Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 77%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 9:02 AM.
Down 18.6% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
11,942 total supply: a common item, minimal scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 14/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 0.6% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~11.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
A random in-game drop (1,197 dropped). It was never sold in the store, so supply is capped by the drop rate.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Trading 50% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 94% above the best standing bid of $0.36; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline here is structural, not directional: the $0.46 ask sits 94% above the best standing bid of $0.36, with a 24.4% bid/ask spread and only 76 active listings against 11,942 units in existence. That phantom-price gap sits alongside a model read of 49.5% above fair value, so the quoted price is doing more work than the order book supports. Liquidity scores 16/100 and lands in the 5th percentile of its cohort, which makes the 18.6% six-hour drop hard to read as genuine repricing. A 3.0% seven-day move still trails the market median by 3.4%, and the overall grade is D at 30/100. Fixed supply and 1,057 holders are the counterweight, but thin exit routes remain the binding constraint.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 17h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +0.0% | 75 | 75 |
| Return (14d) | +17.9% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | -6.1% | 70 | 59 |
| Return (60d) | -9.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -28.1% | 63 | 55 |
| Return (all) | -91.6% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +16.5% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | -6.3% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -10.3% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -33.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -247.4% | — | — |
| High (24h) | — | — | — |
| High (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $0.50 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $0.51 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $0.71 | — | — |
| High (all) | $5.46 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.38 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.36 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $0.43 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $0.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $0.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $0.52 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $1.45 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | — | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $0.46 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $0.48 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $0.49 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $0.79 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +28.9% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +31.6% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +41.7% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +97.2% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1416.7% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 73 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 67 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 67 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 29 | 71 | 62 |
| Position in range (all) | 2 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -6.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -8.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -9.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -35.2% | 78 | 71 |
| Distance from high (all) | -91.6% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | — | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +27.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | — | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +7.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +2.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -11.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -68.2% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 4 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 42 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 16 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 25 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 82 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 36 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 34 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | -0.7% | 55 | 50 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.7% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.25× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.04× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.65× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.75× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +15.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +12.6% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +8.5% | 27 | 28 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +8.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +7.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +7.1% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +5.3% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.1% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +24.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +29.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +49.3% | 18 | 22 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.4% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +35.2% | 22 | 28 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +91.6% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 86d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 182d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.01× | 56 | 52 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.03× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.12 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.72 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 4.33 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 6.5 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +21.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +25.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +25.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +36.1% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +36.1% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +17.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +0.6% | 9 | 9 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Listings on book | 76 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +24.4% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.4% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +0.1% | 26 | 25 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 11.30× | 53 | 51 |
| Top-1 holder share | +1.2% | 19 | 26 |
| Top-10 holder share | +7.4% | 28 | 33 |
| HHI (top-10) | 6.14 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +0.1% | 45 | 45 |
| Absorption (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -0.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 191d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.13× | 10 | 5 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.13× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +50.1% | 62 | 67 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.03× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +21.7% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.36 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 50 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +2.6% | 75 | 75 |
| Momentum pillar | 50 | 42 | 44 |
| Scarcity pillar | 14 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 44 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 31 | 6 | 10 |
| Data completeness | +77.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 0.60× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.06× | 37 | 41 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.17× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.03× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.16× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +18.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +8.8% | 70 | 62 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -23.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +0.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.