Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 75%.
Overall rating
?Fixed supply
Insight Engine v2
43/ 100
C
Momentum55
Scarcity19
Liquidity18
Value81
Risk30
Recomputed each sync: last updated Aug 24, 10:02 PM.
Signal narrative
Bullish
Elevated supply
6,412 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Low scarcity score
Scarcity score 19/100: abundant and liquid.
Holders are holding !!
Only 3.0% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
Concentrated ownership
~9.8 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
Delisted from store !!
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Near all-time low !!
Trading within 5% of its lowest recorded price.
Weekly downtrend !!
Average price down 17% over the past week versus the prior week.
Signal Analysis
Insight Engine
Down 15.4% on the week and sitting in the 5th percentile of its own 90-day range, Lunar Trousers 2026 is priced for capitulation rather than momentum, and in this single-regime market sharp drops of this kind have tended to recover. The lowest ask of $1.55 is 26.4% under modelled fair value, well below both the $2.23 median sale and the $3.00 store price, with supply permanently fixed at 6412 units since delisting. The counterweight is structural: 190 active listings against a scarcity score of 19, liquidity at 22, a 34.9% bid/ask spread, and a best bid of just $0.97, meaning the ask floats 130% above real demand. Top-10 holder concentration sits in the 95th percentile.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 5d ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
Price action
97/113 populated
Indicator
Value
vs market
vs cohort
Return (24h)
+0.0%
—
—
Return (3d)
—
—
—
Return (7d)
-11.0%
36
36
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.
Oversold (RSI) !!
RSI 18: beaten down and due for a potential bounce.
High volatility
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Deep drawdown
Down 67% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Below modelled fair value !!
Trading 35% under our supply/rarity model's estimate; looks cheap versus comparable skins.
Fixed supply
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
Phantom price !!
The listed price sits 172% above the best standing bid of $0.82; you could not actually sell there right now.
Market-wide fear
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.