point | 5.29× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +53.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $108.00 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 54 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -18.7% | 16 | 17 |
| Momentum pillar | 70 | 95 | 95 |
| Scarcity pillar | 83 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 91 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 76 | 95 | 95 |
| Data completeness | +75.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.87× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.31× | 50 | 50 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.40× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.38× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.11× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -22.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -47.3% | 7 | 5 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 4 | 95 | 95 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | -2 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.