Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 73%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Sep 27, 4:02 AM.
Up 15.9% in the last 6 hours and accelerating.
Only 2.4% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~15.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (535 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 97% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 62pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 75% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is still growing from in-game drops; scarcity is unknowable yet.
The listed price sits 64% above the best standing bid of $0.14; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The 88% bid/ask spread is the number that frames everything else here: the $0.35 ask sits 64% above the best standing bid of $0.14, with the median sale at $0.23, so the quoted price is largely aspirational rather than transacted. The +66.7% 24h move and +15.9% 6h surge put this in the 95th percentile for market-relative 7d return, but in this single-regime market sharp spikes have tended to fade, and the 7d change is still -12.7%. Against that, the value case is real: 75.2% below modelled fair value, value scoring 92/100. Liquidity at 14/100, 12 live listings and 34 owners across 533 units mean exits may be slow, which argues for patience over chasing the print.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 13h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | — | — | — |
| Return (14d) | +16.1% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +60.0% | 94 | 93 |
| Return (60d) | +5.9% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -96.8% | 6 | 5 |
| Return (all) | -96.8% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | — | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +15.0% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +47.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +5.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -345.6% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -345.6% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $11.41 | — | — |
| High (all) | $11.41 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.69 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $0.69 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.24 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.28 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.29 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +5333.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +5333.3% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 100 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 1 | 26 | 26 |
| Position in range (all) | 1 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -96.8% | 10 | 6 |
| Distance from high (all) | -96.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +71.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +1.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +32.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +28.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +32.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -47.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -47.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 17 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 29 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 100 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 53 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 48 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 2.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +4.1% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.3% | 82 | 82 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -4.5% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.05× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.16× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | — | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +16.2% | 62 | 64 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +13.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +44.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +7.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +20.9% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +98.2% | 93 | 95 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +98.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +96.8% | 90 | 94 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +96.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 81d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 81d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.51× | 87 | 86 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.47 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 7.19 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 2.76 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 57.12 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +2.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +55.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +55.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +55.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +562.0% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +22.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +22.6% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +26.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +91.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.4% | 66 | 68 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 22 | 66 | 68 |
| Listings on book | 13 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +88.0% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +20.6% | 83 | 86 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +51.1% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +850.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d)n/s | +3.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d)n/s | +13.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d)n/s | +21.4% | 90 | 88 |
| Owner growth (60d)n/s | +41.7% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d)n/s | +3300.0% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 4.83 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 3.14 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | 111d | — | — |
| Copies per ownern/s | 15.74× | 90 | 85 |
| Top-1 holder sharen/s | +1.7% | 29 | 26 |
| Top-10 holder sharen/s | +5.0% | 14 | 10 |
| HHI (top-10)n/s | 4.51 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5)n/s | 1 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d)n/s | +0.8% | 81 | 89 |
| Absorption (60d)n/s | -9.5% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d)n/s | +2450.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | needs a release date | — | — |
| Days since fixationn/s | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | — | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -74.6% | 12 | 11 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.01× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +61.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.14 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +61.5% | 95 | 95 |
| Momentum pillar | 21 | 5 | 5 |
| Scarcity pillar | 59 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 92 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 46 | 44 |
| Data completeness | +73.3% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 1.38× | 84 | 82 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 1.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +51.7% | 94 | 94 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -70.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 90 | 90 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 8 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 11 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +4.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +3.1% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +65.0% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | -3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.