Lunar Shoes 2026full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 90%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

43/ 100

Momentum47

Scarcity21

Liquidity19

Value80

Risk41

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Elevated supply

5,496 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 2.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~8.3 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 19% over the past week versus the prior week.

High volatility

Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The 7d decline of 19.0% stands out as the dominant signal here, and with the price now sitting 35.2% below the fair-value model, this reads within the site's contrarian framework as a possible recovery setup rather than a trend to avoid. Liquidity remains thin, with 0 units traded in the last 24h, only 1 executed sale, and a 44.3% bid/ask spread between the $1.30 bid and $2.04 ask. Supply is fixed at 5496 units following the store delisting, and ownership is concentrated (top-10 holders at the 94th percentile). Turnover sits at just the 5th percentile market-wide. The combination of a deep drawdown, sub-fair-value pricing, and fixed supply is notable, but the wide spread and near-zero daily volume mean any recovery would likely play out slowly.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

107/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (3d)	+0.0%	—	—
Return (7d)	-7.3%	50	49
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$2.10	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-2.9%	—	—
SMA (14)	$2.35	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-13.1%	—	—
SMA (21)	$2.71	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-24.7%	—	—
SMA (30)	$2.94	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-30.7%	31	31
SMA (50)	$3.46	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-41.1%	—	—
SMA (90)	$5.07	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-59.7%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$2.10	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-2.9%	—	—
EMA (14)	$2.35	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-13.1%	—	—
EMA (30)	$2.94	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-30.7%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-3.7%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-2.3%	47	48
Trend slope (60d)	-1.5%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-1.6%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.5%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.58×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.71×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.88×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.89×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.89×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-28.6%	25	25
Days since trend flip	2.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+1.8%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+10.5%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+10.4%	43	38
Return stdev (60d)	+8.4%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+10.4%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+10.4%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+7.7%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+6.5%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+7.9%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+53.1%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+65.4%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+80.9%	30	27
Max drawdown (all)	+81.3%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+80.0%	35	33
Current drawdown (all)	+80.5%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	73d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	91d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.18×	59	63
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.16×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	0.67	—	—
Return skew (90d)	-0.39	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	3.93	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	5.97	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+17.9%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+31.6%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+31.6%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+31.6%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+4.1%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+24.9%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+24.9%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+24.9%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+44.1%	—	—

Liquidity

11/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+2.2%	57	49
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	34.59	—	—
Liquidity score	27	66	65
Listings on book	120	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	+1.7%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	+8.1%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+1.7%	40	33
Listings trend (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+44.3%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	—	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+18.2%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	25
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.2%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+1.4%	50	38
Owner growth (60d)	+17.4%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+97.9%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	8.31×	24	25
Top-1 holder share	+9.6%	89	90
Top-10 holder share	+27.7%	93	94
HHI (top-10)	136.31	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+1.4%	54	50
Absorption (60d)	+17.4%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+97.9%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	159d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.68×	42	39
Store-price ratio	0.68×	—	—
Fair-value residual	-35.2%	36	33
Price per scarcity point	0.10×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+36.3%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$1.30	—	—
Accumulation score	58	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-3.8%	43	41
Momentum pillar	47	49	47
Scarcity pillar	21	—	—
Liquidity pillar	19	—	—
Value pillar	80	—	—
Risk pillar	41	—	—
Overall rating	47	50	49
Data completeness	+89.8%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	2	75	75
Spike days (60d)	2	—	—
Spike days (90d)	6	—	—
Dump days (30d)	3	63	63
Dump days (60d)	4	—	—
Dump days (90d)	6	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	-2.3%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-2.3%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-10.3%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	3	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	3	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	-2	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	0	—	—