Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 267 values across 8 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 80%.
Recomputed each sync: last updated Oct 9, 10:02 AM.
Down 12.2% in the last 6 hours: near-term weakness.
5,219 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.
Only 2.5% of supply listed: low sell pressure.
~8.0 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.
No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.
Average price up 27% over the past week versus the prior week.
Daily price swings are large; expect a bumpy ride in either direction.
Down 45% from its 90-day peak: a possible recovery play if demand returns.
Up 19pts more than the median skin this week: real relative strength.
Trading 28% over our supply/rarity model's estimate; richly priced versus comparable skins.
Supply is fixed; every new owner must buy on the market.
The broader S&box market is in fear territory right now: sellers have the upper hand across the board.
Signals are informational only: not financial advice.
The headline is a split tape: a 22.2% weekly gain that ranks in the 92nd percentile for 30-day return has already given back 22.4% in the last 24 hours, with a further 12.2% slide over the past six. In this single-regime market sharp advances have tended to fade, so the weekly move reads as fade-risk rather than a trend to extend. Valuation supports that caution, with the price sitting 24.2% above the fair-value model and the $2.53 ask standing well clear of the $2.06 median sale and the $1.63 best bid, a 43.3% spread. Supply is fixed at 5,219 units post-delisting, but 131 active listings, 650 owners and a liquidity score of 16/100 leave exits thin. Overall grade: D, 37/100.
AI-generated from live market data · updated 19h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Return (3d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Return (7d) | +14.0% | 91 | 91 |
| Return (14d) | +33.2% | — | — |
| Return (30d) | +31.8% | 91 | 90 |
| Return (60d) | -29.3% | — | — |
| Return (90d) | -7.0% | 80 | 77 |
| Return (all) | -78.7% | — | — |
| Log return (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Log return (3d) | -25.4% | — | — |
| Log return (7d) | +13.1% | — | — |
| Log return (14d) | +28.6% | — | — |
| Log return (30d) | +27.6% | — | — |
| Log return (60d) | -34.7% | — | — |
| Log return (90d) | -7.2% | — | — |
| Log return (all) | -154.8% | — | — |
| High (24h) | $2.53 | — | — |
| High (3d) | $3.26 | — | — |
| High (7d) | $3.26 | — | — |
| High (14d) | $3.26 | — | — |
| High (30d) | $3.26 | — | — |
| High (60d) | $4.42 | — | — |
| High (90d) | $4.64 | — | — |
| High (all) | $18.43 | — | — |
| Low (24h) | $2.53 | — | — |
| Low (3d) | $2.53 | — | — |
| Low (7d) | $2.22 | — | — |
| Low (14d) | $1.89 | — | — |
| Low (30d) | $1.54 | — | — |
| Low (60d) | $1.54 | — | — |
| Low (90d) | $1.54 | — | — |
| Low (all) | $1.54 | — | — |
| Mean price (24h) | $2.53 | — | — |
| Mean price (3d) | $2.77 | — | — |
| Mean price (7d) | $2.50 | — | — |
| Mean price (14d) | $2.23 | — | — |
| Mean price (30d) | $2.00 | — | — |
| Mean price (60d) | $2.27 | — | — |
| Mean price (90d) | $2.57 | — | — |
| Mean price (all) | $5.32 | — | — |
| Median price (24h) | $2.53 | — | — |
| Median price (3d) | $2.53 | — | — |
| Median price (7d) | $2.39 | — | — |
| Median price (14d) | $2.22 | — | — |
| Median price (30d) | $1.91 | — | — |
| Median price (60d) | $1.98 | — | — |
| Median price (90d) | $2.29 | — | — |
| Median price (all) | $4.56 | — | — |
| Range % (24h) | — | — | — |
| Range % (3d) | +28.9% | — | — |
| Range % (7d) | +46.8% | — | — |
| Range % (14d) | +72.5% | — | — |
| Range % (30d) | +111.7% | — | — |
| Range % (60d) | +187.0% | — | — |
| Range % (90d) | +201.3% | — | — |
| Range % (all) | +1096.8% | — | — |
| Position in range (24h) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (3d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (7d) | — | — | — |
| Position in range (14d) | 47 | — | — |
| Position in range (30d) | 58 | — | — |
| Position in range (60d) | 34 | — | — |
| Position in range (90d) | 32 | 76 | 70 |
| Position in range (all) | 6 | — | — |
| Distance from high (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from high (3d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (7d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (14d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (30d) | -22.4% | — | — |
| Distance from high (60d) | -42.8% | — | — |
| Distance from high (90d) | -45.5% | 68 | 65 |
| Distance from high (all) | -86.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (3d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (7d) | +14.0% | — | — |
| Distance from low (14d) | +33.9% | — | — |
| Distance from low (30d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (60d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (90d) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Distance from low (all) | +64.3% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (24h) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (3d) | -8.8% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (7d) | +1.1% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (14d) | +13.5% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (30d) | +26.7% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (60d) | +11.4% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (90d) | -1.6% | — | — |
| Price vs mean (all) | -52.5% | — | — |
| Up days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up days (7d) | 2 | — | — |
| Up days (14d) | 5 | — | — |
| Up days (30d) | 10 | — | — |
| Up days (60d) | 13 | — | — |
| Up days (90d) | 18 | — | — |
| Up days (all) | 43 | — | — |
| Down days (24h) | 0 | — | — |
| Down days (3d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (7d) | 1 | — | — |
| Down days (14d) | 2 | — | — |
| Down days (30d) | 7 | — | — |
| Down days (60d) | 22 | — | — |
| Down days (90d) | 39 | — | — |
| Down days (all) | 105 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (24h) | — | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (3d) | 0 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (7d) | 67 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (14d) | 71 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (30d) | 59 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (60d) | 37 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (90d) | 32 | — | — |
| Up-day ratio (all) | 29 | — | — |
| Up-day streak | 0.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (7) | — | — | — |
| SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (14) | — | — | — |
| SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (21) | — | — | — |
| SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (30) | — | — | — |
| SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (50) | — | — | — |
| SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (90) | — | — | — |
| SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| Price vs SMA (100) | — | — | — |
| EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (7) | — | — | — |
| EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (14) | — | — | — |
| EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| Price vs EMA (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (7) | — | — | — |
| RSI (14) | — | — | — |
| RSI (21) | — | — | — |
| RSI (30) | — | — | — |
| RSI (50) | — | — | — |
| RSI (100) | — | — | — |
| Trend slope (14d) | +4.4% | — | — |
| Trend slope (30d) | +1.7% | 90 | 88 |
| Trend slope (60d) | -1.0% | — | — |
| Trend slope (90d) | -0.8% | — | — |
| Trend slope (all) | -1.2% | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (14d) | 0.59× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (30d) | 0.49× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (60d) | 0.29× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (90d) | 0.33× | — | — |
| Trend fit R² (all) | 0.74× | — | — |
| SMA 7/30 cross | — | — | — |
| Days since trend flip | 9.0d | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return stdev (7d) | +22.3% | — | — |
| Return stdev (14d) | +15.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (30d) | +11.1% | 43 | 40 |
| Return stdev (60d) | +10.1% | — | — |
| Return stdev (90d) | +12.5% | — | — |
| Return stdev (all) | +11.7% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (30d) | +9.4% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (60d) | +8.6% | — | — |
| Downside deviation (90d) | +9.0% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (30d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (60d) | +65.2% | — | — |
| Max drawdown (90d) | +66.8% | 50 | 48 |
| Max drawdown (all) | +91.6% | — | — |
| Current drawdown (90d) | +45.5% | 32 | 35 |
| Current drawdown (all) | +86.3% | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (90d) | 77d | — | — |
| Drawdown duration (all) | 180d | — | — |
| Sortino ratio (30d) | 0.19× | 79 | 77 |
| Sortino ratio (90d) | 0.08× | — | — |
| Return skew (30d) | 1.75 | — | — |
| Return skew (90d) | 1.73 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (30d) | 7.82 | — | — |
| Excess kurtosis (90d) | 8.66 | — | — |
| Largest up day (7d) | +44.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (14d) | +44.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (30d) | +44.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (60d) | +44.9% | — | — |
| Largest up day (90d) | +62.7% | — | — |
| Largest down day (7d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (14d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (30d) | +22.4% | — | — |
| Largest down day (60d) | +29.3% | — | — |
| Largest down day (90d) | +37.9% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover % | — | — | — |
| On-market % | +2.5% | 73 | 72 |
| Days to clear listings | — | — | — |
| Lifetime sales / day | needs provenance-safe secondary-market lifetime sales | — | — |
| Liquidity score | 22 | 74 | 72 |
| Listings on book | 131 | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Amihud illiquidity (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Zero-sale-day share (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam sales history | — | — |
| Listings trend (7d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (14d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listings trend (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Bid-ask spread % | +43.3% | — | — |
| Near-mid bid imbalance | — | — | — |
| Bid-depth trend (7d) | — | — | — |
| Bid-floor migration (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply growth (7d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (14d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (30d) | +0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Supply growth (60d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Supply growth (90d) | +0.0% | — | — |
| Owner growth (7d) | +0.3% | — | — |
| Owner growth (14d) | +0.5% | — | — |
| Owner growth (30d) | -0.3% | 14 | 16 |
| Owner growth (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Owner growth (90d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Mint rate (7d) | 0 | — | — |
| Mint rate (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Supply doubling time | — | — | — |
| Copies per owner | 8.03× | 22 | 21 |
| Top-1 holder share | +3.1% | 50 | 57 |
| Top-10 holder share | +20.3% | 77 | 82 |
| HHI (top-10) | 45.46 | — | — |
| Whale count (≥5) | 10 | — | — |
| Absorption (30d) | -0.3% | 33 | 40 |
| Absorption (60d) | -1.1% | — | — |
| Absorption (90d) | -1.8% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 249d | — | — |
| Days since fixation | — | — | — |
| Days until leaving storen/s | — | — | — |
| Release-price multiple | 0.51× | 47 | 40 |
| Store-price ratio | 0.51× | — | — |
| Fair-value residual | +28.3% | 56 | 59 |
| Price per scarcity point | 0.12× | — | — |
| Instant-sell discount | +35.6% | — | — |
| Bid-floor backing | $1.63 | — | — |
| Accumulation score | 43 | — | — |
| Market-relative 7d return | +19.1% | 91 | 91 |
| Momentum pillar | 37 | 6 | 13 |
| Scarcity pillar | 21 | — | — |
| Liquidity pillar | 16 | — | — |
| Value pillar | 49 | — | — |
| Risk pillar | 42 | — | — |
| Overall rating | 38 | 15 | 20 |
| Data completeness | +80.4% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta vs market (14d) | -0.31× | — | — |
| Beta vs market (30d) | -0.31× | 20 | 23 |
| Beta vs market (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Market correlation (14d) | -0.07× | — | — |
| Market correlation (30d) | -0.10× | — | — |
| Market correlation (90d) | 0.01× | — | — |
| Return vs market (14d) | +37.0% | — | — |
| Return vs market (30d) | +47.4% | 92 | 90 |
| Return vs market (90d) | +9.1% | — | — |
| Indicator | Value | vs market | vs cohort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spike days (30d) | 2 | 75 | 75 |
| Spike days (60d) | 3 | — | — |
| Spike days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Dump days (30d) | 2 | 50 | 50 |
| Dump days (60d) | 4 | — | — |
| Dump days (90d) | 6 | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (30d) | -11.2% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (60d) | -14.4% | — | — |
| Post-spike reversion (90d) | -2.6% | — | — |
| Listing shocks (30d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (60d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Listing shocks (90d) | needs provenance-safe Steam listings history | — | — |
| Net spike bias (30d) | 0 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (60d) | -1 | — | — |
| Net spike bias (90d) | 0 | — | — |
Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.