Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 81%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 24, 1:02 AM.
~6.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 47% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
15pts behind the median skin this week, underperforming its peers.
Trading 119% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed (delisted Aug 24, 2026); every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 196% above the best standing bid of $10.00; you could not actually sell there right now.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The quoted ask of $33.43 sits 121% above the best standing bid of $13.40, and that gap, not the week's move, is the story here. The order book shows an 85.5% bid/ask spread with a cumulative bid floor of $8.22, so the headline price is largely a listing artefact rather than cleared demand; the median sale of $29.57 already prints below the ask. Modelled fair value puts the item 123% rich, and the 7d gain of +20.2% still trails the market median by 16.5%, so in this single-regime market the spike reads as fade-risk. Delisting and fixed supply at 536 units across 79 owners support the floor, but concentration and a liquidity score of 33 argue for patience over conviction at these levels.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 10h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -15.0% | 22 | 15 |
| Return (14d) | +83.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +198.8% | 83 | 86 |
| Return (60d) | +537.0% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | +458.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Return (all) | +458.3% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -16.2% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +60.7% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +109.5% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | +185.2% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | +172.0% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | +172.0% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $33.44 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $33.48 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $42.33 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $62.96 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $62.96 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $62.96 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $62.96 | — | — |
| High (all) | $62.96 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $33.44 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $33.43 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $29.57 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $18.23 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $10.21 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $4.87 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $4.87 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $4.87 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $33.44 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $33.45 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $34.98 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $36.02 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $23.76 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $17.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $16.58 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $16.58 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $33.44 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $33.44 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $33.44 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $33.48 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $15.56 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $11.56 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $11.56 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $11.56 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.1% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +43.2% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +245.4% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +516.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +1192.8% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +1192.8% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1192.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 34 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 44 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 49 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 49 | 42 | 42 |
| Position in range (all) | 49 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -0.1% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -21.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -46.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -46.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -46.9% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -46.9% | 25 | 29 |
| Distance from high (all) | -46.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +13.1% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +83.4% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +227.5% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +586.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +586.7% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +586.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -4.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +40.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +96.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | +101.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | +101.7% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 20 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 6 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 21 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 23 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 23 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 50 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 45 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 65 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 49 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 47 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 1.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | $34.98 | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | -4.4% | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | $34.98 | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | -4.4% | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +5.9% | 85 | 90 |
| Trend slope (60d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | +3.3% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.54× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.48× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.49× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.49× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 3.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +13.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +54.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +37.5% | 92 | 91 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +29.9% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +29.4% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +29.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +23.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +15.2% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +14.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +66.5% | 57 | 50 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +46.9% | 74 | 71 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +46.9% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 11d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 11d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.54× | 52 | 58 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.58× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 3.43 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 3.9 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 14.27 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 19.48 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +13.2% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +245.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +245.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +245.4% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +245.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +21.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +66.5% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +6.3% | 95 | 95 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 47 | 95 | 95 |
| Listings on book | 34 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +107.9% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -26.6% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +1.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | +8.2% | 57 | 54 |
| Owner growth (60d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | — | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 6.78× | 13 | 13 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.2% | 51 | 55 |
| Top-10 holder share | +15.5% | 61 | 67 |
| HHI (top-10) | 28.3 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | +8.2% | 78 | 77 |
| Absorption (60d) | +12.9% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | — | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 68d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | 60d | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | -60d | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | — | — | — |
| Store-price ratio | 7.43× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +119.2% | 76 | 84 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.64× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +70.1% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $8.23 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 41 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -14.8% | 22 | 15 |
| Momentum pillar | 54 | 65 | 72 |
| Scarcity pillar | 52 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 33 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 20 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 36 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 40 | 41 | 37 |
| Data completeness | +80.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -2.10× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.02× | 9 | 11 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.15× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.22× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.00× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | -53.8% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +47.2% | 83 | 86 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +316.7% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 3 | 63 | 50 |
| Spike days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Dump days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | +58.7% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | +40.8% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +40.8% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 3 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.