Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 10:02 AM.
Down 83.6% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
15,037 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 11/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~13.7 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 65% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 90% above the best standing bid of $0.31; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
A 83.6% drop over the last six hours is the headline here, and it lands on an item already down 10.0% on the week and 8.1% behind the market median. The lowest ask of $0.41 sits 65.4% below the model's fair value and well under the $2.50 store price, which supports the value score of 79/100, but the order book argues for caution: the best standing bid is $0.32, a 24.7% spread, and the phantom-price flag indicates the listed price is floating above real demand. With 15,037 units against 1,096 owners, scarcity at 11/100 and liquidity at 18/100, any recovery would depend on bids rising to meet asks rather than asks holding.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 19h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -2.4% | 58 | 62 |
| Return (14d) | -14.6% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -10.9% | 63 | 67 |
| Return (60d) | -25.5% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -30.5% | 61 | 66 |
| Return (all) | -89.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | -15.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -11.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -29.4% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -36.4% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -223.3% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $0.41 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.60 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.61 | — | — |
| High (all) | $4.43 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.35 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.34 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.40 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.42 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.09 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.41 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.60 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +10.5% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +37.1% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +40.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +76.5% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +79.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1202.9% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 46 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 43 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 27 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 26 | 69 | 74 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -2.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -14.6% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -16.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -31.7% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -32.8% | 82 | 85 |
| Distance from high (all) | -90.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +17.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +20.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +2.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -2.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -7.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -9.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -15.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -62.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 14 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 24 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 59 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 28 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 80 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 46 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -1.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.4% | 61 | 64 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.5% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.23× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.10× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.49× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.68× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 16d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +14.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +11.9% | 48 | 48 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +12.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +10.7% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +10.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.8% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +43.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +44.3% | 10 | 5 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +92.3% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +32.8% | 18 | 15 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +90.7% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 67d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 181d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.02× | 58 | 60 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 0.87 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 0.66 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.83 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 2.4 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +7.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +31.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +33.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +9.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +27.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.0% | 27 | 27 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 9 | 27 | 27 |
| Listings on book | 149 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +27.8% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -3.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.1% | 22 | 22 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 13.71× | 80 | 78 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.5% | 26 | 18 |
| Top-10 holder share | +8.5% | 33 | 26 |
| HHI (top-10) | 7.84 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.1% | 39 | 40 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 191d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.16× | 14 | 17 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.16× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -64.6% | 15 | 17 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.04× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +24.4% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.31 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 46 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +1.1% | 58 | 62 |
| Momentum pillar | 52 | 50 | 49 |
| Scarcity pillar | 11 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 79 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 35 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 41 | 28 | 25 |
| Data completeness | +80.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.35× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.49× | 15 | 12 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.06× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.34× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.16× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +4.1% | 63 | 67 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -18.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 7 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 5 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +1.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -3.6% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -3.3% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.