Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 8, 7:02 PM.
6,412 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Scarcity score 19/100: abundant and liquid.
Only 1.9% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~9.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 20% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 64% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Trading 36% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The listed price sits 132% above the best standing bid of $0.96; you could not actually sell there right now.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline tension here is a $1.17 ask sitting 35.9% below the model's fair value while simultaneously floating 132% above the best standing bid of $0.96. That phantom-price gap, plus a 19.7% spread and a liquidity score of 27, means the cheap-looking screen price is not necessarily where a seller clears. Supply is fixed at 6,412 units with store delisting and 30d supply growth in the 5th percentile, but 119 live listings against 645 owners and a 95th-percentile top-10 holder share leave distribution concentrated. The +20.3% week reads as fade-risk rather than continuation, and it still trailed the market median by 9.8%. Value scores 76, overall grade C at 46/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 4h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | -13.3% | 27 | 25 |
| Return (14d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +12.5% | 84 | 78 |
| Return (60d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -50.4% | 34 | 31 |
| Return (all) | -86.9% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | -14.3% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +10.8% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +11.8% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -45.8% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -70.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -202.9% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $1.17 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $1.17 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $1.35 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $1.35 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $1.35 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $1.85 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $3.22 | — | — |
| High (all) | $12.71 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $1.17 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $1.17 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $1.17 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $0.95 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $0.86 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $1.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $1.17 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $1.26 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $1.15 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $1.07 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $1.21 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $1.68 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $3.81 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $1.17 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $1.17 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $1.26 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $1.11 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.04 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.05 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $1.38 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $3.00 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +15.4% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +42.1% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +57.0% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +115.1% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +274.4% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1377.6% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 55 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 63 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 31 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 13 | 51 | 50 |
| Position in range (all) | 3 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -13.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -13.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -13.3% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -36.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -63.7% | 40 | 44 |
| Distance from high (all) | -90.8% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +23.2% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +36.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | -6.9% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +2.2% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | -3.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -30.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -69.3% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 6 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 9 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 37 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 3 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 8 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 24 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 44 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 102 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 40 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 38 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 20 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 17 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 27 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +1.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +0.9% | 83 | 80 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -0.9% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.35× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.38× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.45× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.70× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.79× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +6.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +10.0% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +8.8% | 30 | 31 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +6.8% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +8.2% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +9.9% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +6.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +4.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +5.8% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +17.3% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +53.5% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +73.3% | 62 | 59 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +93.2% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +63.7% | 60 | 56 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +90.8% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 82d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 179d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.13× | 76 | 70 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.16 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.56 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 3.24 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.28 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | — | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +38.2% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +12.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +17.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +17.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +27.2% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +1.9% | 57 | 54 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 17 | 57 | 54 |
| Listings on book | 119 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +19.7% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | 0.50× | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | -95.2% | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | -6.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.2% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.5% | 10 | 11 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 9.94× | 38 | 37 |
| Top-1 holder share | +8.9% | 89 | 94 |
| Top-10 holder share | +32.8% | 95 | 95 |
| HHI (top-10) | 151.01 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.5% | 28 | 28 |
| Absorption (60d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 249d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.39× | 37 | 32 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.39× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | -35.8% | 31 | 29 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.06× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +17.9% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $0.88 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 27 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | -9.8% | 27 | 25 |
| Momentum pillar | 40 | 15 | 16 |
| Scarcity pillar | 19 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 27 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 76 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 38 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 46 | 48 | 48 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | 1.05× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | 0.04× | 35 | 37 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | -0.35× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | 0.36× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | 0.02× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | -0.24× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +15.3% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +30.4% | 85 | 80 |
| Return vs market (90d) | -35.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 2 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 1 | 25 | 25 |
| Dump days (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 3 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -0.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | 1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 1 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.