Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 9:02 AM.
Down 29.6% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
12,666 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 13/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 0.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
RSI 27: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
Down 57% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 68% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 197% above the best standing bid of $0.29; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The order book undercuts the discount story: at $0.42 the lowest ask sits 187% above the best standing bid of $0.30, with a 33.3% spread and a liquidity score of 11/100, so the quoted price is partly phantom. That matters because the headline setup looks cheap, 67.7% below modelled fair value, down 29.6% in six hours and 9.3% on the week, parked in the 5th percentile of its 90-day range against a $4.50 original store price and an $0.86 median sale. Supply is fixed and delisted, but 12,666 units against 1,082 owners leaves scarcity at 13/100. Any entry anchored to the cumulative bid floor near $0.29 rather than the visible ask reflects the real market here.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | -10.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -28.8% | 36 | 35 |
| Return (60d) | -39.1% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -54.3% | 29 | 27 |
| Return (all) | -93.1% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -11.2% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -34.0% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -49.6% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -78.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -267.7% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.69 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.97 | — | — |
| High (all) | $6.11 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.55 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.72 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.57 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.59 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.97 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +14.3% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +40.5% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +131.0% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1353.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Position in range (all) | 0 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -12.5% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -28.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -39.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -56.7% | 52 | 52 |
| Distance from high (all) | -93.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -5.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -16.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -23.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -31.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -75.6% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 44 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 92 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 33 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -2.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -1.8% | 32 | 33 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.73× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.94× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.76× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.75× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.70× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 22d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +4.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +2.9% | 5 | 5 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +4.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +2.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +2.5% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +6.7% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +28.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +39.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +56.7% | 31 | 33 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +56.7% | 48 | 48 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +93.1% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 86d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 182d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | -0.53× | 6 | 7 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.08× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | -1.72 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.88 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.9 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 10.03 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +22.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +49.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +29.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.9% | 24 | 25 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 24 | 25 |
| Listings on book | 117 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +36.6% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.6% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.3% | 28 | 26 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.71× | 58 | 57 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.0% | 13 | 19 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.9% | 30 | 35 |
| HHI (top-10) | 6.38 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.3% | 50 | 50 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 191d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.09× | 5 | 5 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.09× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -67.6% | 15 | 14 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +31.0% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.29 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 57 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +2.6% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 44 | 25 | 24 |
| Scarcity pillar | 13 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 9 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 90 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 37 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 45 | 47 | 45 |
| Data completeness | +74.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | — | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.17× | 43 | 45 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | — | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.24× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.12× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -10.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | -13.9% | 37 | 36 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -45.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Spike days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Dump days (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | — | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.