Lunar Jacket 2026full analytics

Every indicator the Insight Engine computes for this item: 258 values across 7 families, each ranked against the whole S&box market and its type cohort. Informational only, not financial advice. Data completeness: 91%.

Overall rating

?Fixed supply

Insight Engine v2

48/ 100

Momentum44

Scarcity21

Liquidity42

Value77

Risk57

Recomputed each sync: last updated Jul 9, 10:02 PM.

Signal narrative

Bullish

Negative momentum

Price down 5.8% in 24h: a mild downward trend.

Elevated supply

5,219 total supply: already fairly common, limiting the scarcity premium.

Holders are holding !!

Only 4.2% of supply listed: low sell pressure.

Illiquid

No sales in the last 24h; it may be hard to buy or sell at the quoted price.

Concentrated ownership

~7.9 units per owner; a few holders control much of the supply.

Delisted from store !!

No longer purchasable from the S&box store. Supply is fixed, so there is potential long-term value.

Weekly downtrend !!

Average price down 21% over the past week versus the prior week.

Signal Analysis

Insight Engine

The 7-day slide of 21.1% stands out most, but the fact pack frames it as a contrarian setup rather than a breakdown: this is a single-regime market where sharp drops have tended to recover, and the model puts fair value 25.8% above the current $2.43 ask. Support for that read comes from the RSI-oversold and deep-drawdown signals, plus a fixed, delisted supply of 5,219 units held by only 662 owners, a sign holders are sitting rather than dumping. That said, liquidity is thin, with just 1 unit traded in the last 24 hours against 217 active listings, and the 14.1% bid/ask spread means any entry near the $2.43 ask sits well above the $2.11 best bid.

AI-generated from live market data · updated 6h ago · Not financial advice — automated analysis for informational purposes only.

Price action

108/113 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return (24h)	-5.8%	—	—
Return (3d)	-6.5%	—	—
Return (7d)	-13.2%	39	37
Return (14d)

Percentiles are computed against the latest cross-sectional market snapshot. “n/s” marks indicators not scoring in this item's lifecycle stage. All figures are informational only, not financial advice.

Trend

30/38 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
SMA (7)	$2.67	—	—
Price vs SMA (7)	-9.0%	—	—
SMA (14)	$3.03	—	—
Price vs SMA (14)	-19.7%	—	—
SMA (21)	$3.65	—	—
Price vs SMA (21)	-33.5%	—	—
SMA (30)	$4.16	—	—
Price vs SMA (30)	-41.6%	18	19
SMA (50)	$4.98	—	—
Price vs SMA (50)	-51.2%	—	—
SMA (90)	$7.49	—	—
Price vs SMA (90)	-67.6%	—	—
SMA (100)	—	—	—
Price vs SMA (100)	—	—	—
EMA (7)	$2.67	—	—
Price vs EMA (7)	-9.0%	—	—
EMA (14)	$3.03	—	—
Price vs EMA (14)	-19.7%	—	—
EMA (30)	$4.16	—	—
Price vs EMA (30)	-41.6%	—	—
RSI (7)	—	—	—
RSI (14)	—	—	—
RSI (21)	—	—	—
RSI (30)	—	—	—
RSI (50)	—	—	—
RSI (100)	—	—	—
Trend slope (14d)	-4.4%	—	—
Trend slope (30d)	-3.1%	41	42
Trend slope (60d)	-1.3%	—	—
Trend slope (90d)	-1.8%	—	—
Trend slope (all)	-1.7%	—	—
Trend fit R² (14d)	0.52×	—	—
Trend fit R² (30d)	0.86×	—	—
Trend fit R² (60d)	0.72×	—	—
Trend fit R² (90d)	0.82×	—	—
Trend fit R² (all)	0.82×	—	—
SMA 7/30 cross	-35.9%	19	20
Days since trend flip	1.0d	—	—

Volatility & risk

32/33 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Return stdev (7d)	+2.3%	—	—
Return stdev (14d)	+16.1%	—	—
Return stdev (30d)	+10.8%	46	41
Return stdev (60d)	+9.7%	—	—
Return stdev (90d)	+11.2%	—	—
Return stdev (all)	+11.6%	—	—
Downside deviation (30d)	+9.0%	—	—
Downside deviation (60d)	+6.8%	—	—
Downside deviation (90d)	+8.3%	—	—
Max drawdown (30d)	+61.6%	—	—
Max drawdown (60d)	+72.5%	—	—
Max drawdown (90d)	+88.2%	56	52
Max drawdown (all)	+88.2%	—	—
Current drawdown (90d)	+86.8%	59	57
Current drawdown (all)	+86.8%	—	—
Drawdown duration (90d)	89d	—	—
Drawdown duration (all)	89d	—	—
Sortino ratio (30d)	-0.26×	45	47
Sortino ratio (90d)	-0.20×	—	—
Return skew (30d)	-2.32	—	—
Return skew (90d)	0.09	—	—
Excess kurtosis (30d)	9.18	—	—
Excess kurtosis (90d)	6.56	—	—
Largest up day (7d)	—	—	—
Largest up day (14d)	+16.2%	—	—
Largest up day (30d)	+16.2%	—	—
Largest up day (60d)	+42.2%	—	—
Largest up day (90d)	+42.2%	—	—
Largest down day (7d)	+5.4%	—	—
Largest down day (14d)	+38.2%	—	—
Largest down day (30d)	+38.2%	—	—
Largest down day (60d)	+38.2%	—	—
Largest down day (90d)	+38.2%	—	—

Liquidity

12/20 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Turnover %	+0.0%	5	5
On-market %	+4.1%	86	81
Days to clear listings	—	—	—
Lifetime sales / day	32.84	—	—
Liquidity score	32	88	87
Listings on book	216	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Amihud illiquidity (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (30d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (60d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Zero-sale-day share (90d)	needs sales history (accruing from supply snapshots)	—	—
Listings trend (7d)	-19.3%	—	—
Listings trend (14d)	-1.4%	—	—
Listings trend (30d)	+18.6%	52	51
Listings trend (60d)	+1.2%	—	—
Bid-ask spread %	+14.5%	—	—
Near-mid bid imbalance	0.92×	—	—
Bid-depth trend (7d)	—	—	—
Bid-floor migration (7d)	+22.0%	—	—

Supply & ownership

20/21 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Supply growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (30d)	+0.0%	25	25
Supply growth (60d)	+0.0%	—	—
Supply growth (90d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (7d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (14d)	+0.0%	—	—
Owner growth (30d)	+0.5%	33	21
Owner growth (60d)	+16.5%	—	—
Owner growth (90d)	+94.1%	—	—
Mint rate (7d)	0	—	—
Mint rate (30d)	0	—	—
Supply doubling time	—	—	—
Copies per owner	7.88×	21	22
Top-1 holder share	+3.1%	48	50
Top-10 holder share	+17.5%	72	73
HHI (top-10)	36.35	—	—
Whale count (≥5)	10	—	—
Absorption (30d)	+0.5%	46	38
Absorption (60d)	+16.5%	—	—
Absorption (90d)	+94.1%	—	—

Lifecycle & value

16/18 populated

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Age	159d	—	—
Days since fixation	—	—	—
Days until leaving storen/s	—	—	—
Release-price multiple	0.49×	32	28
Store-price ratio	0.49×	—	—
Fair-value residual	-25.8%	43	40
Price per scarcity point	0.12×	—	—
Instant-sell discount	+13.2%	—	—
Bid-floor backing	$2.11	—	—
Accumulation score	62	—	—
Market-relative 7d return	-5.3%	40	38
Momentum pillar	44	40	37
Scarcity pillar	21	—	—
Liquidity pillar	42	—	—
Value pillar	77	—	—
Risk pillar	57	—	—
Overall rating	53	78	78
Data completeness	+90.6%	—	—

Indicator	Value	vs market	vs cohort
Spike days (30d)	1	25	25
Spike days (60d)	2	—	—
Spike days (90d)	4	—	—
Dump days (30d)	2	50	50
Dump days (60d)	2	—	—
Dump days (90d)	6	—	—
Post-spike reversion (30d)	+0.0%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (60d)	-2.9%	—	—
Post-spike reversion (90d)	-2.2%	—	—
Listing shocks (30d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (60d)	0	—	—
Listing shocks (90d)	1	—	—
Net spike bias (30d)	-1	—	—
Net spike bias (60d)	0	—	—
Net spike bias (90d)	-2	—	—